KAOS Posted Saturday at 06:03 AM Share Posted Saturday at 06:03 AM shitty map... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted Saturday at 06:03 AM Share Posted Saturday at 06:03 AM 3 minutes ago, Wxtrix said: i think they can do it. or at least I hope so. I remember 1992 and the euphoria in the city that Sunday night. I'm giving Randy a hard time. I do think they have a shot 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted Saturday at 06:08 AM Share Posted Saturday at 06:08 AM I'm giving Randy a hard time. I do think they have a shotI would start eckler and hope he can turn back the clock to his charger days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted Saturday at 06:09 AM Share Posted Saturday at 06:09 AM This is a scaled down version of historical big coastal storms followed by severe cold, so far no guidance raises the intensity to a major snowstorm (12"+) but 4 to 7 inches ain't too shabby. I wonder if there will be a last minute intensification trend on track already pretty solidly set? I will say 4.5" DCA, 6.0" IAD and BWI, jacks a bit north near 8" if no last ditch intensification, probably the flow is too flat to allow for it. That's good in a way, colder air won't be forced to retreat, it's a glider and a slider. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxtrix Posted Saturday at 06:10 AM Share Posted Saturday at 06:10 AM 4 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: I'm giving Randy a hard time. I do think they have a shot i have to go to a party at my neighbor’s. i hope they’ll have the game on—it’d be great to celebrate a victory with some snow the next day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted Saturday at 06:12 AM Share Posted Saturday at 06:12 AM 1 minute ago, Wxtrix said: i have to go to a party at my neighbor’s. i hope they’ll have the game on—it’d be great to celebrate a victory with some snow the next day. Is your area mostly Commanders / DC teams? I know Steelers territory is close by. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KAOS Posted Saturday at 06:12 AM Share Posted Saturday at 06:12 AM Shitty map NAM... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxtrix Posted Saturday at 06:16 AM Share Posted Saturday at 06:16 AM 2 minutes ago, pazzo83 said: Is your area mostly Commanders / DC teams? I know Steelers territory is close by. it’s a mix, plus the Ravens. i think the game will be on since it’s the playoffs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted Saturday at 06:18 AM Share Posted Saturday at 06:18 AM Shitty map NAM...What are you doing ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KAOS Posted Saturday at 06:20 AM Share Posted Saturday at 06:20 AM 1 minute ago, Ji said: What are you doing ? Posting shitty forecast maps of the models. I thought that was obvious. 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted Saturday at 06:22 AM Share Posted Saturday at 06:22 AM 2 minutes ago, KAOS said: Posting shitty forecast maps of the models. I thought that was obvious. you literally did say what you were doing. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted Saturday at 07:00 AM Share Posted Saturday at 07:00 AM ECMWF and GFS are now fairly close in QPF distribution and orientation. Only difference is GFS is a bit wetter, so it helps with higher totals. This is the range where these two models tend to lock in. Unless they take major steps in another direction with the overall Synoptics, I think we’ll start seeing a more definitive picture for what will transpire on Sunday. Good run and much closer to my thoughts. One note for the lowlands crew, this 00z suite has tended better for areas north of Charles County. AA county will be right on that edge for the good stuff me thinks. Some of the guidance is beginning to note some tertiary banding across the county with some locally higher QPF output. Something to keep an eye on. Wondering if we see watches expanded in the AM for the rest of MoCo/ HoCo / Baltimore 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Saturday at 07:42 AM Share Posted Saturday at 07:42 AM WB 6Z HRRR, nice to see a couple ticks south compared to 0Z. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Saturday at 08:24 AM Share Posted Saturday at 08:24 AM WB 6Z 3K NAM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Saturday at 08:26 AM Share Posted Saturday at 08:26 AM Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Northwest Harford-Western Loudoun- 323 AM EST Sat Jan 18 2025 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations between 4 to 6 inches. * WHERE...Portions of north central and northern Maryland and northern Virginia. * WHEN...From 7 AM to 7 PM EST Sunday. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted Saturday at 08:30 AM Share Posted Saturday at 08:30 AM Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-NorthwestHarford-Western Loudoun-323 AM EST Sat Jan 18 2025...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY...* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations between 4 to 6 inches.* WHERE...Portions of north central and northern Maryland and northern Virginia.* WHEN...From 7 AM to 7 PM EST Sunday. Beat me to it. Let’s gooooNAM gfs euro combo say nearby suburbs west of 95 should also probably have one 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted Saturday at 08:44 AM Share Posted Saturday at 08:44 AM Getting through 0z with no NW trend was a really big deal. Our chances of a W went up significantly 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted Saturday at 08:47 AM Share Posted Saturday at 08:47 AM Euro AI 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted Saturday at 09:33 AM Share Posted Saturday at 09:33 AM 48 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Getting through 0z with no NW trend was a really big deal. Our chances of a W went up significantly Still no watch here in eastern baltimore county lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted Saturday at 09:34 AM Share Posted Saturday at 09:34 AM 3 hours ago, pazzo83 said: 20016 too pls - thanks. Watches and warnings don’t make it snow. I am under a warning my PAC is only got 2-4 inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted Saturday at 09:34 AM Share Posted Saturday at 09:34 AM RGEM still says no and is even worse. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted Saturday at 09:36 AM Share Posted Saturday at 09:36 AM 1 minute ago, winter_warlock said: Still no watch here in eastern baltimore county lol I doubt there will be. Most likely a WWA. I think getting 5 inches uniformity will be hard out of this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted Saturday at 09:38 AM Share Posted Saturday at 09:38 AM Model guidance appear to have delayed somewhat the advance of the Arctic air across the local area Sunday compared to recent days with the Canadian model being the slowest model. Anyhow, a second stronger area of low pressure will pass across southern VA Sunday afternoon with the ECMWF indicating the low pressure center passing across northern NC, GFS across southern VA, and Canadian model across central VA. This will bring moderate precip across the area Sunday, before exiting Sunday evening. Limitations for a big snow storm are fast movement of this system (i.e relatively short duration of precip 6-12 hours), and lack of a closed upper air system. However, it looks like there could be a 6-hr period, mainly 18Z Sun-00Z Mon where precip rates could be quite heavy. Winter Storm Watches were upgraded to Warnings where cold air will be locked in place, but expect additional Advisories to be issued later today or tonight further south where temps are more marginal/questionable. Precip will exit early Sunday evening with very cold air filtering in on brisk NW winds. Extreme Cold Watches remain in effect and may need to be extended south and east. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted Saturday at 09:47 AM Share Posted Saturday at 09:47 AM Well the GFS just went way NW with the heavier snows. Relatively speaking. Cold air usually comes in slowed than model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Saturday at 09:49 AM Share Posted Saturday at 09:49 AM 4 minutes ago, Interstate said: Well the GFS just went way NW with the heavier snows. Relatively speaking. Cold air usually comes in slowed than model. About 50 miles NW lol... its not like it's in the i81 corridor 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted Saturday at 09:51 AM Share Posted Saturday at 09:51 AM 1 minute ago, yoda said: About 50 miles NW lol... its not like it's in the i81 corridor Yeah but for most of us the spells doom. Another shift like that and we are blanked like the RGEM. Which was even worse. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted Saturday at 10:07 AM Share Posted Saturday at 10:07 AM WB 6Z 3K NAMThsts not a storm….next 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted Saturday at 10:49 AM Share Posted Saturday at 10:49 AM 41 minutes ago, Ji said: Thsts not a storm….next I will be happy to have snow on the ground for 2+ straight weeks. When was the last time that happened? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted Saturday at 11:01 AM Share Posted Saturday at 11:01 AM On 1/15/2025 at 9:06 PM, psuhoffman said: amplification could even push it further nw which is what the ggem does 2-4” would be fine by me, with 3 cars to shovel out. Much easier than removing 6”. Oh well, that’s my rationale for being happy with whatever I get. 25.2° imby at 6am. Currently it is the morning low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted Saturday at 11:04 AM Share Posted Saturday at 11:04 AM I don’t think I’ve seen these counties split up like this before. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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