dendrite Posted Saturday at 05:03 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:03 PM 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: Good luck I’ll add I’m not talking verbatim on a d8 solution. Just saying a primary up to ART with the lower cold locked into New England kinda suggests snow to a good period of sleet somewhere…850-down cold with an annoying warm layer at 750. But it’s all shids and gigs at this time range. Just spit balling potential outcomes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan63 Posted Saturday at 05:06 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:06 PM 16 minutes ago, DJln491 said: don't say anything to her yet that would be the equivalent to someone starting a thread Not saying anything at all, I'll let my mother in law fall on that sword. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted Saturday at 05:10 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:10 PM 40 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Sleet is ice Ah, NO. Sleet is sleet Ice is Ice. To be correct: both are regarded as winter precipitation. Just about all precipitation starts as an ice crystal. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted Saturday at 05:10 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 05:10 PM 21 minutes ago, DJln491 said: don't say anything to her yet that would be the equivalent to someone starting a thread let's fire one up! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted Saturday at 05:13 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:13 PM 2 minutes ago, ROOSTA said: Ah, NO. Sleet is sleet Ice is Ice. To be correct: both are regarded as winter precipitation. Just about all precipitation starts as an ice crystal. Sleet is frozen precip. Freezing rain is liquid. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted Saturday at 05:30 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:30 PM 29 minutes ago, dendrite said: I’ll add I’m not talking verbatim on a d8 solution. Just saying a primary up to ART with the lower cold locked into New England kinda suggests snow to a good period of sleet somewhere…850-down cold with an annoying warm layer at 750. But it’s all shids and gigs at this time range. Just spit balling potential outcomes. Exactly no one expects that to verify verbatim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted Saturday at 05:47 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:47 PM 57 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: This is a dream snowy pattern for SNE/CNE. Very 07-08 like. Enjoy SNE doesn’t love all of 07-08. But we sure do up here…all 140” of it. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted Saturday at 05:48 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:48 PM Dr No doing Dr No things for Thurs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Saturday at 05:50 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:50 PM 1 minute ago, DJln491 said: Dr No doing Dr No things for Thurs Also pretty warm for next weekend too. But these are gonna move around a bit. I’d expect mid week to be kind of tough south of CNE but next weekend has better look. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted Saturday at 05:51 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:51 PM ECMWF gone wild after the Super Bowl. full on Arctic ridge bridge with -EPO/-NAO 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Saturday at 06:14 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:14 PM 22 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: ECMWF gone wild after the Super Bowl. full on Arctic ridge bridge with -EPO/-NAO The snow and ice threats just kept going in clown range that run. It was like 6 events total over the 15 days. Crazy active. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted Saturday at 06:17 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:17 PM 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The snow and ice threats just kept going in clown range that run. It was like 6 events total over the 15 days. Crazy active. there's so much going for the blocking that I kinda have to believe it. the progression makes perfect sense. similar to March 2018 with the -PNA, retrograding Scandi ridge, N Atl wavebreaking and a strat assist. obv not going to be quite as anomalous but there are similarities 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted Saturday at 06:29 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:29 PM 13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The snow and ice threats just kept going in clown range that run. It was like 6 events total over the 15 days. Crazy active. Question, how much credence in the long range? Long range models have struggled all season with any kind of consistency; need to see these threats there within 5 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Saturday at 06:32 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:32 PM Leave it to Euro to ruin the mid week and weekend storms . Unreal. Hopeful it’s an outlier compared to EPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted Saturday at 06:36 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:36 PM 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Leave it to Euro to ruin the mid week and weekend storms . Unreal. Hopeful it’s an outlier compared to EPS Not a great look thursday on the mean, but much better look next weekend vs op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Saturday at 06:38 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:38 PM 7 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: Question, how much credence in the long range? Long range models have struggled all season with any kind of consistency; need to see these threats there within 5 days. I wouldn’t put too much credence in anything beyond D5 in this pattern in terms of specifics but this type of pattern is definitely ripe for lots of rapid fire chances. So I think it makes sense to see so many systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted Saturday at 06:40 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:40 PM EPS has the retrograding block. 2 sigma ridge over the pole 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Saturday at 06:40 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:40 PM 2 minutes ago, wx2fish said: Not a great look thursday on the mean, but much better look next weekend vs op. Yep. Midweek might be a struggle. Esp down here but the weekend looks pretty good on the eps mean. I don’t expect pristine systems but I’d love to get several big front enders that maybe change to sleet/ZR over interior before dryslotting. Get some meat in the pack if we’re gonna be dealing with a prolonged winter pattern into February. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Saturday at 06:43 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:43 PM Let’s fire the canons and get bombarded with snow threats until about mid March then tip toe to 70’s. Hoping for about 50” in this span 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Saturday at 06:45 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:45 PM The 9th is actually attempting a Miller B in the EPS mean ... It's a rather unusual approach. Typically, that storm type originates from the N/ or hybrid stream coming down the polar boundary, whilst lower +PP is situated over or N of our region, but this mean at 12z is approaching from the WSW. I think I see it though. The jet is still a polar branch - it's just doing a weird circuitous journey through the continent. Also, there is modest +PP N of the region to help enhance baroclinicity but it's in the ambience more so than a nodal surface high pressure whatever too much effort for this range 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Saturday at 06:46 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:46 PM Mean snowfall the next 12 days on the EPS is 13.. that's damn good for mean 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Saturday at 07:15 PM Share Posted Saturday at 07:15 PM 28 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Mean snowfall the next 12 days on the EPS is 13.. that's damn good for mean Pretty robust EPS run. They’ve gotten progressively better, but even several days ago it was hinting at some legit potential…which is why I was posting it amidst all the bridge-jumping 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bwt3650 Posted Saturday at 07:22 PM Share Posted Saturday at 07:22 PM Pretty robust EPS run. They’ve gotten progressively better, but even several days ago it was hinting at some legit potential…which is why I was posting it amidst all the bridge-jumping It’s going to get fun in feb. Hang on for the Highs and lows of model watching. Going to be plenty of negativity when some of those don’t work, but looking back at the month as a whole on March 1st, I bet everyone gets in on something from nyc-nne.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted Saturday at 07:37 PM Share Posted Saturday at 07:37 PM Pretty robust EPS run. They’ve gotten progressively better, but even several days ago it was hinting at some legit potential…which is why I was posting it amidst all the bridge-jumping There a more zoomed in zone to see how the interior is?Sent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted Saturday at 07:43 PM Share Posted Saturday at 07:43 PM Also went back on last season's log for the valley... @HIPPYVALLEY both of us are ahead of where we were last year at this time, I know my climo average is 56.5, what's yours?Sent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Saturday at 07:50 PM Share Posted Saturday at 07:50 PM 6 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: Also went back on last season's log for the valley... @HIPPYVALLEY both of us are ahead of where we were last year at this time, I know my climo average is 56.5, what's yours? Sent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk That seems low for your hood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted Saturday at 07:57 PM Share Posted Saturday at 07:57 PM These threats are overwhelming in number. I pine for the boring days of January and December. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Saturday at 07:57 PM Share Posted Saturday at 07:57 PM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Saturday at 08:02 PM Share Posted Saturday at 08:02 PM 5 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: These threats are overwhelming in number. I pine for the boring days of January and December. Your sarcasm is very humorous… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted Saturday at 08:04 PM Share Posted Saturday at 08:04 PM wow the Euro weeklies just want to keep pushing back the thaw... This is mid-March 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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