psuhoffman Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 7 minutes ago, Ji said: dry af It looks better than the last run from what I've seen 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 hour ago, stormtracker said: You couldn't wait to pull that one out, could you? But yeah...it's annoying, but If the Euro holds, I dunno man What does genius AI say? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, psuhoffman said: It looks better than the last run from what I've seen Forget it. Without medication, you'll never make him happy. 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 hour ago, TSSN+ said: Why is there still this much difference 48 and less hours out form a storm is getting frustrating. CAB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: It looks better than the last run from what I've seen For us, I like the direction the euro seems to be heading. I think the qpf shield will be broader and more GFS like. That should make a lot of folks happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 6 minutes ago, Ji said: it sucks. QPF is like .3 That isn't bad for the Euro... it's typically the dryest model in these type situations. It's gradually beefing up QPF, I'm fine with where we are, as long as your expectations are realistic and you're not thinking you're getting some 8-12" snow lol. That's possible but by far not the most likely outcome here...but I think 3-6" is very doable for your area. 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Between the gfs and euro I’d say 2-3” for 95 and 4-5” NW is a fair range. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 2 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: What does genius AI say? It comes out about an hour after the operational. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 12 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: In a meeting, cant do analysis but this is the money panel just came out -7 850s 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Transplant Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Ji - is this you??? 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 5 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: What does genius AI say? Gotta wait. Kinda curious about the AI stuff now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 11 minutes ago, stormtracker said: why even give him the satisfaction of a response. let him go talk to his fb groupies about how much everything sucks. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 3 minutes ago, T. August said: Between the gfs and euro I’d say 2-3” for 95 and 4-5” NW is a fair range. Absolutely, I'd go 2-4 for DC metro and 3-6 north and west. With yesterday's 0.5 I'm now at 10.9 inches for the season. This Euro run would get me to climo basically. Considering we're not even halfway through winter and it's been really cold, this is all good. Enjoy it folks!!! 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Euro seemed a bit delayed with start time compared to gfs?. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Those Kuchera ratios N Arlington posted are 16:1 to 18:1 out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 17 minutes ago, Ji said: dry af You’re truly mentally ill. It may be time to seek professional help. 5 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, Imgoinhungry said: Euro seemed a bit delayed with start time compared to gfs? . Get yourself something to eat, change your screen name, then check back for the AI. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, WVclimo said: Those Kuchera ratios N Arlington posted are 16:1 to 18:1 out here. I’d take the under on kuchera ratios along i-95 and just NW, but could be right for the elevations. Feeling 2-4” areawide, 3-6+ well nw (cacotins and mount psu, m/d line) 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Get yourself something to eat, change your screen name, then check back for the AI. But I can’t feed on the powerless, when my cups already overfilled?. 8 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Euro blipping a warning light for the NW side of the snow. That cutoff in my neck of the woods is brutal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 5 minutes ago, WVclimo said: Those Kuchera ratios N Arlington posted are 16:1 to 18:1 out here. We know that ain't happening lol. If we end up with .25 liquid I'm thinking 3 inches maybe at best. I'm starting to think 3" is my bar. I don't see the Canadians being correct. Not after the 1/6 storm lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 4 minutes ago, WVclimo said: Those Kuchera ratios N Arlington posted are 16:1 to 18:1 out here. 1 minute ago, Terpeast said: I’d take the under on kuchera ratios along i-95 and just NW, but could be right for the elevations. Feeling 2-4” areawide, 3-6+ well nw (cacotins and mount psu, m/d line) I'm thinking the same, a bit aggressive with 16/18 to 1 (although I did pull a 17 to 1 on last small system 2.2 on 0.13 liquid). 12/14 to 1 would be more than ideal. 2-4 in DC area and 3-6 with MAYBE a jackpot 7 or 7.5 in a couple of spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, Imgoinhungry said: But I can’t feed on the powerless, when my cups already overfilled? . But you don't mind stealing bread from the mouths of decadence... Back to the storm, after the 12z suite looks like 3-6" for most with booms up to 8" and busts down to 1" possible forum-wide. Hopefully AI comes in juicy in about an hour! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 7 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Get yourself something to eat, change your screen name, then check back for the AI. I'm not sure if you knew that he meant snow start time on Sunday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 I liked it better when the EURO started at 1AM/1PM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, Interstate said: I liked it better when the EURO started at 1AM/1PM Why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: Why? Now we have to wait until 3:30 ish for the next model run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 8 minutes ago, Chris78 said: We know that ain't happening lol. If we end up with .25 liquid I'm thinking 3 inches maybe at best. I'm starting to think 3" is my bar. I don't see the Canadians being correct. Not after the 1/6 storm lol. Not to mention this is falling in the afternoon with max solar insolation. .3" QPF, even if we get it, is going to be a very minor event. Honestly, not getting the enthusiasm for this system. But, as always, hoping for the best. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Not to mention this is falling in the afternoon with max solar insolation. .3" QPF, even if we get it, is going to be a very minor event. Honestly, not getting the enthusiasm for this system. But, as always, hoping for the best. You will get 1/2 that qpf in the desert Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 13 minutes ago, paxpatriot said: Euro blipping a warning light for the NW side of the snow. That cutoff in my neck of the woods is brutal. I'm not actually buying that shield. I think it'll be a decently wide QPF shield. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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