HoarfrostHubb Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 5:43 PM, Damage In Tolland said: So excited and amped Expand I wouldn't get too worked up about Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 5:53 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: I wouldn't get too worked up about Tuesday Expand Big ice and then snow next one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 5:44 PM, CoastalWx said: Still early Expand Getting late Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 5:53 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Getting late Expand Menstrual? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 5:55 PM, CoastalWx said: Menstrual? Expand Bag of Peas on groin? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 5:53 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Big ice and then snow next one Expand You're getting greedy, lot of snow coming asd then you want a crippling lose power for a week ice storm, no thanks, all snow is just fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Euro mostly rain for next weekend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Trends today have been kind of lame for Thursday. It’s a cold look (esp at sfc) but the vort wrapping up further west means we get this quick shot of WAA precip and dryslot. Hopefully we trend that back east just a touch. Next weekend is still all over the place. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 6:12 PM, ORH_wxman said: Trends today have been kind of lame for Thursday. It’s a cold look (esp at sfc) but the vort wrapping up further west means we get this quick shot of WAA precip and dryslot. Hopefully we trend that back east just a touch. Next weekend is still all over the place. Expand We already knew not all of these were going to work out, random deterministic orgie runs not withstanding.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 personally I find it very hard to believe there isn't going to be a large storm when a four sigma west-based -NAO breaks down 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 6:11 PM, H2Otown_WX said: Euro mostly rain for next weekend Expand No 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 6:12 PM, ORH_wxman said: Trends today have been kind of lame for Thursday. It’s a cold look (esp at sfc) but the vort wrapping up further west means we get this quick shot of WAA precip and dryslot. Hopefully we trend that back east just a touch. Next weekend is still all over the place. Expand Icer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 The Euro is gearing up for Springtime just to our south....any flex from the SER and birds start chirping their Spring songs. Euro and GFS OPs couldn't be any further apart it seems in the 10-15 range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 6:27 PM, brooklynwx99 said: personally I find it very hard to believe there isn't going to be a large storm when a four sigma west-based -NAO breaks down Expand 23-26th 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 6:52 PM, Spanks45 said: The Euro is gearing up for Springtime just to our south....any flex from the SER and birds start chirping their Spring songs. Euro and GFS OPs couldn't be any further apart it seems in the 10-15 range. Expand The Euro is all alone in that day 12 depiction of the deep trough in the east with a big warmup here. None of the ensembles show that, and neither does the Euro-AI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 7:00 PM, 78Blizzard said: The Euro is all alone in that day 12 depiction of the deep trough in the east with a big warmup here. None of the ensembles show that, and neither does the Euro-AI. Expand This is confusing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 7:13 PM, mahk_webstah said: This is confusing Expand He meant trough to our west. EPS is cold though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 7:13 PM, mahk_webstah said: This is confusing Expand As Dendy said EPS members are nothing like OP. GEFS as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Wunderground giving me 2’ out n 7 days unread of 31”. the weekend will sort itself out. Ain’t complaining! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 6:27 PM, brooklynwx99 said: personally I find it very hard to believe there isn't going to be a large storm when a four sigma west-based -NAO breaks down Expand 4 sigma on a day 6 ensemble run… nuts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 7:35 PM, mahk_webstah said: Wunderground giving me 2’ out n 7 days unread of 31”. the weekend will sort itself out. Ain’t complaining! Expand Yeah. 25” here on their graphic forecast through the 17th 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 6:27 PM, brooklynwx99 said: personally I find it very hard to believe there isn't going to be a large storm when a four sigma west-based -NAO breaks down Expand The block is to far north and the pv is not south of Hudson Bay. You need that with a -pna and se ridge 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 10:53 PM, Allsnow said: The block is to far north and the pv is not south of Hudson Bay. You need that with a -pna and se ridge Expand Maybe for NYC, but it looks fine for this area....give me the -PNA, especially after January. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 10:59 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Maybe for NYC, but it looks fine for this area....give me the -PNA, especially after January. Expand Your biggest issue is if the -pna is too deep out west. You need something to redevelop similar to tonight. But if that block is further north it will hold on to the primary longer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 You don’t want the PV partially phasing with the main shortwave until very late in the game. Those more amped runs are trying to rotate the PV or PV lobes just far enough west to do a little partial phase and send this thing up to BUF…and the colder/snowier solutions delay that process or just flat out keep it from occurring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 18z euro ticked north with Tuesday system..gets a couple inches to the south coast. Though we'll need to see some movement at 0z from the other models 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 11:03 PM, Allsnow said: Your biggest issue is if the -pna is too deep out west. You need something to redevelop similar to tonight. But if that block is further north it will hold on to the primary longer Expand Right, but this isn't March 2023....I'll take my chances with a -PNA where I am, as opposed to a "perfect" pattern. I'll will take primary issues over confluence issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 11:29 PM, ORH_wxman said: You don’t want the PV partially phasing with the main shortwave until very late in the game. Those more amped runs are trying to rotate the PV or PV lobes just far enough west to do a little partial phase and send this thing up to BUF…and the colder/snowier solutions delay that process or just flat out keep it from occurring. Expand December 2022. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 The very last thing I want is a gradient over the pike region while I hear the CT chorus telling me how great it looks. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 11:42 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: The very last thing I want is a gradient over the pike region while I hear the CT chorus telling me how great it looks. Expand I don’t think anyone in SNE wants the gradient over the pike region 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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