WinterWolf Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: No one does so we close eyes hope wish and pray until it snows. WTF? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Ensemble 8 would very much so make up for me dealing with COVID this week... But I ain't a greedy weenieSent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Could be washed away snows SoP first two events then a whiff at d8. Likely. Believe it when you see it is the trend to stick by. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: WTF? You boys have to come to some sort of agreement. I don't want to have to say "I'm stopping this car!" 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 i mean yeah i get the skepticism but these probabilities are objectively ridiculous 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 5 Author Share Posted February 5 43 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: i mean yeah i get the skepticism but these probabilities are objectively ridiculous Looks terrific, exactly where we were talking about a week or two ago. Were you here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Cmc has 2 snow events next week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 42 minutes ago, CAPE said: This is the upper level pattern for early next week. Suppression is not the failure mode I would be worried about with this look. Imo it wont be easy to get an all snow event. Best shot very northern parts of the region. Grabbed from MA forum. Alleviates suppression concern for early week. Who is gonna start the thread for what will be 3rd and most widespread event over a 6 day period?! We are starting a great run. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Snower every three days on the 6z GFS for the entire run, nothing huge but a constant onslaught. Sign me up!!!!! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 One thing that doesn’t appear to show in the long range is any deep cold weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 3 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: One thing that doesn’t appear to show in the long range is any deep cold weather Good 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 6 hours ago, MJO812 said: Cmc has 2 snow events next week So does the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 EPS of yore last night for MASS 18-22" mean lol with a highly favorable pattern days 15+ 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: EPS of yore last night for MASS 18-22" mean lol with a highly favorable pattern days 15+ Very cool just having an active pattern with cold in place or nearby. I'll take the nickles and dimes and hopefully we can cash in with a larger event. Saturday night is looking decent right now as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 So just going back to what the models were saying for February. About a week and a half, 2 weeks ago, was it the Euro that was saying we were going to get a warm-up in the East and the GFS was saying we were going to stay colder and stormier? The reason I ask is it seems like the Euro ( even with the storms happening in the next several days ) has come around to the GFS. I'm also thinking that in the longer range it also had come around to the GFS in terms of not having the ridge into the East. Am I correct to assume this? So much going on.... Can't keep things straight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 All eyes turn to Wilton next week and beyond. Let the power of 1994 TWC local on the 8s flow through your veins. 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 1 hour ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: EPS of yore last night for MASS 18-22" mean lol with a highly favorable pattern days 15+ How can you say that without it posting a clown map for Moonshine? I will say the most impressive part of the EPS run is the 6” mean for BOS-ORH (and you can extend that basically down to HVN) for next week’s event (the event after Sunday which could be a prolonged overrunning situation)…impressive mean for that far out. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 The nice thing about that map is it even is good for the Cape. Nice E-W look there on the mean. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: How can you say that without it posting a clown map for Moonshine? I will say the most impressive part of the EPS run is the 6” mean for BOS-ORH (and you can extend that basically down to HVN) for next week’s event (the event after Sunday which could be a prolonged overrunning situation)…impressive mean for that far out. Don’t know that I’ve seen a mean like this up here. That is astounding. 24+ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Make Winter Great Again 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The nice thing about that map is it even is good for the Cape. Nice E-W look there on the mean. DC to QC fredericksburg to Fredericton Annapolis to Machias region wide in a broad way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Bit of a (dare I say) mini 2015 vibe. Last time I can remember snowfall means that impressive. Could be a great stretch coming up. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
apm Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Another way of looking at it: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Happy national weather persons day. Probably bad timing with Elon going into NOAA. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 12 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said: i mean yeah i get the skepticism but these probabilities are objectively ridiculous Fwiw, that actually doesn't look that bad for me ... I see "probability for >- 12" spanning two weeks of time on this product? Cumulatively, we seem likely to receive at least 3" a pop from 4 pretty easily identifiable events in both guidance and method. I guess capping at 70% might be a conservative approach, too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 49 minutes ago, SACRUS said: How much will fall in the frozen variety From NYC thread. This shows where we’re headed. Well over an inch for most of New England and the Wednesday storm isn’t finished yet. WPC tends to be a little conservative. we are stepping into a fantastic few weeks of winter. We deserve it! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 1 hour ago, dendrite said: Happy national weather persons day. Probably bad timing with Elon going into NOAA. Don't worry, He won't find any money there. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 3 hours ago, Hazey said: Bit of a (dare I say) mini 2015 vibe. Last time I can remember snowfall means that impressive. Could be a great stretch coming up. I was saying the same thing, no big dogs but a lot of puppies. At least we're tracking and snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 7 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: I was saying the same thing, no big dogs but a lot of puppies. At least we're tracking and snowing. I suppose it depends on how you define big dogs but next week could bring a pretty big snowstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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