DDweatherman Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Will we land triple 777's the night before this one is supposed to start? Will the Euro AI lead the way with Mitchnick driving the bus? Who won't make it to Sunday? PS That's more of a slot machine than a roulette wheel? 29 black is personally my go to number. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Will the sun go down before it gets dark? 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 On 1/15/2025 at 8:45 PM, DDweatherman said: Will we land triple 777's the night before this one is supposed to start? Will the Euro AI lead the way with Mitchnick driving the bus? Who won't make it to Sunday? PS That's more of a slot machine than a roulette wheel? 29 black is personally my go to number. Expand Quick, someone make the old wheel spin thing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 The “thing” thing worked last time as a thread title but it wan not a capital T so may wish to change that to keep the ju ju proper 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 On 1/15/2025 at 9:00 PM, MillvilleWx said: It doesn’t mean this is a lock, guarentee, etc…but that’s a pretty good sign at lead that it might be on to something. Now, this pattern incoming is very complex, so it might not grasp the magnitude of what’s to come, but you want to see run-to-run consistency on the AI, that’s for sure. Hopefully it’s seeing something that the operational ECMWF can connect with as we move closer. We shall see. A good experiment for this pattern. I’ll be keeping tabs. Expand I’ll move this over here so that it doesn’t get lost as it pertains to the coming setup. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Icon is back to its position at 6z. Misses to the SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 If this fails, PA posters are forever banned from this sub forum. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 On 1/15/2025 at 9:03 PM, MillvilleWx said: I’ll move this over here so that it doesn’t get lost as it pertains to the coming setup. Expand It’s just such a stark difference when you toggle through all the past runs, even with the euro. For some reason it isn’t so jumpy run to run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 15 Author Share Posted January 15 On 1/15/2025 at 9:20 PM, snowfan said: If this fails, PA posters are forever banned from this from sub forum. Expand You're right, makes sense considering I was a member of the forum and Euswx as a MD resident for over a decade and still only live 4 mins from the state line. For the record, I started the comeback thread in one of the two decent events parts of the sub had last year so I'm scotch free, house money. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 On 1/15/2025 at 9:22 PM, DDweatherman said: You're right, makes sense considering I was a member of the forum and Euswx as a MD resident for over a decade and still only live 4 mins from the state line. For the record, I started the comeback thread in one of the two decent events parts of the sub had last year so I'm scotch free, house money. Expand Im just passing on what Randy told me. Take it up with management. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 15 Author Share Posted January 15 On 1/15/2025 at 9:23 PM, snowfan said: Im just passing on what Randy told me. Take it up with management. Expand The only thing Randy manages is his schedule for bottomless mimosas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 On 1/15/2025 at 9:20 PM, snowfan said: If this fails, PA posters are forever banned from this sub forum. Expand @mitchnick @DDweathermanare always welcome here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 15 Author Share Posted January 15 On 1/15/2025 at 9:24 PM, ravensrule said: @mitchnick @DDweathermanare always welcome here. Expand Don't worry, it's gonna snow 3 or 4" Sunday for both of us anyways. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 You guys are gonna get plenty of snow from this. You've won already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 On 1/15/2025 at 9:24 PM, ravensrule said: @mitchnick @DDweathermanare always welcome here. Expand Geez ,I thought we were cool 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 On 1/15/2025 at 9:30 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: Geez ,I thought we were cool Expand Lol, you aren’t an original Baltimoron. It’s a special club. I do love you though. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 GFS says what storm 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 On 1/15/2025 at 10:04 PM, NorthArlington101 said: GFS says what stormNeed to delete this thread. 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 15 Author Share Posted January 15 On 1/15/2025 at 10:07 PM, Imgoinhungry said: Need to delete this thread . Expand I agree. Except the GFS is the hottest garbage on the market right now. Even if its right, I wouldn't be too depressed just from the GFS alone at this juncture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 On 1/15/2025 at 10:04 PM, NorthArlington101 said: GFS says what storm Expand As it has been for the most part. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 15 Author Share Posted January 15 RGEM at 84 is the opposite. Trough more neutral out west and low over Birmingham at end of the run. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 On 1/15/2025 at 10:10 PM, DDweatherman said: RGEM at 84 is the opposite. Trough more neutral out west and low over Birmingham at end of the run. Expand Rgem at 84hrs looks nearly identical to 12z Gem at 90hrs fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 On 1/15/2025 at 10:04 PM, NorthArlington101 said: GFS says what storm Expand Usually under 4 days from onset we are trying to nail down the track and the qpf and the thermals. With this one, we are relegated to trying to figure out whether there will be a storm or not in the vicinity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 On 1/15/2025 at 10:27 PM, WesternFringe said: Usually under 4 days from onset we are trying to nail down the track and the qpf and the thermals. With this one, we are relegated to trying to figure out whether there will be a storm or not in the vicinity. Expand Not in this kind of pattern with this kind of storm. Every time this exact same thing gets said. And someone points it out. Then we do it again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Better chance there will be some snow than not albeit light. Usually likes to snow some when there's this type of Arctic intrusion. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 On 1/15/2025 at 10:04 PM, NorthArlington101 said: GFS says what storm Expand I’m tossing it for the rest of the season. It’s bad. The Mets say it’s bad. The solutions it’s producing are laughable. It’s time once again to hail the King Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 On 1/15/2025 at 10:04 PM, NorthArlington101 said: GFS says what storm Expand Wonder if gfs is chasing some smaller discreet energy out to sea when the real energy is sitting 500 miles further west getting ready to take the turn Northeast. I mean past gfs runs has snow and a low breaking out in central Tennessee then up into Kentucky through West Virginia towards us for snow Sunday afternoon and night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tgleon Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 On 1/15/2025 at 8:56 PM, SnowenOutThere said: Quick, someone make the old wheel spin thing! Expand A quick wheel (https://unionarchconsulting.com/weather/roulette.html). Sadly for me, this is about as accurate as I can be with my forecasting skills. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 On 1/15/2025 at 10:48 PM, tgleon said: A quick wheel (https://unionarchconsulting.com/weather/roulette.html). Sadly for me, this is about as accurate as I can be with my forecasting skills. Expand Putting summer weather on a winter wheel is nasty work, lol 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Difference between GFS, CMC, and Euro AI at 90 hoursTo give you an idea of what differences each model has. 18z rgem was in the euro Ai camp fwiw . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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