February 2025 Disco/Obs Thread

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

They only attenuate if we are in the cross hairs.....inland waves rip a hole in the strat.

Yeah been mostly true this winter. 
 

But in trying to stay objective here, you have a pretty good press from PV in Quebec that’s going to play a role here. Where exactly that PV feature ends up as the Ohio valley shortwave approaches will decide our ptype

[DavisStraight]

29 minutes ago, cut said:

I went sledding in Kokanee (sp?) by Banff like 25 years ago - or more. Was amazing, went thru slide zones and way above tree line. My buddy Steve hit a submerged stump and nearly tore the right sled off the machine. Had to put two hands on the left handle to make it go straight so the return trip thru some serious no fall zones was harrowing.  Went near Tahoe 2 years ago as well - what an amazingly fun activity to take a day away from the slopes. I could see myself getting more into it as I retire in several years.

Thats my plan too as I move to Maine later this year, get into sledding, my wife loves it too so it's something we can do together. Plus, I love going up north where the snow is deep.

[UnitedWx]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

EPS is mildly interesting for the 28th. 

Would be nice to send this season out with a bang, bang this season being 5 to 10 lol. I really don't think we're off the hook for snow in March tho, just a hunch

[UnitedWx]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah been mostly true this winter. 
 

But in trying to stay objective here, you have a pretty good press from PV in Quebec that’s going to play a role here. Where exactly that PV feature ends up as the Ohio valley shortwave approaches will decide our ptype

Right now that western ridge looks better to me, no?

[CoastalWx]

Just now, UnitedWx said:

Would be nice to send this season out with a bang, bang this season being 5 to 10 lol. I really don't think we're off the hook for snow in March tho, just a hunch

Haven't had a 6" event in 3 years. If I'm in the 4-8 zone, it's a throw back to the 80s where I'm jumping up and down on my parents bed wearing my footie pajamas.

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, UnitedWx said:

Right now that western ridge looks better to me, no?

There’s a lot of synoptically favorable pieces on this setup out west and into the center of the country…the one key aspect that needs locking down is what happens north of us. Right now, that PV entity is a little too far north or west…move it either south or east (or some combo), and then we’re really talking a significant snow threat…it’s been trending southeast a bit so if it does it a little more, we may have something to track. But I wouldn’t get hopes up yet. If it doesn’t, this remains uninteresting. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah been mostly true this winter. 
 

But in trying to stay objective here, you have a pretty good press from PV in Quebec that’s going to play a role here. Where exactly that PV feature ends up as the Ohio valley shortwave approaches will decide our ptype

I actually love that ridge out west...for once. That is perfect.

[DavisStraight]

28 minutes ago, UnitedWx said:

Man! If you have not ridden a modern snowmobile when you try one you'll think you're having fun with a totally different sport! Apples and oranges is a far insufficient description of how modern snowmobiles perform.. especially if you ride skidoo. Back in 2002 I had a chance to ride the Prototype Ski-Doo REV at a dealer in Lyndonville vermont. We put a deposit down that afternoon for the following year as soon as we got back to the showroom.  Ride like butter!

The times we have rented they've been Polaris', fun to ride but they only went up to 20mph and other people would zoom by doing double that. I think the ones we had would go faster if they didn't regulate them but fun, nonetheless.

[Cyclone-68]

“In like a lion, out like a lamb”?

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, UnitedWx said:

Right now that western ridge looks better to me, no?

Yes.

[UnitedWx]

Just now, DavisStraight said:

The times we have rented they've been Polaris', fun to ride but they only went up to 20mph and other people would zoom by doing double that. I think the ones we had would go faster if they didn't regulate them but fun, nonetheless.

That's crazy! Never heard of speed regulated rentals. Last time I rented it was at Norther Outdoors in Maine. Maybe things have changed? I know there are no more rentals in VT

[Typhoon Tip]

8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

EPS is mildly interesting for the 28th. 

Oh, so rainy ...  hm

[ORH_wxman]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I actually love that ridge out west...for once. That is perfect.

Yep just posted above how good it looks out west for once. But we need Quebec to cooperate…the irony is it’s been cooperative a lot of times this winter when out west was not…but now when we really need the PV in Quebec to play ball, it’s wavering on us. The trend has been good the last day or two. If we see another move SE on that PV tonight and tomorrow, then it probably becomes a serious threat…it will be getting inside of D6 by tomorrow too. 

[DavisStraight]

3 minutes ago, UnitedWx said:

That's crazy! Never heard of speed regulated rentals. Last time I rented it was at Norther Outdoors in Maine. Maybe things have changed? I know there are no more rentals in VT

We were in NH, the speed limit was 20 so they set them at the level. Would have liked to go faster in some wide open areas but couldn't.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yep just posted above how good it looks out west for once. But we need Quebec to cooperate…the irony is it’s been cooperative a lot of times this winter when out west was not…but now when we really need the PV in Quebec to play ball, it’s wavering on us. The trend has been good the last day or two. If we see another move SE on that PV tonight and tomorrow, then it probably becomes a serious threat…it will be getting inside of D6 by tomorrow too. 

It only moves SE when it can c0ckblock the event...otherwise its west.

[UnitedWx]

Just now, DavisStraight said:

We were in NH, the speed limit was 20 so they set them at the level. Would have liked to go faster in some wide open areas but couldn't.

I don't go 20 in the parking lot!

[CoastalWx]

8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

It only moves SE when it can c0ckblock the event...otherwise its west.

I took today as a massive kick in nuts. Someone get that meme of those Japanese guys punching and kicking their nuts with bricks. 

[Typhoon Tip]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I took today as a massive kick in nuts. Someone get that meme of those Japanese guys punching and kicking their nuts with bricks. 

yeah   i don't get that behavior.   cultural relativism is for the birds, that straight up looks like a Darwin thing happening -  hopefully it works..  help with the global population issues

[Ginx snewx]

36 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

It's in the extended so tfwiw ... but this 12z op Euro definitely retreats deep winter mid way through this run.   By mid way thru the first week of Mar the hydostratic height (thickness) tapestry S of the Can/U.S. border is increasingly more flaccid, with a lot of > 540 showing up as far N of central IL-OH valley.    Spring vibe for sure.

But EPS says no burly men from Weymouth with their arms out the car windows getting farmers tans.

[Layman]

28 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said:

“In like a lion, out like a lamb”?

That's what she said...?

[tamarack]

1 hour ago, Layman said:

Do those have reverse these days?  The last machine I had was a 10 year old Motoski that I bought for a dollar in 1983.  It looked and rode like it was 40 years old at the time   I imagine they've come quite a way in the past 50 years.  It was a beast for my 10 year old self to try and manage.  My wife wants to rent some to try it out at some point.  I'm thinking a compromise is tracks for the SxS!

Only rode a Moto-ski once, back in 1977, it was old already and the inner cowling was gone, such that one could watch wheels turning 12" ahead of his crotch.  It was a joint timber cruise (Great Northern, International Paper, Seven Islands) east from Depot Lake, not far from Lac Frontiere, PQ. where we had bunked.  The machine seemed to have a single speed, about 15, and sounded ying-ding-ding-ding . . . on the nice level track. 
Heading back to the border after day one, the 500-lb Everest became disabled, so the guys who knew what they were doing hooked it rear-to-rear on the Moto-ski, high enough to lift its track, lashed the skis straight and the old beast headed back west - ying-ding-ding ...at 15 mph.

[CoastalWx]

10 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

But EPS says no burly men from Weymouth with their arms out the car windows getting farmers tans.

I hope so. Just really tired of the tease.

[Typhoon Tip]

17 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

But EPS says no burly men from Weymouth with their arms out the car windows getting farmers tans.

yeah those last couple of frames is suspect considering the changes that have taken place...   We'll see.   I was talking about the operational run -

 

 

[tamarack]

41 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

The times we have rented they've been Polaris', fun to ride but they only went up to 20mph and other people would zoom by doing double that. I think the ones we had would go faster if they didn't regulate them but fun, nonetheless.

In the 1980s-90s the company foresters mostly rode Tundras because of the bushwhack sledding required.  After 2000 we tried not to run those sleds on the wide groomed trails, as they topped out at about 40 and the guys going 70+ didn't like our snails clogging up the trail.

BML and HIE have pulled 40s for diurnal range.  Jeff's -11 this morning may lead to 40+.  'Tis the season - bright sun, little wind and dry air.

[mreaves]

42 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

We were in NH, the speed limit was 20 so they set them at the level. Would have liked to go faster in some wide open areas but couldn't.

Most places in NH have a speed limit of 45

41 minutes ago, UnitedWx said:

I don't go 20 in the parking lot!

The number of people injured or killed on rental sleds in NH makes me wonder if the governors on the sleds shouldn't be set lower.

[Lava Rock]

7 minutes ago, mreaves said:

Most places in NH have a speed limit of 45

The number of people injured or killed on rental sleds in NH makes me wonder if the governors on the sleds shouldn't be set lower.

seeing lots of crashes over there this year. too many inexperienced people on rentals i'm guessing.

[WinterWolf]

45 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

We were in NH, the speed limit was 20 so they set them at the level. Would have liked to go faster in some wide open areas but couldn't.

Ya that’s pathetic…in Maine when you rent..they don’t do that at all. 20mph is a total joke Lmao.   Rent in Maine and there’s none of that crap.  

[UnitedWx]

14 minutes ago, mreaves said:

Most places in NH have a speed limit of 45

The number of people injured or killed on rental sleds in NH makes me wonder if the governors on the sleds shouldn't be set lower.

Usually that's due to lack of experience, or far worse a bad ice cube or three! WAYYY too much DUI still going on in the sledding community! 45 on many trails should be perfectly safe

[UnitedWx]

8 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

seeing lots of crashes over there this year. too many inexperienced people on rentals i'm guessing.

DUI ftl if i had to guess 

[SJonesWX]

1 hour ago, UnitedWx said:

Man! If you have not ridden a modern snowmobile when you try one you'll think you're having fun with a totally different sport! Apples and oranges is a far insufficient description of how modern snowmobiles perform.. especially if you ride skidoo. Back in 2002 I had a chance to ride the Prototype Ski-Doo REV at a dealer in Lyndonville vermont. We put a deposit down that afternoon for the following year as soon as we got back to the showroom.  Ride like butter!

my first sled was a '96 Ski Doo grand touring, which was awesome as it was my first, but after a 100 mile ride on ungroomed trails one day, I was ready to light it on fire. once I saw the new REV, I sold the GT, and bought a new '04 Rev ($4k), which was an unreal sled. I think @dryslot had one around that year. next I bought an '11 Renegade ($7k), which was miles ahead of the '04. wrecked that one against a tree in a slow-speed crash that took out the right a-arm and bent the tunnel. now I have a '19 Enduro ($12k), which is the nuts. but I still can't believe the prices now. I have less than 2k miles on it, so I just might have it forever.