JC-CT Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Massachusetts buried alive wow.. Even back here, going on 36 hours of snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 8 days, What could go wrong? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Days and days now At go time it’ll be minutes and minutes 2 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 5 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Massachusetts buried alive wow.. And that is only partial phase - but ... it's 60 or 70% proficiency combined with "model magnification" aspects ... who cares, enjoy your dose, people HAHA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 We all would be CoastalWx if it were 570 heights above us. Chances on the board at least give hope alive 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Canadian is for a good chunk of CNE…maybe even down to northern SNE interior. Northern SNE, how about Southern NNE? I kid, just struck me as funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Without a doubt euro comes in warmer for the weekend .. and from there wouldn’t surprise me if it keeps ticking warmer to the point we see 1”-3” to mostly rain for SNE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 So ... relaxation sweeps over the local hemisphere aft of the 17th... "possibly" setting the stage for more small scale wave space interaction and a different kind of storm production. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 6 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: Northern SNE, how about Southern NNE? I kid, just struck me as funny. Let me try to clear it up a bit................. 2 12 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Know why the posting frequency drops immediately after a "credible" model solution that looks like that ? Eyes are rollin' back in heads as the needle slips from the finger tips and tumbles to the floor - 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 hours ago, dryslot said: We wedged, We winter on. congrats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 GFS going full balls weenie on this run lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: GFS going full balls weenie on this run lol. Yea I’m still shoveling all the snow it’s giving me this winter. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: GFS going full balls weenie on this run lol. Here comes Spring a week later ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bwt3650 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: I miss the liftopia days where I could get a 2 day pass to Sunday river for like 90-100 bucks. Now you can’t even get a 1 day pass for that. Cost has gotten insane unless you live close enough for a season pass. Im still going to try and get my boys on skis before winter ends (hopefully in a couple of weekends) but I cringe at the prices now. I think Killington still has kids under 12 ski free if you get a multi-day pass for an adult but not 100% sure. They did fairly recently at least. Jay had a deal for first time skiers earlier this year...4 free lessons, 4 free rentals, free beginner day pass for the day of the lesson and a free season pass once you completed all the lessons. Goal was to get kids involved in the sport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 This winter does know how to tease us. In the recent winters models looked like shit and shit is what happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 hour ago, UnitedWx said: I think you're mistaking some of us not calling it a rat for just understanding that it happens and say "I don't give a fucc, I'll be back next season" It just makes me laugh at the over reaction and emotionalism to a "bad" winter... Some of us have been through this before and know it happens and the WAAA WAAA WAA gets old Not to prolong the conversation, but that’s fair. That’s why I kind of miss The Panic Room (this was a Mid-Atlantic thing when I lived there). If you’re not familiar, it put a humorous and creative spin on the outrageous negativity and positivity that filled winter tracking threads. It was a separate space that was fun and totally unserious—good years or bad. All of this stuff gets too serious imo and it only compounds when you have a string of awful winters. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 14 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Here comes Spring a week later ? Well the AO is skyrocketing so not shocking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 This winter id a win if we a big hit next week. Bring spring quickly..works for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Reality is probably the Canadian. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GCWarrior Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 This probably tickles the weenies for a couple cycles then goes back to OTS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 25 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Here comes Spring a week later ? I'd sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 On 2/11/2025 at 7:50 AM, Typhoon Tip said: What interests me about the 20th emergence is that it's taking place in a modeled relaxation of the compression/speed anomalies. Short version, the relaxation is allowing more storm kinematics to be conserved at the smaller scales - which means better/more efficient/better timed field interactions --> storm production and power. ... Another way to look at it is the large scale flow slowing is less of a baked in negative interference. Long version, the -EPO is neutralized in the days leading, and though in theory this would stem our cold supply ... this is actually a well timed for the d(rotting) factor. I wouldn't want to wait on that much longer in an era that proves turning off cold supply modulates us on the + side of marginal quite quickly. Having a cryosphere throughout SE Canada and in our backyards is factorable in the environmental noise. The higher latitude on going -AO is then exerting a west motion through the lower Ferrel latitudes ( roughly along 55 to 70 N band). From 50 thousand feet, this conceptually sets up 40 N precarious for phasing. But, doing so with a relaxed gradient is far more likely to both succeed and produce a bigger event, then if this phasing potential is heightened while the flow along 40 N is compressed and fast. You can see these SPV fragments moving SW through lower Canada on the model cinemas, leading durig the 15th and the 19th, prior to the 16th but more importantly the 20th development. This is happening as the compression is easing and the flow is slowly opening up. The 20th is the less inhibited of the two, and that's why we see the the operational GFS with an unobstructed fully realizing S/stream bomb on the 06z, and the Euros multi contoured phased result in it's rendition for the 20th. The GGEM is also showing this cyclonic rotation of SPV parcels into the backside of S/stream S/W ... but it's holding onto the compression longer, which speeds the S/stream S/W movement through the field and that leads to more of the pacing/spatial temporal bipass issues. Who's worried about the GGEM at D 9 though. bump.... just because the pattern relevancy is still in play. But the model complexion out there remains, so far, a lower large scale height gradient +PNA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 The first one looks like a firehose event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Here we go again ECMWF 12z Delays Subscribe Investigating - ECMWF is completely inaccessible at this time. No files are being transferred, and the ECMWF status page and production data store are unavailable. We will post updates as we receive them from ECMWF.Feb 12, 2025 - 12:27 EST 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 15 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Well the AO is skyrocketing so not shocking. That will probably change too though… seen that at least a half dozen times and it ends up not happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Here we go again ECMWF 12z Delays Subscribe Investigating - ECMWF is completely inaccessible at this time. No files are being transferred, and the ECMWF status page and production data store are unavailable. We will post updates as we receive them from ECMWF.Feb 12, 2025 - 12:27 EST Probably for the best. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 40 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Know why the posting frequency drops immediately after a "credible" model solution that looks like that ? Eyes are rollin' back in heads as the needle slips from the finger tips and tumbles to the floor - Meh, it’s more like people are saying put up or shut up with modeled fantasy clown range storms. You’ve seen it once, you’ve seen it a million times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Liquid to Lewiston. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shawnmov Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Live look at me falling for the 12z GFS lala land forecast. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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