As WAR expands, do our snow chances increase? First wave may produce a middling event-solid advisory and possible low end warning for MLK Weekend

[Prismshine Productions]

10 minutes was all it took to get a coating, damn

[Greg]

Mid-levels may be slightly colder than forecasted. This will help with those transitioning to snow quicker.

[BombsAway1288]

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

I think everyone in metro west does ok.  You’re in East Boston but even BOS has dropped 5 degrees to 41.  I think by halftime of the afc game we’re rocking.

I hope you’re right and I’m wrong. In Chelsea now but it’s pretty much the same thing from a weather standpoint. Maybe 1-2 degrees cooler depending on the setup. Agree that metro west-north shore probably does the best in EMass

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Eagles/Rams game dry lol

[SnowGoose69]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Eagles/Rams game dry lol

 

Not for long, maybe 15-20 more minutes

[ineedsnow]

Down to 33 here.. so should stick pretty quick after.. down 3 the last hour

[Spanks45]

Lots of white rain here, temp down to 36.3⁰....still thinking 2-4 around here, maybe see 5 if we get lucky later on..  

[Sn0waddict]

Snowhole over the entire state of NJ and any precip we have is white rainish. Not exactly the start I was hoping for.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, Spanks45 said:

Lots of white rain here, temp down to 36.3⁰....still thinking 2-4 around here, maybe see 5 if we get lucky later on..  

Yup. 2-5”.

[Damage In Tolland]

5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Eagles/Rams game dry lol

Check radar just west of them 

[203whiteout]

Rain/mix Fairfield CT coast. Looking at radar and past runs, no shot we get more than an inch or two max. NWS should drop these warnings


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[Spanks45]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Yup. 2-5”.

We nailed this thing, 3+ days out....never wavered

[Damage In Tolland]

Starting out very pasty . Wish it would stay like  this for the whole storm 

[Kitz Craver]

31 minutes ago, DJln491 said:

where in ct are you?

Meriden

[512high]

Down To 37F/Clouds

[Bryan63]

Down to 41, we'll see how much precip we lose. Even seeing things white would be nice

[ineedsnow]

Roads and cars getting coated up quick now

[moneypitmike]

Still torching here at Pit2.  39 off a high of 44 (!!!!)

[CPcantmeasuresnow]

2.4 inches two hours after it started 30 miles west of Danbury LHV of New York. Now will it have sustainability?

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

31.8°, light snow has commenced.

[FlashFreeze]

32° light snow and the ground is covered.

[Modfan2]

Down to 41F here in the 395 Corridor in E CT; just cloudy

[Greg]

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...

Key Points
 *Winter Storm Headlines remain in effect for tonight
   *6-8 inches, with localized 10 inches NW of I-95
   *3-6 inches, with higher uncertainty SE of I-95
   *0-2 inches across the Cape and the Islands

An area of low pressure strengthens as it makes a close pass
offshore, with the center near the Cape and Islands. Model guidance
remained consistent with this path today. Thus, confidence continues
to increase for widespread accumulating snowfall across the region
tonight. Precipitation moves in SW to NE tonight between 4 pm - 7
pm, with a mix of rain/snow possible with onset due to above-
freezing temperatures around the region.  Temperatures should drop
below freezing from NW to SE between 4 pm and 8 pm, allowing any
rain-snow mix to change to snow.

The heaviest snow and best potential for banding will occur between
6 pm to 1 am, where 0.5 inch/hr snow rates are likely, with a low to
moderate chance for 1-2 inch/hr snow rates.  The latest 12z Hi-res
guidance favors SE of the I-95 corridor from Boston to Providence
for the heaviest QPF and snow rates due to the close offshore track
of the low.  However, SE MA and RI is the area of highest
uncertainty because temperatures will take longer for temps to drop
below freezing.  If temps stay above freezing after 7-8pm, then snow
totals likely remain in the 3-6 range, but if they drop quicker,
then 6-8 inches with localized 10 inches will be possible.  As for
north and west of I-95, colder temps and higher snow-to-liquid
ratios will make up for less QPF. Widespread of 6-8 inches is
expected, with localized areas of up to 10 inches possible.

As for the Cape and Islands, Temps should stay above freezing until
after midnight; by this point, the heaviest QPF will have moved off
to the northeast.  We did bump up snow totals with the slight shift
south in the Hi-res guidance.  Expect anywhere from 0-2 inches, with
localized 3-4 inches if colder temps move in quicker than expected.

[Snowcrazed71]

Just started here in the past half hour. I'm at about 500 ft. I just got my haircut down the hill in town and it was kind of a rain with a couple snowflakes. Went home up to my house and it was a bit more of snow. From my window of our home. I can see the top of the mountain next to me which is another 250 ft up and it was snowing up there . It's so crazy how you can see three different levels of what's going on. 

Ps, it's snowing in Philadelphia now

[tavwtby]

31/28...vis down under a mile, but snow growth has gotten worse, was great at the start, anyway, we coat..

[203whiteout]

1-3 hours of snow between 6-9pm and it’s over. 1-3” and that’s my high end prediction for SW CT coast


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[Damage In Tolland]

Coming down nicely . Colder surfaces whitening up 

[mahk_webstah]

I realize the models haven’t been too enthusiastic today, but where I’m sitting I’m looking at a pretty great radar that is cranking up

[Typhoon Tip]

39

one or two flakes every 10 foot apart.  Just reaching rt 2

[203whiteout]

1-3 hours of snow between 6-9pm and it’s over. 1-3” and that’s my high end prediction for SW CT coast


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Dry slot really screwed the coast


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