Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 On 1/25/2025 at 2:48 PM, CoastalWx said: Unfortunately not the precip we care about Expand First few threat or two yes, after that it’s up in the air still 10-14 days away, after this coming week it doesn’t look dry, for now… 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 25 Author Share Posted January 25 On 1/25/2025 at 2:55 PM, CoastalWx said: Looking forward to more upslope pics from PF and ski journals from Jspin. Expand Yeah you know they want to talk smack, but so many would rage quit the board there would be no one left Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 On 1/25/2025 at 2:26 PM, CoastalWx said: I’m like the fat kid on stand by me at the pie eating contest. Watching all the weenies puke and I’m just sitting back smiling. Expand Cousin Donnie tried to sound the alarm. Weeks ago. On 1/25/2025 at 2:57 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said: First few threat or two yes, after that it’s up in the air still 10-14 days away, after this coming week it doesn’t look dry, for now… Expand Where have we heard that before? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 You know we’ve hit rock bottom when Don’s posts mimic Brett’s. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 On 1/25/2025 at 3:03 PM, WxWatcher007 said: Cousin Donnie tried to sound the alarm. Weeks ago. Where have we heard that before? Expand That was my point the “rain” on the ops is 10-14 days away, plenty of time to change. Especially with that much cold in Canada. February is peak season for snow in New England, roll the dice for the 100th time it seems since our last good storm and pattern and let’s see what we roll. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 On 1/25/2025 at 2:46 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said: You can lead a horse to the water but you can make them drink it Expand Ensembles still have a strong tightly compressed zonal flow. It won’t be wet like that if they’re right. Those are equivalent to posting snow maps 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 On 1/25/2025 at 3:35 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Ensembles still have a strong tightly compressed zonal flow. It won’t be wet like that if they’re right. Those are equivalent to posting snow maps Expand You’ll likely see some changes on the next drought monitor report. Most of SNE will probably move into moderate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 On 1/25/2025 at 3:22 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said: That was my point the “rain” on the ops is 10-14 days away, plenty of time to change. Especially with that much cold in Canada. February is peak season for snow in New England, roll the dice for the 100th time it seems since our last good storm and pattern and let’s see what we roll. Expand In all seriousness—I’m on to 2025-26, but it’d be an almost incomprehensible level of futility if we went through peak snow climo without something. I know we’re willing to roll the dice on a gradient pattern but we're doing so because all the other rolls we had with loaded dice were a loss. Nothing has come easy (not that I expected it to) and turning to February we're hoping that a pattern notorious for creating winners and losers produces for most of us. That’s shaky ground to stand on to me considering the actual tenor of the season. Again, I think it snows, and I’m sticking with my thought that mby gets another ~20-25” this season, but even as I read this sentence it seems like a stretch given the next 10 days or so that will likely fail to produce meaningful snow in CT and a potentially sensitive pattern afterward. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 On 1/25/2025 at 3:35 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Ensembles still have a strong tightly compressed zonal flow. It won’t be wet like that if they’re right. Those are equivalent to posting snow maps Expand The amount of bullshit in these threads is amazing. You all can keep on bitching if you want and stating things that aren’t true. The upcoming pattern for Feb isn’t modeled as dry currently, I posted the charts to show it. Whether it’s rain or snow, Let’s see what happens. It’s not a lights out winter is over pattern plain and simple, it’s actually quite the opposite which is all we can hope for in February. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 First week of Feb looks tough for snow…although that could always change. Ensembles and weeklies both def look decently cold for second week of Feb. Maybe we can mimick Feb 1972 pattern…that was a La Niña with kind of a dud Dec/Jan for snow and then Feb start off as the typical SE ridge torchy pattern but then it flipped middle of the month and several snow events including a major one occurred. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 On 1/25/2025 at 3:40 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: You’ll likely see some changes on the next drought monitor report. Most of SNE will probably move into moderate. Expand Already are. Almost extreme Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 On 1/25/2025 at 3:42 PM, WxWatcher007 said: In all seriousness—I’m on to 2025-26, but it’d be an almost incomprehensible level of futility if we went through peak snow climo without something. I know we’re willing to roll the dice on a gradient pattern but we're doing so because all the other rolls we had with loaded dice were a loss. Nothing has come easy (not that I expected it to) and turning to February we're hoping that a pattern notorious for creating winners and losers produces for most of us. That’s shaky ground to stand on to me considering the actual tenor of the season. Again, I think it snows, and I’m sticking with my thought that mby gets another ~20-25” this season, but even as I read this sentence it seems like a stretch given the next 10 days or so that will likely fail to produce meaningful snow in CT and a potentially sensitive pattern afterward. Expand Nothing is certain, we just don’t know. Maybe it snows, maybe it doesn’t? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 On 1/25/2025 at 3:45 PM, ORH_wxman said: First week of Feb looks tough for snow…although that could always change. Ensembles and weeklies both def look decently cold for second week of Feb. Maybe we can mimick Feb 1972 pattern…that was a La Niña with kind of a dud Dec/Jan for snow and then Feb start off as the typical SE ridge torchy pattern but then it flipped middle of the month and several snow events including a major one occurred. Expand I agree Feb 1-5 or so.. then after that we should reshuffle, wonder if we can get a well timed high for a wintry mix at least instead of all rain in that Feb 1-5 timeframe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 On 1/25/2025 at 3:45 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said: The amount of bullshit in these threads is amazing. You all can keep on bitching if you want and stating things that aren’t true. The upcoming pattern for Feb isn’t modeled as dry currently, I posted the charts to show it. Whether it’s rain or snow, Let’s see what happens. It’s not a lights out winter is over pattern plain and simple, it’s actually quite the opposite which is all we can hope for in February. Expand Only one complaining is scooter. I do not think that pattern looks wet. Might it rain or snow a few times .. sure. But the ensembles are not showing some wet pattern like last winter 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 I’m sure it will be all rain at that time and then sun and 498 thicknesses in between. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Pattern looks absolutely awful going forward, it’s a worse version of January since the moisture brings more warmth now followed by cold and dry rinse and repeat. Dreadful 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 On 1/25/2025 at 3:54 PM, CoastalWx said: I’m sure it will be all rain at that time and then sun and 498 thicknesses in between. Expand That’s favored for now, we just hope it changes, we are due… eventually it will break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 On 1/25/2025 at 3:59 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said: That’s favored for now, we just hope it changes, we are due… eventually it will break. Expand Wolfie get ahold of your phone? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 On 1/25/2025 at 3:54 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Only one complaining is scooter. I do not think that pattern looks wet. Might it rain or snow a few times .. sure. But the ensembles are not shoring some wet pattern like last winter Expand Telling it how it is shouldn’t be seen as complaining. I don’t make the weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Danger lurks ? https://x.com/jgodynick/status/1883171945111552414?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 On 1/25/2025 at 4:10 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Wolfie get ahold of your phone? Expand Maybe he has, maybe he hasn’t, we just don’t know. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 On 1/25/2025 at 3:59 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said: That’s favored for now, we just hope it changes, we are due… eventually it will break. Expand I’ve seen many a red-tag say, “Nope, it doesn’t work like that” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 On 1/25/2025 at 4:18 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said: Maybe he has, maybe he hasn’t, we just don’t know. Expand Don’t come round at night , cuz he’s bound to take your life.. there’s a bad Wolf on the right . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 25 Author Share Posted January 25 On 1/25/2025 at 3:22 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: You know we’ve hit rock bottom when Don’s posts mimic Brett’s. Expand Rock bottom is still a few weeks away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 On 1/25/2025 at 4:22 PM, Kitz Craver said: I’ve seen many a red-tag say, “Nope, it doesn’t work like that” Expand ??? Until it does, we won’t always get skunked during favorable patterns, just bad luck… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 25 Author Share Posted January 25 On 1/25/2025 at 4:22 PM, Kitz Craver said: I’ve seen many a red-tag say, “Nope, it doesn’t work like that” Expand Maybe it does, maybe it won't? We just don't know. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 On 1/25/2025 at 4:31 PM, Torch Tiger said: Rock bottom is still a few weeks away Expand 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 On 1/25/2025 at 3:59 PM, qg_omega said: Pattern looks absolutely awful going forward, it’s a worse version of January since the moisture brings more warmth now followed by cold and dry rinse and repeat. Dreadful Expand So good to have your hot take Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 25 Author Share Posted January 25 On 1/25/2025 at 4:39 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Expand You can envision a certain poster raging out, running over their laptop with a plow truck while listening to this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 So much for an early spring. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now