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February 2025 Disco/Obs Thread


Torch Tiger
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1 hour ago, TheMainer said:

2.5 above here would be about 37 for a high, 10.5 for a low, I'll roll the dice with that. 

Adding that 4.5F to my March 4 average would produce 37.0/15.3, not bad.  But how many maps like that have we seen since the New Year, and so far we had only 3 days get over 32,  topped by 37.  Maybe this one pans out.

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33 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I used to love doing that as a kid during recess in Elementary School. Myself and a few others (sometimes I think I may have even been alone) would walk across the snow and try not to break. Good times. 

That's how it is outside now...though I am going to have to do some serious work outside after. This isn't good for the dog and it's even worse since he never did fully recovery from the spinal stroke in July. He doesn't even want to go outside to use the bathroom. He just slips and falls on his butt.

In January 1965 I headed out to ice fish on our 50-acre lake, the rain having quickly plunged thru ZR to IP, 30s/20s/upper teens, pelting we idiot anglers all day.  Next morning the temp was rising and the precip ZR, ending late aft and leaving 1/2" ice atop 2.5" IP.  Having forgotten my creepers, I had a wicked nasty time getting off the lake - couldn't even stomp a dent into that stuff.  Next day kids donned ice skates and cruised thru their yards.
NYC stats:
1/23   47   24   0.64"   1.0"  max at 12:01 AM
1/24   32   24   0.51"   2.2"  max at 11:59 PM

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18 minutes ago, tamarack said:

Adding that 4.5F to my March 4 average would produce 37.0/15.3, not bad.  But how many maps like that have we seen since the New Year, and so far we had only 3 days get over 32,  topped by 37.  Maybe this one pans out.

There hasn’t been many.  But it is a change. It’s not a torch look.

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Just now, CoastalWx said:

Maybe Monday or Tuesday?

Obviously, I don’t know how to look at a model with any level of intelligence, but timing wise that would make sense. Today feels like the deepest of the winter. My husband said it feels like we’ve just had a huge snow storm. It’s blowing all over the place in a huge drifts. The driveway can’t stay clear for more than about 30 minutes before we have to snow blow it again. He could barely get his jeep down to the road.

I mean, if we can add to this, it would be totally epic, but if we can’t... It’s time to plant the garden.

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7 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Obviously, I don’t know how to look at a model with any level of intelligence, but timing wise that would make sense. Today feels like the deepest of the winter. My husband said it feels like we’ve just had a huge snow storm. It’s blowing all over the place in a huge drifts. The driveway can’t stay clear for more than about 30 minutes before we have to snow blow it again. He could barely get his jeep down to the road.

I mean, if we can add to this, it would be totally epic, but if we can’t... It’s time to plant the garden.

it's been an impressive stretch for us since 1/11. No thaws, so the pack has remained since that date, and been deepening steadily since 1/29. I need to get out and measure my depth later today, but it's got to be at least 18".

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11 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Obviously, I don’t know how to look at a model with any level of intelligence, but timing wise that would make sense. Today feels like the deepest of the winter. My husband said it feels like we’ve just had a huge snow storm. It’s blowing all over the place in a huge drifts. The driveway can’t stay clear for more than about 30 minutes before we have to snow blow it again. He could barely get his jeep down to the road.

I mean, if we can add to this, it would be totally epic, but if we can’t... It’s time to plant the garden.

We can lock in a GFS coastal with rain I guess for next week.

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Why are so many of you throwing in the towel? March is a winter month, we also have the rest of Feb. it sucks that the 20th threat went to shit but that isn’t the end.
Realistically we got exactly two months left for snow shots... We had that banger last April to statpad remember?

Sent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk

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51 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Given the impending failure of Thursday, is there anything we should start paying attention to beyond that?
 

I imagine we would all vote for either a continuation of storms and opportunities or a quick transition to spring

You never know if something will pop up a week out.

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