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February 2025 Disco/Obs Thread


Torch Tiger
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  On 2/18/2025 at 12:03 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said:

image.thumb.png.a08bdedd9b33cfd4fb6fc6168b3ca34f.png

GFS cold and stormy from northern stream waves after this week.. 6z run was a weenie run for northern new england, just wave after wave up there.. 

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As interesting as it would be to see PF's Mount Mansfield stake make a run at a record depth, this polar vortex needs to GTFO!  I'm ready for an early spring.

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  On 2/18/2025 at 12:07 PM, metagraphica said:

As interesting as it would be to see PF's Mount Mansfield stake make a run at a record depth, this polar vortex needs to GTFO!  I'm ready for an early spring.

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Yea, take the Mansfield snow stake....turn it sidways, and you know the rest....

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  On 2/18/2025 at 12:03 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said:

image.thumb.png.a08bdedd9b33cfd4fb6fc6168b3ca34f.png

GFS cold and stormy from northern stream waves after this week.. 6z run was a weenie run for northern new england, just wave after wave up there.. 

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I wish I wasn't right about Thursday shitting the bed....this stretch would be getting pretty epic if I tacked on 20" to what I have now. Some of the bankings on the side of my driveway are like 6'.

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  On 2/18/2025 at 12:03 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said:

image.thumb.png.a08bdedd9b33cfd4fb6fc6168b3ca34f.png

GFS cold and stormy from northern stream waves after this week.. 6z run was a weenie run for northern new england, just wave after wave up there.. 

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that doesn’t look like the back of winter is broken in that depiction, that’s for sure.  She’s gonna torture for a while yet it seems…

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  On 2/18/2025 at 12:28 PM, WinterWolf said:

that doesn’t look like the back of winter is broken in that depiction, that’s for sure.  She’s gonna torture for a while yet it seems…

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At least my ass will heat up faster in the car on sunny days...can't take that away from me, ma nature...you bi1ch.

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  On 2/18/2025 at 12:28 PM, WinterWolf said:

that doesn’t look like the back of winter is broken in that depiction, that’s for sure.  She’s gonna torture for a while yet it seems…

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Yes she is. It wouldn't be torture though if she could just cough up a major Snowstorm for us. But with the way things keep happening ( when it comes to a pure snow event ), The big ones keep going south. God willing, we'll have a good year as far as having some major snowstorms in the future.

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  On 2/18/2025 at 12:34 PM, CoastalWx said:

I do see some interesting elements going forward. It has the Tippy non compression look. 

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Compressed or not, that funky ridge alignment out west needs to piss off....that's why I took one look last week and dismissed Thrusday. Its been there all season.

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  On 2/18/2025 at 12:34 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said:

EPS pretty much agrees, GEFS are very cold and snowy starting end of next week.. 

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EPS is flirting with the idea of colder/snowier though…you can see it with the height field near AK trying to link up with western ridge. It’s kind of half-assed, but you can see how it wouldn’t take much to be a lot more. 

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  On 2/18/2025 at 12:40 PM, CoastalWx said:

Thursday is more of the confluence to our northeast. Glad everyone whacked off to -5SD  -AO. 

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Maybe that is why the piss ant result isn't impacitng us...I haven't looked at this threat in days....however, the phasing failure is attributable to that shitty ridge out west.

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  On 2/18/2025 at 12:42 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Maybe that is why the piss ant result isn't impacitng us...I haven't looked at this threat in days....however, the phasing failure is attributable to that shitty ridge out west.

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The block was just pushing everything south. You’re right in that the PAC wasn’t perfect,  but we could have had a good event if we didn’t have that block sinking south.

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  On 2/18/2025 at 12:40 PM, ORH_wxman said:

EPS is flirting with the idea of colder/snowier though…you can see it with the height field near AK trying to link up with western ridge. It’s kind of half-assed, but you can see how it wouldn’t air much to be a lot more. 

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It’s been the same thing all season…lean colder in the longer range, and that idea will be more right this winter.   As far as snow…just the opposite unfortunately.  We’re seeing it again now as the colder scenario is again gaining steam in the ensembles.   

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  On 2/18/2025 at 12:31 PM, CoastalWx said:

The core is broke after this week. Just like in summer when in August we have warmth but the big heat is done. 

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Ya, last year(august of 24) that was certainly the case. But the year before it certainly wasn’t with record breaking heat in September of 23.    But I get what you mean.  But my gut tells me this isn’t gonna be an early spring year this go around. 

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