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February 2025 Disco/Obs Thread


Torch Tiger
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  On 2/10/2025 at 4:46 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Yeah, I’m tired. This weekend broke me a bit for this season. Just so tired of tracking mundane events and even those crapping the bed.

Ive grown to like the warmth more as I get older, so definitely looking forward to being outside and enjoying the nice weather 

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The sad part is…the nice weather to be outside is months away really…this winter isn’t gonna let you/us out early the way it looks now. Cold has been the theme, and continues to look that way for quite a while. Only a third through Feb…spring is a ways off, and an early transition doesn’t look to be in the cards.  Suffering is where this is going. 

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  On 2/10/2025 at 4:51 PM, WinterWolf said:

The sad part is…the nice weather to be outside is months away really…this winter isn’t gonna let you/us out early the way it looks now. Cold has been the theme, and continues to look that way for quite a while. Only a third through Feb…spring is a ways off, and an early transition doesn’t look to be in the cards.  Suffering is where this is going. 

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That's fine, just get the pattern as hostile as possible so we are far far away from thinking we have any hope. It's already close to that. Even all these close "hopes" turn to shit.

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I was hoping to make a run at average with this look, but that doesn’t seem likely. Getting kind of exhausted parsing model data ad nauseam, having hopes up with pretty colors abound and ultimately ending up with a realized fraction of what could have been. It’s really tiring. 

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  On 2/10/2025 at 5:24 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

We could have made a ton of money betting big against Brookyln’s h5 animations and weenieshine’s clown maps. 

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Well he's just showing what the mean shows. It's nobody's fault though. And this has worked out in CNE and NNE. We are just on the other side of things, although could be worse.

 

Here's to the Ukie.

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  On 2/10/2025 at 5:25 PM, Kitz Craver said:

I was hoping to make a run at average with this look, but that doesn’t seem likely. Getting kind of exhausted parsing model data ad nauseam, having hopes up with pretty colors abound and ultimately ending up with a realized fraction of what could have been. It’s really tiring. 

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LR looks good though lol. But for real, yea it’s a shitty hobby that usually nets undesirable results. This decade has taught me to drastically reduce expectations on a seasonal basis and enjoy these fast and small individual events when they fly through. 

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  On 2/10/2025 at 5:37 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

LR looks good though lol. But for real, yea it’s a shitty hobby that usually nets undesirable results. This decade has taught me to drastically reduce expectations on a seasonal basis and enjoy these fast and small individual events when they fly through. 

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I agree...I'd rather have a small wintry event than no event at all.

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  On 2/10/2025 at 5:41 PM, George001 said:

Euro cuts the 16th and nukes us on the 20th. Honestly, don’t like that. The 20th is just too far out, that’s going to change a billion times. The 16th is closer, I’d rather have that one trend well and the 20th look like shit.

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I think that is likely....if you are actually analyzing what is going on and not just simply basing your perception off of lead time.

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  On 2/10/2025 at 5:41 PM, George001 said:

Euro cuts the 16th and nukes us on the 20th. Honestly, don’t like that. The 20th is just too far out, that’s going to change a billion times. The 16th is closer, I’d rather have that one trend well and the 20th look like shit.

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We don’t get what we want, especially lately. Deal.

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