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1/19 - The Weekend Roulette Wheel Thing


DDweatherman
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ECMWF and GFS are now fairly close in QPF distribution and orientation. Only difference is GFS is a bit wetter, so it helps with higher totals. This is the range where these two models tend to lock in. Unless they take major steps in another direction with the overall Synoptics, I think we’ll start seeing a more definitive picture for what will transpire on Sunday. Good run and much closer to my thoughts. 
 

One note for the lowlands crew, this 00z suite has tended better for areas north of Charles County. AA county will be right on that edge for the good stuff me thinks. Some of the guidance is beginning to note some tertiary banding across the county with some locally higher QPF output. Something to keep an eye on. 

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7 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

ECMWF and GFS are now fairly close in QPF distribution and orientation. Only difference is GFS is a bit wetter, so it helps with higher totals. This is the range where these two models tend to lock in. Unless they take major steps in another direction with the overall Synoptics, I think we’ll start seeing a more definitive picture for what will transpire on Sunday. Good run and much closer to my thoughts. 
 

One note for the lowlands crew, this 00z suite has tended better for areas north of Charles County. AA county will be right on that edge for the good stuff me thinks. Some of the guidance is beginning to note some tertiary banding across the county with some locally higher QPF output. Something to keep an eye on. 

Please give me my Watch.  Talk to LWX.   If need be, tell them to issue it for Cleveland Park only.  20008 zip.  Thanks.

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2 minutes ago, Ji said:


I think it was at 12z or 6z

Dude, I'm high and have the zoomies.  It's going to snow.  Set your expectations to 2-4 and you'll be fine and the board will be pout free. 

Our team is gonna get a cinderella win tomorrow and then we get a huge snow on Sunday.

Only one of those things will be true.  The problem is, we can't tell which one yet.

 

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Just now, stormtracker said:

Dude, I'm high and have the zoomies.  It's going to snow.  Set your expectations to 2-4 and you'll be fine and the board will be pout free. 

Our team is gonna get a cinderella win tomorrow and then a huge snow on Sunday.

Only one of those things are true.  The problem is, we can't tell which one yet.

 

There's a better chance Sunday turns into Knickerbocker than the Commanders win

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