As WAR expands, do our snow chances increase? First wave may produce a middling event-solid advisory and possible low end warning for MLK Weekend

[Spanks45]

10 minutes ago, SJonesWX said:

 

 

I don’t believe any of these reports of accumulation. we were blessed with an earlier forecast of warm ground keeping snow from accumulating 

Lol...it was 41.2 for the high today, even had sun early on and the roads caved about 30 minutes ago....ground was frozen what I would assume half an inch below the surface, it was never going to take much to accumulate.

[ineedsnow]

Just now, bristolri_wx said:

BOX holding the line…

that map starts after 7pm

[WinterWolf]

34 and light/moderate snow now..starting to coat. 

[SJonesWX]

Just now, Spanks45 said:

Lol...it was 41.2 for the high today, even had sun early on and the roads caved about 30 minutes ago....ground was frozen what I would assume half an inch below the surface, it was never going to take much to accumulate.

totally agree, it was a shit forecast. I hit 42 here today but the ground is still hard as a rock. I have some very impressive frost heaves throughout my trails out back, and still have snow cover in the shady spots from last week

[WeatherX]

SW CT snowhole continues. Ground completely wet. Starting to regret canceling a dinner plan over this.

It’s coming. Radar finally filling in but need at least 3-4 hours of heavy to make an impact


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[dendrite]

13 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Exactly.  I’ve been thinking that all afternoon

Should be fun for a few hours tonight. 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, dendrite said:

Should be fun for a few hours tonight. 

Congrats Dendrite

[w1pf]

33.3/31.5 in the Holyoke Highlands

[OceanStWx]

17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Sticking to the sheets.

Congrats?

[amarshall]

Currently in danforth Maine ice fishing . GYX has us in the 6-8" Should be a fun morning on the sleds.




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[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

Congrats?

There we go !! 

[203whiteout]

It’s simple math, not model output lol. 1-3 hours of moderate snow = 1-3” of snow if we’re lucky lol


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[Prismshine Productions]

.25" so far

 

[Damage In Tolland]

On track it seems .

https://x.com/wx1box/status/1881088308987691273?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

[bristolri_wx]

19 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

that map starts after 7pm

And your point? My point is that BOX hasn’t lowered expected accumulations for areas that it really hasn’t started yet despite mediocre model output most of the day. Not sure what the 7PM time has to do with that… hence “holding the line”.

[Modfan2]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

On track it seems .

https://x.com/wx1box/status/1881088308987691273?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

Still find it hard to believe they think this area is getting 6”; will be lucky with 3-4. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

28 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

There’s the band I mentioned earlier from NJ to Dendrite. Hippy, looks good there. 

Yeah, SN/SN+ now with close to an inch on the picnic table. 

[George001]

17 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Should be fun for a few hours tonight. 

Looks like this is turning into more of an interior event

[Greg]

5 minutes ago, George001 said:

Looks like this is turning into more of an interior event

I knew someone would say that with the early observations but our snow for Eastern/Northeastern Mass comes a little later.

[UnitedWx]

10 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

.25" so far

 

About the same here

[Sn0waddict]

27 minutes ago, WeatherX said:

It’s coming. Radar finally filling in but need at least 3-4 hours of heavy to make an impact


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Hope so! Still at 34F here as well.

[Kitz Craver]

I dunno, radar looks ragged… 6-8” is seeming like a fantasy 

[weatherwiz]

Let's go!!

[Prismshine Productions]

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

Let's go!!

I am in the forcing for once

[Greg]

[kdxken]

35 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

that map starts after 7pm

 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Greenfield is right in this narrow band that’s running Southwest and Northeast.
getting crushed now.  +SN   29F

 

 

 

[512high]

Temp down to 31 ASH/ grass /roofs  getting a coating, 4mph

[wokeupthisam]

1 hour ago, moneypitmike said:

Updated map from GYX.  They dropped me in theiir 6-8 by about 2 miles.     We toss.

Took em down AWT

[codfishsnowman]

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

NJ slot rapidly filling . Go time 

You are the Phil Rizzuto of weather obs