CoastalWx Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 00z will be a cutter 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 6 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: For those about to rock. Fiyah!!! weeeesalllutteeyouuuuu Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Just now, CoastalWx said: 00z will be a cutter what makes you say that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 1 minute ago, Prismshine Productions said: what makes you say that? reverse psychology. Tempering his own expectations. It's probably healthy for us all to do that, me however...I'm currently naked 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 15 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: What an orgy of a stretch to have no wife or kids...just unadulterated, meteorological fellatio for over a month Sometimes things just line up for a brother… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 4 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: what makes you say that? Scooter is on tilt. He’s pulling out the Kevin reverse psychology or getting taken to the woodshed so many times since 2022 has turned him into Tblizz. Once he grabs 8-10 on the weekend he will be back to his normal self. 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Anyone have the gif of everyone falling into the pit that MaineJayhawk created way back? 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 FFS guys I’m kidding. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: FFS guys I’m kidding. Lots of newer folks don’t know when you’re f’ing around…look at this morning when you said let’s whiff with the NAM, the whole place almost imploded. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: What an orgy of a stretch to have no wife or kids...just unadulterated, meteorological fellatio for over a month Ray having a romantic time with himself. Blanket sprawled out in front of the fireplace with laptop and notebooks, sharpies and pencils. Fresh popcorn and odouls sitting on the coffee table. TWC broadcasting in the background….A bottle of lotion and box of tissues easily within reach. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 10:1- 36" Kuchie: 51" 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Storm of the season may be the 15-17th 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 for anybody worried about suppression like what happened in Jan after the 15th or so, this is a much more classic block caused by a retrograding Scandi ridge... it's where it should be over the northern Davis Strait rather than south of Greenland. this is why those retrograding Scandi highs are so favorable - the orientation of the block is better with the TPV elongated over SE Canada rather than the N ATL 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Except for the one towards Valentine's Day, these aren't wrapped up blizzards needing some thread the needle capture. I feel like the odds of getting these storms are much greater than a pattern like that. It is just a matter of how much push from the north or the SE and where the heaviest precip ends up. So in other words this isn't some 1 in a million fantasy....written from a perspective I guess 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 1 hour ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Months and months , piles won’t melt til July 31st Tony Montana style!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 For ensemble mean consideration, it is very rare to get a signal this coherent at this kind of time range… this also has a positive PNA pulsation occurring in tandem 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 The next couple of frames after that have a clear tendency for bent cyclonic -PP with an extraordinary number of members below 970 mbar considering the range… 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 all indicators included suggest for me that that is an important period to watch in that midmonth 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: The next couple of frames after that have a clear tendency for bent cyclonic -PP with an extraordinary number of members below 970 mbar considering the range… Amazing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Yeah. That signal for Feb 16 is pretty strong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 The run for the ages if anyone wants it 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Just out of curiosity, does anyone remember what kind of model outputs we were getting in Feb '15? I assume they were comparable at the least, but I just don't remember. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 22 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: all indicators included suggest for me that that is an important period to watch in that midmonth Thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 3 minutes ago, Hoth said: Just out of curiosity, does anyone remember what kind of model outputs we were getting in Feb '15? I assume they were comparable at the least, but I just don't remember. Bigger storms, but spaced further apart maybe? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: FFS guys I’m kidding. 8 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: The run for the ages if anyone wants it That is hilarious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 I hadn’t realized that … was heads down at work save what time I spent was focused on the weekend But the 15-17th bomb on the GFS I consider a nod to the EPS ensemble. Btw, the GEFs have above normal coherence too, just 1/3rd of the coherence … which is still above normal for this range.its just that the EPS is exotic 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 11 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Thread Ha if this were circa 2006 I would at Eastern, with title of ‘possible but above normally ‘ in a heart beat IF we didn’t have possibly two other thread able events after this weekends to consider first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 14 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Bigger storms, but spaced further apart maybe? They were on the models but some looked like they were going to miss us south or graze us and at the last minute they slammed us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 1 minute ago, DavisStraight said: They were on the models but some looked like they were going to miss us south or graze us and at the last minute they slammed us. Many of them also overperformed...the 2/2 event looked like a typical 6-10 SWFE until the RGEM kept insisting on faster redevelopment and continuing the snow all afternoon and it turned into a 12-18" for many. The overrunning storm from Feb 7-9 didn't really materialize on guidance until pretty close in (maybe 5 days out or closer?)....and of course we all remember the mid-level magic storm on 2/15 that was kind of a disaster on models. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Many of them also overperformed...the 2/2 event looked like a typical 6-10 SWFE until the RGEM kept insisting on faster redevelopment and continuing the snow all afternoon and it turned into a 12-18" for many. The overrunning storm from Feb 7-9 didn't really materialize on guidance until pretty close in (maybe 5 days out or closer?)....and of course we all remember the mid-level magic storm on 2/15 that was kind of a disaster on models. I definitely remember overperforming. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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