TSSN+ Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 2 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: 0z HRRR starting to get a clue. Still bad. But not running the low up the Shenandoah Valley anymore. Almost Rgem like. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted 7 hours ago Author Share Posted 7 hours ago I also like the UK swath for precip, not insanely amped like the Canadian suite. I’d blend UK, GFS, and AIFS at the moment I believe. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 4 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: 0z HRRR starting to get a clue. Still bad. But not running the low up the Shenandoah Valley anymore. I wouldn't even bother looking at that model lol. Just awful for winter events. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 47 minutes ago, Ji said: 1-3 is a low end clipper bro MFer, you haven’t seen a 1-3 clipper in leesburg in ages. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Will the NAM get a clue? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Still on some bullshit it seems...but better 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Still on some bullshit it seems...but better Def don't look at the FV3 then! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago So I'm thinking that the RGEM is too amp'd since the NAM is flat af. It's usually amped as hell. I hope the R/GEM comes back to earth or is wrong How are we here 40 hours out? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Like I said, it's trying. Colder than 18z, so that's......something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: So I'm thinking that the RGEM is too amp'd since the NAM is flat af. It's usually amped as hell. I hope the R/GEM comes back to earth or is wrong How are we here 40 hours out? If the Euro AI puts out like 30 consecutive steadfast runs only to be clowned by the RGEM a few days before that model is going in the doghouse. But seriously I just can’t get on board with these juicier more amped GFS and RGEM when the euro is showing something else. I’ve seen this movie before. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago What am I even looking at? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: So I'm thinking that the RGEM is too amp'd since the NAM is flat af. It's usually amped as hell. I hope the R/GEM comes back to earth or is wrong How are we here 40 hours out? Yes it will shift 175 miles southeast next run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 3K is nice with the western band. Plenty cold for DC itself. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 1 hour ago, Heisy said: That thing is locked and loaded, it’s a good compromise. I like the Ukie as a good starting point as a forecast. I think someone around like Allentown - Reading region up here could see 6-10” WFC? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 3k nam 0.3” qpf area wide 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Just now, Terpeast said: 3k nam 0.3” qpf area wide Let's leave it there and call it a day. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted 6 hours ago Author Share Posted 6 hours ago Just now, stormtracker said: Let's leave it there and call it a day. Really wish the 3k ran to like 36 hrs and the 12k would get decomm’d asap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago The Swiss cheese storm 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 1 minute ago, DDweatherman said: Really wish the 3k ran to like 36 hrs and the 12k would get decomm’d asap. 3k goes to 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 2 minutes ago, Terpeast said: 3k nam 0.3” qpf area wide See a lot of 0.4" area wide at 48 with snow still falling 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted 6 hours ago Author Share Posted 6 hours ago Just now, stormtracker said: 3k goes to 60 I said I wish it went to 36 though as for the 12k, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 1 minute ago, yoda said: See a lot of 0.4" area wide at 48 with snow still falling 3k is a really good run for all. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 2 minutes ago, StormyClearweather said: The Swiss cheese storm DC snowhole on this run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 3 minutes ago, StormyClearweather said: The Swiss cheese storm Lots of holes in its game! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Just now, wxdude64 said: DC snowhole on this run? I think its factoring in UHI or something. I hope 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: 3k is a really good run for all. Just have to spackle the holes that’s all no big deal. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Just now, stormtracker said: I think its factoring in UHI or something. I hope Erroneous output, most likely. Not a problem with 3k though. Hopefully they decomm the old nam and keep the 3k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 00z 3km NAM QPF/10:1 snow/Kuchera snow 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Just now, stormtracker said: I think its factoring in UHI or something. I hope Ncep programmers are trying start local fights among the Mid Atlantic weenies. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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