February 2025 Disco/Obs Thread

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Deep deep freeze on GFS last 8 days high average 26⁰ low 13⁰ at ORH 19.5 ⁰ average which is 13 BN for that period 

That’s why it would be nice to grab that one on the 3rd…cuz it’ll be cold after that.  But that needs to get a lot closer in to even take remotely seriously. 

[FXWX]

While pushing the snowbanks back yesterday, the town crew created snow graveyard with snow/ice headstones.  Maybe Snow-Henge!

[tamarack]

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yes, I won't argue the point that its rare. Vast majority of cold winters for us are also snowy.

Same here, though January bucks the trend.  Average January snowfall is ~20" and 4 years it was <10", only 5.1" to 7.7".  2004 was 10° BN, 2014 4° BN and 2013 plus this year within 0.1° of average.  Rest of the months generally fall in line.

[Heisy]

Woops wrong thread lol
.

[Ginx snewx]

Not seeing us as an island of cold in a

sea of world wide torch. 

[CoastalWx]

There is a lot of AN there.

[DavisStraight]

2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

Replacement 10 times easier than labrum rotator surgery 

I've had rotator cuff surgery a long time ago, I have too much damage this time.

[512high]

Look what I spotted leaving my work location today!

A weenie!!!!! lol 

I tried to get the best picture possible. I wonder if he’s on this Forum lol!!!

[Typhoon Tip]

1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said:

Not seeing us as an island of cold in a

sea of world wide torch. 

Makes sense with us locally as we've observed BN but not out of control for the period in question.

Like I was suggesting to Will earlier, I wonder if the February numbers were colder than January for those regions of western Europe, Eurasia, China/Siberia, because the January alone didn't have these regions.

[ORH_wxman]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

There is a lot of AN there.

Yeah but mid-latitudes have plenty of cold which makes sense given the pattern…lots of big blocking in the arctic. So your arctic domains are a torch but not the mid-latitudes. 

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah but mid-latitudes have plenty of cold which makes sense given the pattern…lots of big blocking in the arctic. So your arctic domains are a torch but not the mid-latitudes. 

Southern hemi warm too. I mean I'm not an alarmist, but Earth in general (add the oceans too) is warm relatively speaking. 

[CoastalWx]

Solar Phil just starting to pick away at the extreme sloped sections now. First time this week I've noticed. 

[Layman]

11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Southern hemi warm too. I mean I'm not an alarmist, but Earth in general (add the oceans too) is warm relatively speaking. 

I know I asked basically the same thing earlier, but this is with respect to the 1991-2020 30 year averages, correct?

To that end, is there a specific reason for using the 30 year timeframe?  I believe @dendrite mentioned they were updated every 5 years if I recall correctly.  My guess is that the recent 30 year look back allows for near term trend identification and accounts for relevant, real-time-ish temps.

[WinterWolf]

25 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah but mid-latitudes have plenty of cold which makes sense given the pattern…lots of big blocking in the arctic. So your arctic domains are a torch but not the mid-latitudes. 

And a torch in the Arctic is still frigid….as you said, it makes perfect sense. 

[CoastalWx]

5 minutes ago, Layman said:

I know I asked basically the same thing earlier, but this is with respect to the 1991-2020 30 year averages, correct?

To that end, is there a specific reason for using the 30 year timeframe?  I believe @dendrite mentioned they were updated every 5 years if I recall correctly.  My guess is that the recent 30 year look back allows for near term trend identification and accounts for relevant, real-time-ish temps.

Yes 1991-2020. It's updated every 10 years. A 30 yr average updated every 10 years with a good database prior to 1991 should have a good sample size in it to capture things on smaller time scales and also some larger time scale features too. For instance we had a hell of a snowy period from the 00s to 2018 or so. But we know in reality, that our long term avg certainly is not supportive of those values during that time. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Was down in Fall River for work today. No snow to speak of. It’s going here too. Prob about 50% coverage at home 

[alex]

My fire pit chairs are almost gone. Sweet. 

[dendrite]

Wow DQ in town is open already.

Earliest start to spring ever. 
 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Wow DQ in town is open already.

Earliest start to spring ever. 

Will you be ordering a blizzard?

[dendrite]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Will you be ordering a blizzard?

Nothing that sounds wintry. Maybe a hot fudge sundae. 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Nothing that sounds wintry. Maybe a hot fudge sundae. 

Feels like one of those years where in late May it's 75-80 away from the lake and CH is in the 60s with the SE wind ripping off the lake. Definitely a local thing where winds rip up the lake even if boundary layer is SWrly.

[mahk_webstah]

26 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Wow DQ in town is open already.

Earliest start to spring ever. 
 

I hope to God you don’t go there for your ice cream. If you don’t go to Richardson’s in Boscawen then you don’t really understand ice cream.

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said:

I hope to God you don’t go there for your ice cream. If you don’t go to Richardson’s in Boscawen then you don’t really understand ice cream.

Still nothing wrong with a large Reeses blizzard now and then

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Solar Phil just starting to pick away at the extreme sloped sections now. First time this week I've noticed. 

I feel like there’s only about six weeks of winter wear south facing slopes are not subject to losing snow on a sunny day.

[Torch Tiger]

13 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

I hope to God you don’t go there for your ice cream. If you don’t go to Richardson’s in Boscawen then you don’t really understand ice cream.

Richardsons in Middleton ma, too. Its good

[dendrite]

9 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

I hope to God you don’t go there for your ice cream. If you don’t go to Richardson’s in Boscawen then you don’t really understand ice cream.

It’s a symbolic, beginning of spring tradition. I can’t walk to Boscawen.

I haven’t been to Richardson’s, but I only do the basic ingredients in my ice cream…milk, cream, eggs, real sugar, flavor. 

[dendrite]

39 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Feels like one of those years where in late May it's 75-80 away from the lake and CH is in the 60s with the SE wind ripping off the lake. Definitely a local thing where winds rip up the lake even if boundary layer is SWrly.

Sweating playing skee ball at Funspot and then freezing trying to eat my cheap seafood platter at Town Docks. Sounds about right.

When did Flurries shut down? I used to like getting ice cream there.

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Sweating playing skee ball at Funspot and then freezing trying to eat my cheap seafood platter at Town Docks. Sounds about right.

When did Flurries shut down? I used to like getting ice cream there.

I think a few years ago? Town docks is solid for ice cream too. If you want non dairy go the Ben and Jerry’s across the street, but it’s a massive rip off.

[Torch Tiger]

Temperatures... Seasonable temps Sunday then a pronounced warming trend is expected Mon through Wed as SW flow develops with warming 925/850 mb temps. Peak of the 925/850 mb temps is Tue when highs may reach into the 50s in portions of the coastal plain, especially if there is sufficient sunshine. NBM indicating 40-60 percent probs of temps over 50F Tue across RI and SE MA. While low level temps are cooling Wed, favorable W-NW flow behind the front and deeper mixing may result in another day with highs 50+ in the coastal plain. NBM probs of 50+ are 20-40 percent on Wed. Confidence in Thu temps is low as a possible surge in 925 mb temps ahead of next system may be offset by cloud cover and potential precip limiting how mild it gets. This will all depend on the timing of this system but it could be another mild day Thu in the coastal plain with 50 degree temps if system is slower.

It's here, it's Spring!

[CoastalWx]

1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Was down in Fall River for work today. No snow to speak of. It’s going here too. Prob about 50% coverage at home 

I find that hard to believe. I live in the torchiest part of the south shore when it comes to sun and nothing showing yet.