MDScienceTeacher Posted Friday at 01:28 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:28 PM 30 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Waiting to hear 6z AI is even wetter The run to run consistency on the AI for this event is almost astonishing. I just went back 19 runs and it never waivered. Here is what is what is looked like at 186 hours: 7 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Friday at 01:32 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:32 PM 11 minutes ago, Interstate said: So Doom and Gloom Friday I see. I don’t know why either. I woke up and things looked great at 6z. I don’t get all the fuss and worry. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted Friday at 01:34 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:34 PM Just now, stormtracker said: I don’t know why either. I woke up and things looked great at 6z. I don’t get all the fuss and worry. Woke up to a nice little surprise. A white dusting. I am keeping hope alive. Clicking my heels three times because I believe. I knew the strip of qpf would fill in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted Friday at 01:34 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:34 PM Just now, stormtracker said: I don’t know why either. I woke up and things looked great at 6z. I don’t get all the fuss and worry. The ability to feel satisfied inside is becoming a lost art. I blame tiktok 7 7 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted Friday at 01:36 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:36 PM 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: The ability to feel satisfied inside is becoming a lost art. I blame tiktok I blame this Board 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted Friday at 01:36 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:36 PM 8 minutes ago, MDScienceTeacher said: The run to run consistency on the AI for this event is almost astonishing. I just went back 19 runs and it never waivered. Here is what is what is looked like at 186 hours: Shall we dub it the new King? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted Friday at 01:38 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:38 PM 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I don’t know why either. I woke up and things looked great at 6z. I don’t get all the fuss and worry. Right. And we have an historic cold push on the way. I realize it's 'behind' the system, but the PV flexing S is only going to allow for so much NW 'trend'. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted Friday at 01:40 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:40 PM 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I don’t know why either. I woke up and things looked great at 6z. I don’t get all the fuss and worry. Yeah this looks great. We’re getting snow before an arctic blast and there’s snow on the ground. As good as it gets here. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted Friday at 01:41 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:41 PM 6 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I don’t know why either. I woke up and things looked great at 6z. I don’t get all the fuss and worry. Because of these silly snow maps. All it takes is one run that shows a 86" hit and THATS what people hold onto for the entire time. We could see a nice 3-4" snow from this but if the GFS-AIasapbbq shows 12 one time then thats what people expect. 4 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted Friday at 01:44 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:44 PM Slightly more qpf than 0z 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted Friday at 01:45 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:45 PM 11 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I don’t know why either. I woke up and things looked great at 6z. I don’t get all the fuss and worry. Same...I read through (more like skimmed) back several pages when I got up this morning. The actual discussion parts sounded pretty darned good to me, so I didn't get all these doom posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted Friday at 01:45 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:45 PM 8 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Shall we dub it the new King? Perhaps we'll call it the Prince Regent for now, until it proves itself more! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Friday at 01:45 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:45 PM Just now, TSSN+ said: Slightly more qpf than 0z Didn't I say I thought it was a little more, even with those crummy maps? Being a weenie can be rewarding at times! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted Friday at 01:46 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:46 PM 2 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Slightly more qpf than 0z the AI’s speciality is decidedly not surface temps but people may need to start hoping it’s at least a little wrong… everyone is okay by 7pm which is the best frame for most, though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted Friday at 01:46 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:46 PM 1 minute ago, TSSN+ said: Slightly more qpf than 0z Beautiful blues right over my house. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted Friday at 01:47 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:47 PM Just now, NorthArlington101 said: the AI’s speciality is decidedly not surface temps but people may need to start hoping it’s at least a little wrong Looks fine to me. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted Friday at 01:49 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:49 PM Shall we dub it the new King?This is it’s time to shine. It’s been good before this, but I feel like more people paying attention this go around. It better not let me down. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted Friday at 01:54 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:54 PM 1 hour ago, osfan24 said: Yeah, that map is complete trash. Why would they put something like that out? It's completely nonsensical and confusing to the public and hurts credibility. The map itself is fine, it’s the number ranges that are weird and confusing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted Friday at 01:58 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:58 PM 11 minutes ago, ravensrule said: Looks fine to me. Just what I was thinking, too. Let’s do this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted Friday at 02:00 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:00 PM 32 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Canadians stopped moving nw with their 6z runs and actually look a touch east from 0z. We are seeing convergence on the final solution probably. The most extreme solution rarely wins 100% but my gut was the final solution would be closer to the more amplified solutions than the less and that is bearing out. I am still more worried about over amplified than under with this but things are converging towards a solution that would be pretty good for places from 95 NW, but I would still feel a lot more comfortable being NW of the fall line with this one. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted Friday at 02:02 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:02 PM 18 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Slightly more qpf than 0z 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted Friday at 02:04 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:04 PM 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: I also like that it is on a holiday so we can enjoy it without worrying about work! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DanTheMan Posted Friday at 02:04 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:04 PM I saw it asked earlier so apologies if I missed a response, how is it looking for start time Sunday? May need to adjust travel plans in the morning if precip is moving in pre-9am or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Friday at 02:07 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:07 PM 2 minutes ago, DanTheMan said: I saw it asked earlier so apologies if I missed a response, how is it looking for start time Sunday? May need to adjust travel plans in the morning if precip is moving in pre-9am or so Some models are by 7am and others hours later. Too early to say for sure. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benjamn3 Posted Friday at 02:12 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:12 PM Oh my sweet summer child. The euro is still King. You shall refer to it as, your grace. King of the 7 models and first snow. Winter is coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted Friday at 02:12 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:12 PM That ULL in Canada keeps ticking W which is allowing the wave to turn the corner faster . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Friday at 02:13 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:13 PM I'd love another WSW storm... but I'm fine with another 2" at the least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Friday at 02:14 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:14 PM 27 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: the AI’s speciality is decidedly not surface temps but people may need to start hoping it’s at least a little wrong… everyone is okay by 7pm which is the best frame for most, though What’s wrong with it? That’s surface temp at 1pm close to the warmest time of day. All models had this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Friday at 02:14 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:14 PM Just now, yoda said: I'd love another WSW storm... but I'm fine with another 2" at the least You’ll get your advisory and like it! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Friday at 02:17 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:17 PM 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: You’ll get your advisory and like it! Please sir, I want some more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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