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1/19 - The Weekend Roulette Wheel Thing


DDweatherman
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Just now, Deck Pic said:

would you rather be under wwa for 2-4" and end up with 4.7" or under warning for 5-8" and end up with 4.7".  They're not really busts

good question....life just feels so much better under a Warning. Until the storm starts. Id probably take the warning because we would of had much more pre storm fun which is 90% of my storm enjoyment

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Just now, Ji said:

good question....life just feels so much better under a Warning. Until the storm starts. Id probably take the warning because we would of had much more pre storm fun which is 90% of my storm enjoyment

The pre storm tracking, ESPECIALLY during the xECS types is awesome. The folks model run pbp’s as they come out 

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26 minutes ago, Ji said:

so you finally found a model you like?

I may now be forever changed.  It contains elements I have thought about for years. It may be onto something right now as we are in snow mode until we aren’t.  That kind of historical data including even offbeat outcomes will have an effect The joy of me shutting up about models may not be far away. 

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13 minutes ago, Deck Pic said:

same.  If my forecast is 3-6"" and I get 3.2", I'm usually not that bummed

DP

it looks like the snow say after 3pm Sunday would fall in rapidly decreasing temps to around 20 before ending Monday. Thats unusually cold so might not 0.2” lq produce 3”+ rather than our more traditional 1-2”

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I may now be forever changed.  It’s contains elements I have thought about for years. It may be onto something right now as we are in snow mode until we aren’t.  That kind of historical data including even offbeat outcomes will have an effect The joy of me shutting up about models may not be far away. 

Sometimes it just takes an open mind. I thought I hated oysters until I ate fried oysters last night.
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Just now, Deck Pic said:

bye and HFA are significant.  And Ravens have to win on the road twice

If the ravens do make the SB, there will be no doubt they earned it. Even given the Steelers struggles…a division rival then two road wins (assuming KC beats HOU) would be badass

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4 minutes ago, Deck Pic said:

no..league would never allow it.  Plus Quinn will probably coach horribly.  It's a good oppty for the league to highlight Jayden.  primetime is nice slot

he is going to be in prime time like 8 times next year. All we need to do is have 16 play 90 yard drives...score every drive and keep them off the field. Hope Goff has a game like he did vs Houston

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4 minutes ago, Deck Pic said:

no..league would never allow it.  Plus Quinn will probably coach horribly.  It's a good oppty for the league to highlight Jayden.  primetime is nice slot

Man they have fairy dust on them . 5-0 on last play of game 

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