HoarfrostHubb Posted Saturday at 05:53 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:53 PM 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: So excited and amped I wouldn't get too worked up about Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Saturday at 05:53 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:53 PM Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: I wouldn't get too worked up about Tuesday Big ice and then snow next one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Saturday at 05:53 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:53 PM 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Still early Getting late Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Saturday at 05:55 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:55 PM 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Getting late Menstrual? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Saturday at 06:09 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:09 PM 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Menstrual? Bag of Peas on groin? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted Saturday at 06:10 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:10 PM 16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Big ice and then snow next one You're getting greedy, lot of snow coming asd then you want a crippling lose power for a week ice storm, no thanks, all snow is just fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted Saturday at 06:11 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:11 PM Euro mostly rain for next weekend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Saturday at 06:12 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:12 PM Trends today have been kind of lame for Thursday. It’s a cold look (esp at sfc) but the vort wrapping up further west means we get this quick shot of WAA precip and dryslot. Hopefully we trend that back east just a touch. Next weekend is still all over the place. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Saturday at 06:25 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:25 PM 12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Trends today have been kind of lame for Thursday. It’s a cold look (esp at sfc) but the vort wrapping up further west means we get this quick shot of WAA precip and dryslot. Hopefully we trend that back east just a touch. Next weekend is still all over the place. We already knew not all of these were going to work out, random deterministic orgie runs not withstanding.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted Saturday at 06:27 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:27 PM personally I find it very hard to believe there isn't going to be a large storm when a four sigma west-based -NAO breaks down 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Saturday at 06:39 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:39 PM 28 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said: Euro mostly rain for next weekend No 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Saturday at 06:39 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:39 PM 27 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Trends today have been kind of lame for Thursday. It’s a cold look (esp at sfc) but the vort wrapping up further west means we get this quick shot of WAA precip and dryslot. Hopefully we trend that back east just a touch. Next weekend is still all over the place. Icer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted Saturday at 06:52 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:52 PM The Euro is gearing up for Springtime just to our south....any flex from the SER and birds start chirping their Spring songs. Euro and GFS OPs couldn't be any further apart it seems in the 10-15 range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Saturday at 06:55 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:55 PM 27 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: personally I find it very hard to believe there isn't going to be a large storm when a four sigma west-based -NAO breaks down 23-26th 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted Saturday at 07:00 PM Share Posted Saturday at 07:00 PM 5 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: The Euro is gearing up for Springtime just to our south....any flex from the SER and birds start chirping their Spring songs. Euro and GFS OPs couldn't be any further apart it seems in the 10-15 range. The Euro is all alone in that day 12 depiction of the deep trough in the east with a big warmup here. None of the ensembles show that, and neither does the Euro-AI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted Saturday at 07:13 PM Share Posted Saturday at 07:13 PM 13 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: The Euro is all alone in that day 12 depiction of the deep trough in the east with a big warmup here. None of the ensembles show that, and neither does the Euro-AI. This is confusing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted Saturday at 07:15 PM Share Posted Saturday at 07:15 PM 2 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: This is confusing He meant trough to our west. EPS is cold though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted Saturday at 07:25 PM Share Posted Saturday at 07:25 PM 9 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: This is confusing As Dendy said EPS members are nothing like OP. GEFS as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted Saturday at 07:35 PM Share Posted Saturday at 07:35 PM Wunderground giving me 2’ out n 7 days unread of 31”. the weekend will sort itself out. Ain’t complaining! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted Saturday at 07:44 PM Share Posted Saturday at 07:44 PM 1 hour ago, brooklynwx99 said: personally I find it very hard to believe there isn't going to be a large storm when a four sigma west-based -NAO breaks down 4 sigma on a day 6 ensemble run… nuts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted Saturday at 08:03 PM Share Posted Saturday at 08:03 PM 27 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Wunderground giving me 2’ out n 7 days unread of 31”. the weekend will sort itself out. Ain’t complaining! Yeah. 25” here on their graphic forecast through the 17th 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Saturday at 10:53 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:53 PM 4 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said: personally I find it very hard to believe there isn't going to be a large storm when a four sigma west-based -NAO breaks down The block is to far north and the pv is not south of Hudson Bay. You need that with a -pna and se ridge 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Saturday at 10:59 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:59 PM 7 minutes ago, Allsnow said: The block is to far north and the pv is not south of Hudson Bay. You need that with a -pna and se ridge Maybe for NYC, but it looks fine for this area....give me the -PNA, especially after January. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Saturday at 11:03 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:03 PM 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Maybe for NYC, but it looks fine for this area....give me the -PNA, especially after January. Your biggest issue is if the -pna is too deep out west. You need something to redevelop similar to tonight. But if that block is further north it will hold on to the primary longer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Saturday at 11:29 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:29 PM You don’t want the PV partially phasing with the main shortwave until very late in the game. Those more amped runs are trying to rotate the PV or PV lobes just far enough west to do a little partial phase and send this thing up to BUF…and the colder/snowier solutions delay that process or just flat out keep it from occurring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted Saturday at 11:40 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:40 PM 18z euro ticked north with Tuesday system..gets a couple inches to the south coast. Though we'll need to see some movement at 0z from the other models 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Saturday at 11:40 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:40 PM 36 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Your biggest issue is if the -pna is too deep out west. You need something to redevelop similar to tonight. But if that block is further north it will hold on to the primary longer Right, but this isn't March 2023....I'll take my chances with a -PNA where I am, as opposed to a "perfect" pattern. I'll will take primary issues over confluence issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Saturday at 11:41 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:41 PM 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: You don’t want the PV partially phasing with the main shortwave until very late in the game. Those more amped runs are trying to rotate the PV or PV lobes just far enough west to do a little partial phase and send this thing up to BUF…and the colder/snowier solutions delay that process or just flat out keep it from occurring. December 2022. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Saturday at 11:42 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:42 PM The very last thing I want is a gradient over the pike region while I hear the CT chorus telling me how great it looks. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted Saturday at 11:45 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:45 PM 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The very last thing I want is a gradient over the pike region while I hear the CT chorus telling me how great it looks. I don’t think anyone in SNE wants the gradient over the pike region 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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