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1/19 - The Weekend Roulette Wheel Thing


DDweatherman
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  On 1/17/2025 at 7:17 PM, WEATHER53 said:

The sun is still in the off position and 30-32 with steady snow won’t fritter away 

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With light snow it will.  During Jan 6 storm with light snow at 29F, plowed sections of parking lots and streets and my shoveled sidewalks and driveway melted that afternoon prior to the late afternoon/evening ULL snow.  Granted, I had episodes of filtered sunlight.  But if we get a .3" qpf storm and warm ground leading in, my expectations are very low.  But, maybe I'll be pleasantly surprised by qpf rates for once.

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  On 1/17/2025 at 7:38 PM, EastCoast NPZ said:

With light snow it will.  During Jan 6 storm with light snow at 29F, plowed sections of parking lots and streets and my shoveled sidewalks and driveway melted that afternoon prior to the late afternoon/evening ULL snow.  Granted, I had episodes of filtered sunlight.  But if we get a .3" qpf storm and warm ground leading in, my expectations are very low.  But, maybe I'll be pleasantly surprised by qpf rates for once.

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You must be a blast at parties. 

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Snow forecast for Sunday. South side dealing with marginal surface temps and there could be accumulation issues if the rates aren't good enough during the daylight hours. QPF also a concern across the whole region as it will depend on coastal strength and track.

SnowForecast_Jan19_2025_initial.png.a7b6b2186ca354cdb6fc90f3a53e5a59.png

 

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  On 1/17/2025 at 7:40 PM, Ellinwood said:

Snow forecast for Sunday. South side dealing with marginal surface temps and there could be accumulation issues if the rates aren't good enough during the daylight hours. QPF also a concern across the whole region as it will depend on coastal strength and track.

SnowForecast_Jan19_2025_initial.png.4689f2385a4ec2abfb14abdeadf90f3c.png

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  On 1/17/2025 at 7:36 PM, WxUSAF said:

MIXING

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He put the MIXING over my house :gun_bandana:

 

 

 

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i’m doubtful, but here it is for my backyard:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
207 PM EST Fri Jan 17 2025

MDZ501-502-VAZ026>031-040-501-503-507-WVZ050>053-055-502>504-506-
180315-
/O.NEW.KLWX.WS.A.0004.250119T0800Z-250119T2300Z/
Extreme Western Allegany-Central and Eastern Allegany-Rockingham-
Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Clarke-Rappahannock-Northern
Fauquier-Western Highland-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Hampshire-
Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson-Hardy-Eastern Grant-Western Mineral-
Eastern Mineral-Eastern Pendleton-
207 PM EST Fri Jan 17 2025

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations up to around
  5 or 6 inches possible.

* WHERE...Portions of western Maryland, northern, northwest, and
  western Virginia, and eastern West Virginia.

* WHEN...From late Saturday night through Sunday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
  conditions could impact travel.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

&&
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  On 1/17/2025 at 7:53 PM, Wxtrix said:

i’m doubtful, but here it is for my backyard:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
207 PM EST Fri Jan 17 2025

MDZ501-502-VAZ026>031-040-501-503-507-WVZ050>053-055-502>504-506-
180315-
/O.NEW.KLWX.WS.A.0004.250119T0800Z-250119T2300Z/
Extreme Western Allegany-Central and Eastern Allegany-Rockingham-
Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Clarke-Rappahannock-Northern
Fauquier-Western Highland-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Hampshire-
Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson-Hardy-Eastern Grant-Western Mineral-
Eastern Mineral-Eastern Pendleton-
207 PM EST Fri Jan 17 2025

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations up to around
  5 or 6 inches possible.

* WHERE...Portions of western Maryland, northern, northwest, and
  western Virginia, and eastern West Virginia.

* WHEN...From late Saturday night through Sunday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
  conditions could impact travel.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

&&
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They are pretty bullish for us. Must be disregarding the drier Euro solution. 

18Z HRRR tracks the low through the Shenandoah Valley into central MD. Glad that model is utter garbage. :)

ref1km_ptype.us_ma.png

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