DDweatherman Posted 8 hours ago Author Share Posted 8 hours ago Just now, hstorm said: It looks virtually identical to 6z. Whether it’s right or not is a different question. Icon is getting wetter by the run for several spots, but mainly NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 3 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Icon is getting wetter by the run for several spots, but mainly NW LP is strengthening a bit on this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago WB 12Z RGEM little drier and tick SE compared to 6Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 41 minutes ago, dailylurker said: The 95 region will go like this.. It will start as rain while nw of the area will be snow and 30-31 degrees. Lowlands will be 35-36 with light rain. As the low gets going and the precip is rocketing ne a band will form on the backside. It will be pretty heavy. Temps will drop to 31-32 and rain will turn to heavy snow. Big wet flakes. That will last from 45 minutes to about 2 hours. It will drop 1-2" maybe a 3" lollie in my yard lol. It will rapidly end from sw to ne and the wind will come in behind it. I've watched weather in this area for 46 years. Book it This is pretty much what will happen for the 95E crew. But I'll amend this to MBY The NW crew will get snow sooner but as the low gets going my hood will see temps rise to 60s and if I'm lucky there will be enough sun to come out to get severe. A squall line will come thru before the cold front and once that clears a wall of cold air will come and freeze my puddles. Only snow will be the sad piles in the parking lots from the 1/6 snow. If the mud freezes quick enough the kids can go sledding 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 1 minute ago, H2O said: This is pretty much what will happen for the 95E crew. But I'll amend this to MBY The NW crew will get snow sooner but as the low gets going my hood will see temps rise to 60s and if I'm lucky there will be enough sun to come out to get severe. A squall line will come thru before the cold front and once that clears a wall of cold air will come and freeze my puddles. Only snow will be the sad piles in the parking lots from the 1/6 snow. If the mud freezes quick enough the kids can go sledding 60s? That would be unfortunate. Can’t even play golf and take advantage of it. When are we hitting 60? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 28 minutes ago, DarkSharkWX said: rgem shifted SE Think we may be at the beginning of the models picking up on the progressive nature of the flow with no blocking and the cold air allowed to slosh east southeast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Well..GFS show starting. We should know what's up pretty quickly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Well..GFS show starting. We should know what's up pretty quickly I feel like if things are to go awry…this would be the run 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: I feel like if things are to go awry…this would be the run Same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago So far, no notable changes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Looking good so far..same as 6z, but sfc temps are a hair cooler 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Not RGEM or ICON like, that's for sure. It's about the same as 6z..for mby anyway 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Looking good so far..same as 6z, but sfc temps are a hair cooler That's good. No warmer trend. we're 24 hours out and the rgem doesn't know shit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago N and W seems to get the better snows. But duh. Phil up to NYC do pretty well too. Not that yall care 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago WB 12Z GFS 10 am, 1 pm; 4, 7 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Looks like a hold 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago My forecast still looks to stay the same. NW of I-95: 3-6” w/ up to 8” max Along & SE if I-95: 2-5” w/ up to 6” max Area south if I-66 in NoVa and SMD: 1-3” w/ potentially up to 4” if everything breaks right Best areas for max potential: Parrs Ridge crew from NW MoCo up through Western HoCo and Carroll. This extends eastward into northern Baltimore Co over into northern Harford. This includes places like Parkton-Jarretsville-Norrisville. I like our border friends in PA for this one too. NW of Philly into the Lehigh Valley will probably see 4-8” w/ max of 10” possible. Unlikey to change my thoughts as things get locked in. Hoping for a surprise overperformer. It’s gonna snow 19 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago WB 12Z GFS 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 1 minute ago, Terpeast said: Looks like a hold You get bombed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Hoping we overperform so DC getes 6 inches and NW gets 8-10". Give me all the snow I can get. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago A typical n an w burb storm. Upside went with them. I just want our 2-4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted 8 hours ago Author Share Posted 8 hours ago 1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said: My forecast still looks to stay the same. NW of I-95: 3-6” w/ up to 8” max Along & SE if I-95: 2-5” w/ up to 6” max Area south if I-66 in NoVa and SMD: 1-3” w/ potentially up to 4” if everything breaks right Best areas for max potential: Parrs Ridge crew from NW MoCo up through Western HoCo and Carroll. This extends eastward into northern Baltimore Co over into northern Harford. This includes places like Parkton-Jarretsville-Norrisville. I like our border friends in PA for this one too. NW of Philly into the Lehigh Valley will probably see 4-8” w/ max of 10” possible. Unlikey to change my thoughts as things get locked in. Hoping for a surprise overperformer. It’s gonna snow I like my spot at game time in Carroll Valley. Thinking 5-8” since a lot of the varsity are starting to jack the area and ratios may be decent for a portion. 12-14:1 possible, good forcing it appears upstairs… and this low isn’t a slouch at sub 1000mb 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 3 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z GFS Very AIfs-like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago GFS is beautiful. Legit beatdown. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Please be right, GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago @dailylurker That thump being advertised in AA County for the final 2-3 hrs looks incredibly legit for us lowlanders. That could be a solid punch before it all ends. Pretty consistent indication among guidance. Probably a shot at puking fatties within that window. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 3 minutes ago, bncho said: You get bombed. Maybe its just me having grown up in Vienna only a few miles out of the beltway, but feeling a little nervous being close to the fall line even in Ashburn 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 3 minutes ago, StormyClearweather said: This looks fine. A great solution, man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 2 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: My forecast still looks to stay the same. NW of I-95: 3-6” w/ up to 8” max Along & SE if I-95: 2-5” w/ up to 6” max Area south if I-66 in NoVa and SMD: 1-3” w/ potentially up to 4” if everything breaks right Best areas for max potential: Parrs Ridge crew from NW MoCo up through Western HoCo and Carroll. This extends eastward into northern Baltimore Co over into northern Harford. This includes places like Parkton-Jarretsville-Norrisville. I like our border friends in PA for this one too. NW of Philly into the Lehigh Valley will probably see 4-8” w/ max of 10” possible. Unlikey to change my thoughts as things get locked in. Hoping for a surprise overperformer. It’s gonna snow Thanks for your insights. Quick question, what is causing that area of increased snowfall along and to the East of the upper Easternshore, in areas such as Chestertowm , MD. Newark, De, Wilmington, De and my area here in Middletown, De. It has been a feature that has showed itself on and off for the last few days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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