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February 2025 Disco/Obs Thread


Torch Tiger
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  On 2/12/2025 at 1:13 AM, CoastalWx said:

Look deep down I hope this trend better, but I have just zero absolutely zero faith in anything turning favorable. I’m so spent. Just counting down the days until Sandbar scooter opens up.

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It's crazy how the PV always engineers failure for SNE. It will either back up and provide a channel to cut, or refuse to phase in when we need it, or squash everything down to New Orleans after it allows a cutter.

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  On 2/12/2025 at 2:12 AM, H2Otown_WX said:

*Cue a Tip post explaining it's a manifestation of CC*

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Well, he even mentioned that this also happened from 1982-1991...not to imply that CC is not occurring because it is....but John also understands that we have always had lean periods, independent of CC.

They are warmer now, sure.

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Dog walk scene this evening.

Just continues to snow.  The -12C to -18C 850mb temps at the ridgelines for weeks on end is putting the DGZ right in the sweet spot for mesoscale precip.  Even the synoptic snows have been hitting that best DGZ.  Its amazing what a normal, cold winter can do.

The Mansfield stake data indicates a weak La Niña provides the most consistent snowfall seasons, though the data set only goes back to 1954.  There is probably a reason why though, even with randomness.  Northern stream over southern stream?

IMG_2740.thumb.jpeg.1ebe72dd7683c2086079bf3857afdf9f.jpeg

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  On 2/12/2025 at 12:59 AM, Damage In Tolland said:

How about DC.. getting 4-8” tonight and then a Rainer and 50 on Thursday. I mean they won’t even have a chance to do anything in the snow and it’s gone. 

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DC is actually having the perfect winter. Some real nice snowstorms, some deep winter cold, some thaws here and there, and then they’ll be 75 with cherry blossoms in another month while we are 36 and fog.

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  On 2/12/2025 at 2:15 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Well, he even mentioned that this also happened from 1982-1991...not to imply that CC is not occurring because it is....but John also understands that we have always had lean periods, independent of CC.

They are warmer now, sure.

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So we have to endure 4 or 5 more terrible winters? Dang

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