WEATHER53 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 10 minutes ago, yoda said: Only Montgomery and Howard were. I were what? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Just now, WEATHER53 said: I were what? Upgraded to WSW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1246 PM EST Sat Jan 18 2025 DCZ001-MDZ013-014-VAZ051-053-054-502-527-190200- /O.NEW.KLWX.WW.Y.0005.250119T1200Z-250120T0000Z/ District of Columbia-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Culpeper-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Southern Fauquier-Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- 1246 PM EST Sat Jan 18 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 2 and 4 inches. * WHERE...The District of Columbia, central Maryland, and northern Virginia. * WHEN...From 7 AM to 7 PM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions will impact travel. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will overspread the area Sunday morning and continue through the afternoon before tapering off during the evening. Snowfall rates could approach 1 inch an hour at times. Temperatures will fall into the teens Sunday night so any lingering moisture on area roadways will freeze. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago How does one get inside the Bektwat?Don’t ask Randy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 1 minute ago, yoda said: URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1246 PM EST Sat Jan 18 2025 DCZ001-MDZ013-014-VAZ051-053-054-502-527-190200- /O.NEW.KLWX.WW.Y.0005.250119T1200Z-250120T0000Z/ District of Columbia-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Culpeper-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Southern Fauquier-Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- 1246 PM EST Sat Jan 18 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 2 and 4 inches. * WHERE...The District of Columbia, central Maryland, and northern Virginia. * WHEN...From 7 AM to 7 PM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions will impact travel. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will overspread the area Sunday morning and continue through the afternoon before tapering off during the evening. Snowfall rates could approach 1 inch an hour at times. Temperatures will fall into the teens Sunday night so any lingering moisture on area roadways will freeze. I like how they say rates can be an inch an hour but only call for 2 to 4 inches lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 7 minutes ago, winter_warlock said: I like how they say rates can be an inch an hour but only call for 2 to 4 inches lol It says “may approach” and “at times” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Just now, Kmlwx said: It says “may approach” and “at times” Yeah but still I just think NWS is being a lil conservative. Considering what models are shoin But they always do that lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Just now, winter_warlock said: Yeah but still I just think NWS is being a lil conservative. Considering what models are shoin But they always do that lol was 8-12 on 1/6 not agressive? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 13 minutes ago, bncho said: 13 minutes ago, bncho said: was 8-12 on 1/6 not agressive? Well yeah lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 17 minutes ago, winter_warlock said: Yeah but still I just think NWS is being a lil conservative. Considering what models are shoin But they always do that lol I prefer when they start conservative and increase totals. When they are too bullish, we end up not verifying (like the last storm). 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Looks like the front just went thru Columbus OH as of 1pm reading. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Yes they have done that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kay Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1246 PM EST Sat Jan 18 2025 MDZ008-011-504-506-508-VAZ025-038-039-504-508-190200- /O.NEW.KLWX.WW.Y.0005.250119T1200Z-250120T0000Z/ Cecil-Southern Baltimore-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Central and Southeast Howard-Southeast Harford-Augusta-Greene-Madison- Eastern Highland-Central Virginia Blue Ridge- 1246 PM EST Sat Jan 18 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 2 and 4 inches. * WHERE...Portions of central, northeast, and northern Maryland and central, northwest, and western Virginia. * WHEN...From 7 AM to 7 PM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions will impact travel. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will overspread the area Sunday morning and continue through the afternoon before tapering off during the evening. Snowfall rates could approach 1 inch an hour at times. Temperatures will fall into the teens Sunday night so any lingering moisture on area roadways will freeze. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Anyone know how the fv3 is with placing VVs? Trying to get an idea of ratios and the GFs has lift centered ideally in the DGZ but the fv3 has the lift oddly centered very low for much of the storm. Would make a huge difference in ratios. Is there any data on which is better? I am leery of using the 3k NAM because it doesn’t really have that deform band at all which I think is wrong. And I can’t get euro soundings. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LordBaltimore Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 13 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Anyone know how the fv3 is with placing VVs? Trying to get an idea of ratios and the GFs has lift centered ideally in the DGZ but the fv3 has the lift oddly centered very low for much of the storm. Would make a huge difference in ratios. Is there any data on which is better? I am leery of using the 3k NAM because it doesn’t really have that deform band at all which I think is wrong. And I can’t get euro soundings. Thanks. The fv3 has inherent problems with updrafts because of the d-grid. Not sure how this translates to winter storms but take a look at this: https://epic.noaa.gov/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/UIFCW-2023-Tue-4.-Wicker_FV3_UFS_Talk-1.pdf 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Ok, someone make an obs thread. It's time. It's happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted 5 hours ago Author Share Posted 5 hours ago Okie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago I always get nervous in these anafront setups where we have to wait for cold air to come over the mountains. Models are usually too fast to cool things off. Hopefully we still get a decent event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 1 minute ago, Amped said: I always get nervous in these anafront setups where we have to wait for cold air to come over the mountains. Models are usually too fast to cool things off. Hopefully we still get a decent event. It’s not like we are in the 50s/60s today. Has to cool from the upper 30s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Sfc temps are running 1-2° cooler than the HRRR had 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted 5 hours ago Author Share Posted 5 hours ago New Thread Been Give @WxUSAF @stormtracker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 1 minute ago, Amped said: I always get nervous in these anafront setups where we have to wait for cold air to come over the mountains. Models are usually too fast to cool things off. Hopefully we still get a decent event. You're definitely correct but I think the difference here is that this isn't our usual little bs cold shot. This is a legit arctic airmass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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