mitchnick Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, Heisy said: That thing is locked and loaded, it’s a good compromise. I like the Ukie as a good starting point as a forecast. I think someone around like Allentown - Reading region up here could see 6-10” . Probably right unless the Canadians are the Gretzky of the event. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: At the roulette table Roulette table opens soon 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wtkidz Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 7 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Roulette table opens soon Every model run 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 0z HRRR starting to get a clue. Still bad. But not running the low up the Shenandoah Valley anymore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: 0z HRRR starting to get a clue. Still bad. But not running the low up the Shenandoah Valley anymore. Almost Rgem like. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 18 Author Share Posted January 18 I also like the UK swath for precip, not insanely amped like the Canadian suite. I’d blend UK, GFS, and AIFS at the moment I believe. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 4 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: 0z HRRR starting to get a clue. Still bad. But not running the low up the Shenandoah Valley anymore. I wouldn't even bother looking at that model lol. Just awful for winter events. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 47 minutes ago, Ji said: 1-3 is a low end clipper bro MFer, you haven’t seen a 1-3 clipper in leesburg in ages. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Will the NAM get a clue? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Still on some bullshit it seems...but better 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Still on some bullshit it seems...but better Def don't look at the FV3 then! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 So I'm thinking that the RGEM is too amp'd since the NAM is flat af. It's usually amped as hell. I hope the R/GEM comes back to earth or is wrong How are we here 40 hours out? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Like I said, it's trying. Colder than 18z, so that's......something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: So I'm thinking that the RGEM is too amp'd since the NAM is flat af. It's usually amped as hell. I hope the R/GEM comes back to earth or is wrong How are we here 40 hours out? If the Euro AI puts out like 30 consecutive steadfast runs only to be clowned by the RGEM a few days before that model is going in the doghouse. But seriously I just can’t get on board with these juicier more amped GFS and RGEM when the euro is showing something else. I’ve seen this movie before. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 What am I even looking at? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: So I'm thinking that the RGEM is too amp'd since the NAM is flat af. It's usually amped as hell. I hope the R/GEM comes back to earth or is wrong How are we here 40 hours out? Yes it will shift 175 miles southeast next run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3K is nice with the western band. Plenty cold for DC itself. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 hour ago, Heisy said: That thing is locked and loaded, it’s a good compromise. I like the Ukie as a good starting point as a forecast. I think someone around like Allentown - Reading region up here could see 6-10” WFC? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3k nam 0.3” qpf area wide 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, Terpeast said: 3k nam 0.3” qpf area wide Let's leave it there and call it a day. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 18 Author Share Posted January 18 Just now, stormtracker said: Let's leave it there and call it a day. Really wish the 3k ran to like 36 hrs and the 12k would get decomm’d asap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 The Swiss cheese storm 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, DDweatherman said: Really wish the 3k ran to like 36 hrs and the 12k would get decomm’d asap. 3k goes to 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 minutes ago, Terpeast said: 3k nam 0.3” qpf area wide See a lot of 0.4" area wide at 48 with snow still falling 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 18 Author Share Posted January 18 Just now, stormtracker said: 3k goes to 60 I said I wish it went to 36 though as for the 12k, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, yoda said: See a lot of 0.4" area wide at 48 with snow still falling 3k is a really good run for all. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 minutes ago, StormyClearweather said: The Swiss cheese storm DC snowhole on this run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3 minutes ago, StormyClearweather said: The Swiss cheese storm Lots of holes in its game! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, wxdude64 said: DC snowhole on this run? I think its factoring in UHI or something. I hope 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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