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1/19 - The Weekend Roulette Wheel Thing


DDweatherman
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2 minutes ago, bncho said:

It's wonderful how we say that the GFS is a great model as soon as 6+" shows up and how we mention the GEM was a good model (almost Euro-like) for 1/5-12 because it showed the things we liked.

GFS is awful.  But when it has support, we kinda pay attention.  If it were alone, I'd be cursing it out.  Go to the medium, long range thread in like 20 minutes and you'll see

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Just now, stormtracker said:

Heh.  Confirmed: GFS shows a stripe of 6 up I-95.   Overdone, but it's nice to see

We know where that will end up.  But still is great for a 2-4” with maybe upside.

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Just now, jayyy said:


11” up by my parents house in Orange County, NY. wowza

I’d certainly take 5-8” down this way. Probably best we cut these totals in half for now though unless other models come around to loftier totals.

I think the 3k (& @Ellinwood’s map) have this one pretty nailed… widespread 2-3” with more for favored zones. I don’t trust the 15/20:1 kuchera ratios except for those spots, even then maybe. 

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