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1/19 - The Weekend Roulette Wheel Thing


DDweatherman
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1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

It bumped SE by like an ass hair.  I mean, I get it.  But the maple leafs are the only model that far NW.  

Doesn’t really make sense pretty progressive flow nothing can really amp up and bomb out too quickly cold press is real too easing everything on off to the east. 

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4 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Or it’s an option just like the rest. I’d rather have the Nam or icon output. 

True.  I mean, I get it.  It's ok to be transparent.  If I were you, I'd be pulling for the RGEM too.   But it's on its own.  Either it is gonna score a serious coup or it's gonna fall flat.  I'd rather not have to rely on the R/GEM tho vs...everything else.

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1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

True.  I mean, I get it.  It's ok to be transparent.  If I were you, I'd be pulling for the RGEM too.   But it's on its own.  Either it is gonna score a serious coup or it's gonna fall flat.  I'd rather not have to rely on the R/GEM tho vs...everything else.

I think the crew up here is all good with the AIFS, UK, Icon, and even the 3k and gfs are easy 4-6” events 

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1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

True.  I mean, I get it.  It's ok to be transparent.  If I were you, I'd be pulling for the RGEM too.   But it's on its own.  Either it is gonna score a serious coup or it's gonna fall flat.  I'd rather not have to rely on the R/GEM tho vs...everything else.

I don’t want the Rgem. Maybe if it was what it shows but like 75 miles south. Don’t want to be that close to the line. 

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Just now, stormtracker said:

I'm not gonna lie and say that the R/GEM isn't annoying me, but I'm also not overly concerned at this point

Eh, it’s only concerning because it’s been the rock. The other models look more like the Canadian suite than they did say 3 days ago, but we kinda figured they would. We’re talking 10+ degree sfc temp differences rgem vs gfs or euro

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1 minute ago, Kevin Reilly said:

There will not be any warm air coming off the Atlantic here is a picture of Townsend’s Inlet in Sea Isle City Cape May County NJ water temp 34f 

image.png.604c001c940657b6605ebafceb4ed28e.png

       That's awesome!    But this really isn't about pulling in mild air from the ocean.    It's a question of where the thermal boundary sets up at the start of the day and how quickly it moves southeast.   The snowiest models move it quickly away, while the other solutions keep it close by, and we lose some QPF to a mix, before the cold air finally wins out during the afternoon.

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