DavisStraight Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 On 2/5/2025 at 4:25 PM, mahk_webstah said: I suppose it depends on how you define big dogs but next week could bring a pretty big snowstorm Expand So far, they've been small, hoping a big dog sneaks into the pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 On 2/5/2025 at 4:25 PM, mahk_webstah said: I suppose it depends on how you define big dogs but next week could bring a pretty big snowstorm Expand 12z GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 That's some serious cold in Quebec on Saturday - Sunday. Sub zero highs, in quebec city. I think suppression risk is real for NNE. Looks great for the southern crew though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 On 2/5/2025 at 4:27 PM, ineedsnow said: 12z GFS Expand The one near Valentines Day looks promising. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 On 2/5/2025 at 4:29 PM, jbenedet said: That's some serious cold in Quebec on Saturday - Sunday. I think suppression risk is real for NNE. Looks great for the southern crew though. Expand Next week too, those are some serious high pressures sitting up near the Hudson Bay....Just need a good storm to run into it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 On 2/5/2025 at 4:27 PM, ineedsnow said: 12z GFSLotta moisture for that 13th stormSent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Perfect high placement with arctic airmass in place. I think this is great setup for a 6"-10" storm, pike south. I think the risk is we see ticks south on this, and a sharp cut off just to the north. The ensembles are already showing it. LI, coastal CT RI and southeast MA is where you want to be imo. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 I also think it ends up being one storm, not sure I believe the idea of a whole bunch of different waves riding the boundary based on how things have gone this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 13th keeps popping up... this GFS run is a foot of snow. It would be because this one is not a straight shot from the west along a narrow inclusion field, it's coming up the coast as a quasi Miller A - but by virtue of source ( most importantly ...) has a pig ton of PWAT to lop over the polar air mass ... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 On 2/5/2025 at 4:52 PM, Typhoon Tip said: 13th keeps popping up... this GFS run is a foot of snow. It would be because this one is not a straight shot from the west along a narrow inclusion field, it's coming up the coast as a quasi Miller A - but by virtue of source ( most importantly ...) has a pig ton of PWAT to lop over the polar air mass ... Expand Almost reminds me of this event http://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/NARR/1994/us0107.php#picture 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 On 2/5/2025 at 4:59 PM, ORH_wxman said: Almost reminds me of this event http://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/NARR/1994/us0107.php#picture Expand Can't help but have a little movement looking at the progs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 On 2/5/2025 at 5:00 PM, CoastalWx said: Can't help but have a little movement looking at the progs. Expand How long has it been since we saw this type of Scooter high with a juicy system coming out of the south? It’s starting to get that “look” where something larger could happen…just need to get this a bit closer but the cross-guidance support is really strong for being a week out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 On 2/5/2025 at 5:02 PM, ORH_wxman said: How long has it been since we saw this type of Scooter high with a juicy system coming out of the south? It’s starting to get that “look” where something larger could happen…just need to get this a bit closer but the cross-guidance support is really strong for being a week out Expand I know, was thinking to myself about the look....but don't want to jump the gun this early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Did we lose next Weds system or was it a longshot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 On 2/5/2025 at 5:30 PM, Lava Rock said: Did we lose next Weds system or was it a longshot? Expand I think it kinda is melding into one on Thursday maybe..? Long way to go on that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Dews in the low teens and I doubt my high gets out of the low 20's on Sunday. Not a recipe for big snow sans a mid level hook up and CCB, which is not the case here... Congrats SOP. wagons south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 On 2/5/2025 at 5:32 PM, jbenedet said: Dews in the low teens and I doubt my high gets out of the low 20's on Sunday. Not a recipe for big snow sans a mid level hook up and CCB, which is not the case here... Congrats SOP. wagons south. Expand I don’t remember what year it was, but relatively recently we had a 6”+ storm with temps hovering around 0. And we get snow in low 20s all the time. just 3 days ago in fact. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 just so people understand how absurd modeling is getting for mid-late month, this is the GEPS through 300. insane amounts of snow this is the pattern during that mean. the block is still strong over the Davis Strait. the largest storm from this pattern likely hasn't even occurred yet and NYC/BOS still have 18" on the mean. wild 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Ensembles absolutely lit up for next week, My god. What a stretch incoming. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 On 2/5/2025 at 6:08 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said: Ensembles absolutely lit up for next week, My god. What a stretch incoming. Expand trying not to be hyperbolic but it's insane. how is the mean that lit up with the block not even having decayed yet? that's when you usually get the big dog Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 On 2/5/2025 at 6:10 PM, brooklynwx99 said: trying not to be hyperbolic but it's insane. how is the mean that lit up with the block not even having decayed yet? that's when you usually get the big dog Expand The good side of the gradient.. let’s hope it holds.. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 On 2/5/2025 at 12:57 PM, CoastalWx said: All eyes turn to Wilton next week and beyond. Let the power of 1994 TWC local on the 8s flow through your veins. Expand Awesome. Wow...took me right back to those snowy days during college Christmas breaks. As i get older, nostalgia has a much bigger impact on me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 On 2/5/2025 at 6:07 PM, brooklynwx99 said: just so people understand how absurd modeling is getting for mid-late month, this is the GEPS through 300. insane amounts of snow Insane for SNE and points south but nicely AN in my area, ~13" compared to 10", as the average SN is about 0.8"/day for that period. Expand 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 On 2/5/2025 at 6:07 PM, brooklynwx99 said: just so people understand how absurd modeling is getting for mid-late month, this is the GEPS through 300. insane amounts of snowThat is the 10:1 rates too... Kuchie got to be around 2 feet if not more I imagine Sent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 I see why euro was on hold …. Holy shit , one of the most epic op runs of all time .. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 When do we take socks off and begin to unzip? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 On 2/5/2025 at 6:42 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: When do we take socks off and begin to unzip? Expand When the snow is falling. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 On 2/5/2025 at 6:36 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said: I see why euro was on hold …. Holy shit , one of the most epic op runs of all time .. Someone posted it in a Discord server... Somebody give @HIPPYVALLEY @ineedsnow and @40/70 Benchmark pulse checksSent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 On 2/5/2025 at 6:44 PM, Prismshine Productions said: Someone posted it in a Discord server... Somebody give @HIPPYVALLEY @ineedsnow and @40/70 Benchmark pulse checks Sent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk Expand Where do I sign up for the whining crew that only gets 30".... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 On 2/5/2025 at 6:44 PM, Prismshine Productions said: Someone posted it in a Discord server... Somebody give @HIPPYVALLEY @ineedsnow and @40/70 Benchmark pulse checks Sent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk Expand 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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