As WAR expands, do our snow chances increase? First wave may produce a middling event-solid advisory and possible low end warning for MLK Weekend

[DavisStraight]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Isn’t he in northeast CT? 1-3 sounds quite a bit too low there. Even for the valleys. Don’t think elevation will play a huge role..maybe only in the first couple hours. 

He is, not far from me but maybe better to set expectations low and be surprised.

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Isn’t he in northeast CT? 1-3 sounds quite a bit too low there. Even for the valleys. Don’t think elevation will play a huge role..maybe only in the first couple hours. 

I think my area  to Kevs does really well.. then maybe the Berkshires while the valley gets shadowed a bit

[DJln491]

coming full circle and going back to my original thought of 4-6" in W. Hartford.  would be by far my biggest event of the season

[weathafella]

I’m liking the trends for mby on 12z.  I’m thinking 6”.   

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, weathafella said:

I’m liking the trends for mby on 12z.  I’m thinking 6”.   

Your area may end up doing sneaky good. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

I’m just hoping the SE crew gets at least an advisory level.  Would love to see them hit low end warning but I have my doubts for them 

[HoarfrostHubb]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Your area may end up doing sneaky good. 

Thoughts on MQE?   They are in an interesting place. 

[Damage In Tolland]

6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Isn’t he in northeast CT? 1-3 sounds quite a bit too low there. Even for the valleys. Don’t think elevation will play a huge role..maybe only in the first couple hours. 

He’s down near IJD/ Ginx area 

[weathafella]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Your area may end up doing sneaky good. 

Yeah we’re just far enough inland sometimes to stack the snow.  But to me the biggest limitation is the speed of the system.  People thinking a foot will probably be disappointed.

[mahk_webstah]

For me anything over 5 inches as a win

[ineedsnow]

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Yeah we’re just far enough inland sometimes to stack the snow.  But to me the biggest limitation is the speed of the system.  People thinking a foot will probably be disappointed.

if its powder it wouldn't take long to stack up quick

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

if its powder it wouldn't take long to stack up quick

Possible but I’m doubting it.   That would be a 10% type deal for you and I with this. 

[DJln491]

8 minutes ago, weathafella said:

I’m liking the trends for mby on 12z.  I’m thinking 6”.   

ECT right?  these ticks are perfect for you

[DavisStraight]

7 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

I’m just hoping the SE crew gets at least an advisory level.  Would love to see them hit low end warning but I have my doubts for them 

Id give up a little for our SE friends to get in the game, and by a little I mean an inch

[ORH_wxman]

8 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Thoughts on MQE?   They are in an interesting place. 

They will do well imho. Their only risk was if these super zonked solutions like rgem prior to 12z were going to verify and make them too warm at 925 but that seems like a non-starter now. 
 

6 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Yeah we’re just far enough inland sometimes to stack the snow.  But to me the biggest limitation is the speed of the system.  People thinking a foot will probably be disappointed.

You typically want an intense mesoband with big ratios to get double digits in a storm moving this fast. We’ve seen in some before but it’s hard to forecast it. There is a cross hair sig showing up on a lot of guidance so it’s something to watch. 

[dryslot]

38 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Narrowing the goal post.

[Bryan63]

3 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

Id give up a little for our SE friends to get in the game, and by a little I mean an inch

Your generosity and thoughtfulness is much appreciated.

[weathafella]

4 minutes ago, DJln491 said:

ECT right?  these ticks are perfect for you

No I’m in eastern MA. JUST inside 95

[ROOSTA]

Snow IMBY. I'll believe only when I see it.
This winter so far has been a huge disappointment for many.
Remember it's always darkest before the "Don"
Getting one or two several inch storms at this point would be a winner. 

[Ginx snewx]

33 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

He’s down near IJD/ Ginx area 

I am 15 miles from IJD you 14. I don't live in a valley.  

[JC-CT]

It's 2025, we shouldn't still be using offensive terms like IJD

[Ginx snewx]

42 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Isn’t he in northeast CT? 1-3 sounds quite a bit too low there. Even for the valleys. Don’t think elevation will play a huge role..maybe only in the first couple hours. 

Brooklyn in the valley but easy higher 

[ineedsnow]

Ukie still sucks

[GCWarrior]

1 hour ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

That should be a lock for Berkshire East.  Hopefully even a little more. 

I just want to hold these se ticks. 

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

It's 2025, we shouldn't still be using offensive terms like IJD

I like your location for a time in a death band with high ratio fluff. Peeps discounting high ratios in that arctic boundary beware.  Lots of Peeps taking the under because of past screwing. Got to know when to hold um and when to fold um. 12 z says hold um.

[DavisStraight]

20 minutes ago, ROOSTA said:

Snow IMBY. I'll believe only when I see it.
This winter so far has been a huge disappointment for many.
Remember it's always darkest before the "Don"
Getting one or two several inch storms at this point would be a winner. 

2015 started on January 26th so there's still time to pull off a good year, I wouldn't mind a lot of nickel and dime events either but would always welcome a 20+ incher.

[dryslot]

12z Euro bumped NW, Big hit for EMATT.

[JC-CT]

Just now, dryslot said:

12z Euro bumped NW, Big hit for EMATT.

Nice, convergence

[weathafella]

Just now, dryslot said:

12z Euro bumped NW, Big hit for EMATT.

Sure did.  Made me happier today.

[dryslot]

Just now, Snowcrazed71 said:

Thought it was early for the Euro.

12:08pm