DDweatherman Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 Just now, stormtracker said: I'm going with the snowiest model. I'd go with the NOGAPS if it were still around and had us with 6" It is still around, just the NAVGEM lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 ICON less amped - friendlier track for a lot of us 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Well, ICON is ok. Snow for all 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 2 to 4 from what I can see. GFS, deliver! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 Just now, Deck Pic said: GFS and Euro are the operational models I trust the most. Or at least I'm more comfortable with. We know all the biases. east coast snowstorms are not the GFS wheelhouse. But I'll probably weight this upcoming run more heavily than the Canadian 100%. I don’t care about the charts for verification. They’ve said the UK is the world’s 2nd best model for quite a few years. Though..it has done ok on the last few (was too far south with 1/6, good with the little 1-3” event) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 6 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I'm going with the snowiest model. I'd go with the NOGAPS if it were still around and had us with 6" How about the DGEX model still around? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 2 hours ago, stormtracker said: Might have to give AI some credence now. It’s ability to go back to some analog historic data outcomes and blend that in however is best is real and real good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 2 to 4 from what I can see. GFS, deliver!Ugh it’s slipping away 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 No need to gamble. Just ride the AIFS. We are all getting snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, Ji said: Ugh it’s slipping away I'm good with 2-4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Rgem was way too amped for the 1/6 storm. Was giving me a foot 12 hours before the storm started along the M/D line I ended up with 4". Probably over amped again. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, Chris78 said: Rgem was way too amped for the 1/6 storm. Was giving me a foot 12 hours before the storm started along the M/D line I ended up with 4". Probably over amped again. Anyone want to take bets the gfs jackpots the coast? It’s due to play those games Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I'm good with 2-4 im glad we have a few over amped models. if we can get a compromise--we could be looking at 3-6 event if everything broke right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, Ji said: im glad we have a few over amped models. if we can get a compromise--we could be looking at 3-6 event if everything broke right. I think the RGEM is too amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 10 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: ICON less amped - friendlier track for a lot of us kept expecting someone else to post the snow map 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 2 minutes ago, Ji said: im glad we have a few over amped models. if we can get a compromise--we could be looking at 3-6 event if everything broke right. Thats what I’ve been thinking…until the gfs jackpots ocean city or something in a few Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: kept expecting someone else to post the snow map yea thats not a 2-4 map. thats a 1-3 map smh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: kept expecting someone else to post the snow map that's your job re: snowfall maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, Ji said: yea thats not a 2-4 map. thats a 1-3 map smh 10:1 map… make your own ratios and it can be whatever you want Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: 10:1 map… make your own ratios and it can be whatever you want 69-86” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hstorm Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: 10:1 map… make your own ratios and it can be whatever you want post the snowiest maps please Just now, hstorm said: thats more like it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 6 minutes ago, Ji said: im glad we have a few over amped models. if we can get a compromise--we could be looking at 3-6 event if everything broke right. That would be the Euro AI 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 2 hours ago, mitchnick said: Believe it or not.......AI WETTER! Start with this 6 hour panel. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/aifs_medium-mslp-rain?base_time=202501161800&interval=6&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202501191200 I believe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, WEATHER53 said: I believe so you finally found a model you like? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 7 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: i think it'll be like the last two events. The models will look really pretty and then the storm will underperform. yea...we used to divide the QPF by 2 right before a storm..why did we stop doing that? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 GFS def won't be RGEM like 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 About the same. snow starts at 7am Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, stormtracker said: GFS def won't be RGEM like there is zero chance the GFS or Euro will be RGEM like. My bigger fear is too weak/south/east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, stormtracker said: About the same. snow starts at 7am Sunday woah thats really early? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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