40/70 Benchmark Posted Sunday at 11:00 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:00 PM 4 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said: EPS has a 3 sigma block right over the pole. ridiculous Pardon me if I wait until a huge event has SNE in the day 3 cross hairs to unzip- 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted Sunday at 11:02 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:02 PM 32 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: So you sold the sled to somebody, and that person in turn sold it to one of your neighbors? Do I have that right? Yep 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted Sunday at 11:03 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 11:03 PM 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Pardon me if I wait until a huge event has SNE in the day 3 cross hairs to unzip- If that PV retrogrades a bit west, we're probably going to have a few killer cutters. Or at least messy triple-point huggers Risk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Sunday at 11:06 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:06 PM 4 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said: it's funny, March 2018 would have been hyperbolic but that's literally almost as anomalous and has the same general progression Did you see my blog from yesterday? Feb 2018 is my primary analog for this strat disruption. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2025/02/guidance-now-keying-in-on-expected.html 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Sunday at 11:09 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:09 PM 4 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: It's amazing how dependable these early La Nina springs are ... I've been trying to get people to pump the brakes on these early spring ideas for a while.....though guardedly so prior to guidance playing ball with the PV. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Monday at 02:53 AM Share Posted Monday at 02:53 AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Monday at 03:07 AM Share Posted Monday at 03:07 AM 4 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I've been trying to get people to pump the brakes on these early spring ideas for a while.....though guardedly so prior to guidance playing ball with the PV. Heh. Too early to discount tho; really guarded. Things can turn around really fast - as much as you’ve been break pumping I’ve been trying to emphasize not to get caught up in the weeds of this thing. The only reason we are even normal (if even below here and there ) is this EPO anomaly - which is a bit of a La Niña anomaly in itself. It’s been predominating the circulation mode for 6 on in weeks. If the faucet shuts off our rest state without it defaults to above normal + any embedded warm bursts. Very different world. It’s just that for the time being … we are protected by modeling. And possibly that the La Niña isn’t firmly coupled … but that takes a broader analysis 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted Monday at 11:12 AM Share Posted Monday at 11:12 AM That’s a pretty epic 6z GFS for SNE. Let’s hope weenies. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted Monday at 11:30 AM Share Posted Monday at 11:30 AM 16 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said: That’s a pretty epic 6z GFS for SNE. Let’s hope weenies. Lots of details to be worked out, but lots to look at in the pipeline. GFS has been fairly consistent for several runs, hopefully it's onto something (that isn't crack) 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted Monday at 11:42 AM Share Posted Monday at 11:42 AM 33 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said: That’s a pretty epic 6z GFS for SNE. Let’s hope weenies. Ya for all of New England 12-24” over the next 9-10 days then another biggie in weenie range 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted Monday at 12:01 PM Share Posted Monday at 12:01 PM Who’s gonna start the weekend thread? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted Monday at 12:08 PM Share Posted Monday at 12:08 PM 6 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Who’s gonna start the weekend thread? Someone... on Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted Monday at 12:09 PM Share Posted Monday at 12:09 PM Just now, UnitedWx said: Someone... on Wednesday It is the bigger better threat for all. We can hold off on Feb 12-13 until the 6th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted Monday at 12:31 PM Share Posted Monday at 12:31 PM 21 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: It is the bigger better threat for all. We can hold off on Feb 12-13 until the 6th. I guess, I would just give it another day or so. Plenty of room in the February thread. Maybe start one for Thursday first? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Monday at 12:32 PM Share Posted Monday at 12:32 PM 1 minute ago, UnitedWx said: I guess, I would just give it another day or so. Plenty of room in the February thread. Maybe start one for Thursday first? Yeah still early. Looks messy though in SNE. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted Monday at 12:32 PM Share Posted Monday at 12:32 PM 1 minute ago, UnitedWx said: I guess, I would just give it another day or so. Plenty of room in the February thread. Maybe start one for Thursday first? We already have one for Thursday. I think we could start one for this Saturday, Sunday at this point. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Monday at 01:10 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:10 PM Yeah the weekend threat is becoming more and more coherent on model guidance. Looks colder than the mid-week threat but still plenty of ptype issue. Might be a longer period of sleet/ice after an initial thump. But we’ll see how that trends over the next day or two. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Monday at 01:11 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:11 PM Holy smokes! 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted Monday at 01:15 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:15 PM 41 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: We already have one for Thursday. I think we could start one for this Saturday, Sunday at this point. Didn't even notice, I'll check it out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted Monday at 01:16 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:16 PM 5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Holy smokes! Isn't that a fine thing... Is that the Euro? Only looked at the GFS so far this A.M. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted Monday at 01:19 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:19 PM 7 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Holy smokes! A storm so strong it changed the map of the coastline! 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted Monday at 01:20 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:20 PM 3 minutes ago, UnitedWx said: Isn't that a fine thing... Is that the Euro? Only looked at the GFS so far this A.M. As an absolute monster. My question is what does it look like 24 hours before and where was it heading as far as precipitation types for the Northeast? 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted Monday at 01:21 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:21 PM 1 minute ago, bristolri_wx said: A storm so strong it changed the map of the coastline! I thought the same thing haha. Cape Cod is listening! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Monday at 01:26 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:26 PM Guys it’s fake lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted Monday at 01:28 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:28 PM Just now, CoastalWx said: Guys it’s fake lol Yeah, that photo of the 934mb low cropped in was taken about a month or so ago I believe, wasn’t there one run that had a solution like that for the 1/11-1/12 threat? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted Monday at 01:28 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:28 PM 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Guys it’s fake lol HA that would explain why I can't find it anywhere. Looked like Euro graphics... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted Monday at 01:28 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:28 PM 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Guys it’s fake lol It's the hope that kills you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted Monday at 01:30 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:30 PM Hey, I'm happy enough there's some possible action showing in the pipeline, doesn't need to be 1888 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted Monday at 01:33 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:33 PM Big buns for being duped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted Monday at 01:37 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:37 PM 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Big buns for being duped. No... big buns for trying to multitask and falling for a joke post from one of what I consider to be one of the most trustworthy posters 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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