As WAR expands, do our snow chances increase? First wave may produce a middling event-solid advisory and possible low end warning for MLK Weekend

[Prismshine Productions]

4 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Gee, that’s funny, Greenfield is just south of you.    

I thought you lived up on a hill and not Greenfield proper?

[ineedsnow]

GFS jumping the low center around each hour

[MJO812]

Just now, ineedsnow said:

GFS jumping the low center around each hour

 

[dryslot]

Messenger shuffle has begun.

 

[JC-CT]

Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

I was seriously asking you if your migraines are clinically defined, or if you are just calling them that ... like euphemistically.   People just say in passing that they have "such a migraine" but there's a certain defined set of physiological events that set the migraine phenomenon apart from 'bad headaches'.   

I know this stuff, because I am a lifer... have been since adolescence.  I had my first aura at 9 years old.  Now, yes ... one can suffer aura and non-aura migraines.  But, by and large, most proper and real migraine encumbered individuals experience some form or another of aura, usually visual, but it can manifest in other physiology, which signifies the onset of the migraine event.  

The migraine event, in the latest NCBI ( National Centers of Biological Information or NIH, National Institute of Health ),  suggests cascade "Potassium flushing" takes place through the neurons of the brain, temporarily destabilizes the critical sodium - potassium ( negative positive ion gate ).   If the delta between Na and K electrolytes are not maintained within range ( for whatever reason, and that is related to genetics and environmental ... which is makes for nightmare individual diagnostics and triggering ) .

It is important to know this stuff ... because,  new aura migraines at middle age, whence the patient has no or very limited prior life-history, is significantly correlated/increasing stroke risk.   Those that are life sufferers, this correlation is less; the underlying triggering mechanism is not the same, nor caused by risk factors associated to a broader spectrum of life styles and/or special circumstance. 

The science has come a long way.  Medications are useful, but there are often side effects...etc. etc, like all chemistry -based prevention, there never absolute and may also have secondary risk factors. Usually a tailored approach, that combines diet and other life styles, with medications...   For me, I never went the medication route.   One thing about life-suffers, migraines appear to be gestational modulating.  Usually around between 38 and 50 years of age ... patients report that while aura still takes place, the ability to function and straight up tolerate the pain sequence of the total migraine event, are greatly improved.  I am not in this latter population myself   So, ... 20 to 30 min of aura doesn't ( or hasn't in recent years ... ) immediately preceded an elephant standing on my head, while a Nazi's experiment with peripheral neuropathy ...  A couple of prophylactic Advil ( more so a plecibo -) and the headache is more dull in nature.  

I have recently found, cutting out simple carbs .. if not entirely, strictly reducing them to very low weekly consumption ( like I don't ever eat white bread, white pasta, soda pop, refined fruit juices - basically, all industrialize sugar concentrates of any kind, period ), and I the aura frequency has dropped to almost never.  

Yes I agree, GFS is a solid hit for all

[Damage In Tolland]

That’s is just about dead nuts on with prior runs. Hammertime 

[Prismshine Productions]

2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I was seriously asking you if your migraines are clinically defined, or if you are just calling them that ... like euphemistically.   People just say in passing that they have "such a migraine" but there's a certain defined set of physiological events that set the migraine apart.   

I know this stuff, because I am lifer... have been since adolescence.  I had my first aura at 9 years old.  Now, yes ... one can suffer aura and non-aura migraines.  But, by and large, most proper and real migraine encumbered individuals experience some form or another of aura, usually visual, but it can manifest in other physiology, which signifies the onset of the migraine event.  

The migraine event, in the latest NCBI ( National Centers of Biological Information or NIH, National Institute of Health ),  suggests cascade "Potassium flushing" takes place through the neurons of the brain, temporarily destabilizes the critical sodium - potassium ( negative positive ion gate ).   If the delta between Na and K electrolytes are not maintained within range ( for whatever reason, and that is related to genetics and environmental ... which is makes for nightmare individual diagnostics and triggering ) .

It is important to know this stuff ... because,  new aura migraines at middle age, whence the patient has no or very limited prior life-history, is significantly correlated/increasing stroke risk.   Those that are life sufferers, this correlation is less; the underlying triggering mechanism is not the same, nor caused by risk factors associated to a broader spectrum of life styles and/or special circumstance. 

The science has come a long way.  Medications are useful, but there are often side effects...etc. etc, like all chemistry -based prevention, there never absolute and may also have secondary risk factors. Usually a tailored approach, that combines diet and other life styles, with medications...   For me, I never went the medication route.   One thing about life-suffers, migraines appear to be gestational modulating.  Usually around between 38 and 50 years of age ... patients report that while aura still takes place, the ability to function and straight up tolerate the pain sequence of the total migraine event, are greatly improved.  I am not in this latter population myself   So, ... 20 to 30 min of aura doesn't ( or hasn't in recent years ... ) immediately preceded an elephant standing on my head, while a Nazi's experiment with peripheral neuropathy ...  A couple of prophylactic Advil ( more so a plecibo -) and the headache is more dull in nature.  

I have recently found, cutting out simple carbs .. if not entirely, strictly reducing them to very low weekly consumption ( like I don't ever eat white bread, white pasta, soda pop, refined fruit juices - basically, all industrialize sugar concentrates of any kind, period ), and I the aura frequency has dropped to almost never.  

clinically defined, spent 4 days in the hospital back in July thinking I suffered a stroke but it was diagnosed as Hemipelagic Migraines 

[ineedsnow]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

That’s is just about dead nuts on with prior runs. Hammertime 

6 to 10  someone might reach 12

[SouthCoastMA]

tick, tick

[SouthCoastMA]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That’s is just about dead nuts on with prior runs. Hammertime 

It shifted se a tad

[ORH_wxman]

GFS ticked cooler again for those on the line in far SE areas. Still excellent for most of us in the interior. 

[JC-CT]

Just now, SouthCoastMA said:

It shifted se a tad

It's called coming into alignment

 

With the JMA

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, SouthCoastMA said:

It shifted se a tad

Noisy 

[dryslot]

[Prismshine Productions]

Just now, SouthCoastMA said:

It shifted se a tad

little drier tooo

[Torch Tiger]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

SE and less organized. cave

[Damage In Tolland]

About dead nuts same . Noise 

[ineedsnow]

Just now, Torch Tiger said:

SE and less organized. cave

not sure how I feel about that run though.. the low center was jumping around through hr 30.. hoping its right

[SouthCoastMA]

That was a nice move for Tmeh and CoastalWx. I'll need 1 or 2 more 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Definite nod to euro.. that was much less amped slower and east … gfs and AIFS are almost carbon copies now .. 

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

About dead nuts same . Noise 

There’s no need to deny the SE shift. It’s def went a bit SE and slightly less organized. It just means we’re prob not getting 12-16” of snow…I’d still go a solid 4-8/5-10 over the central zones. 

[Typhoon Tip]

6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

GFS ticked cooler again for those on the line in far SE areas. Still excellent for most of us in the interior. 

shit...  hey Will can you move our migraine discussion to the banter thread - i thought I was doing that.

lol.  that musta seemed weird -

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

There’s no need to deny the SE shift. It’s def went a bit SE and slightly less organized. It just means we’re prob not getting 12-16” of snow…I’d still go a solid 4-8/5-10 over the central zones. 

waiting on the GEFS.. but I think they hold serve.. either way looks great for many

[moneypitmike]

Still hopeful for 4-6 up here.

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

shit...  hey Will can you move our migraine discussion to the banter thread - i thought I was doing that.

lol.  that musta seemed weird -

Done. No worries, lol. 

[dendrite]

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

About dead nuts same . Noise 

Noise like Nickelback

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

There’s no need to deny the SE shift. It’s def went a bit SE and slightly less organized. It just means we’re prob not getting 12-16” of snow…I’d still go a solid 4-8/5-10 over the central zones. 

I’ve been planning on 8-12” so it’s all on track and has been. I still don’t see this as a cave . Euro was not good 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

19 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

I thought you lived up on a hill and not Greenfield proper?

I’m outside of town but only at about 350’.   My favorite is when it’s white rain at my house and I can see the trees on the hill behind me caking with snow.

[dryslot]

Some refuse to see the Forrest thru the trees, The models are ticking SE, These weaker scenarios are the cause.

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I’ve been planning on 8-12” so it’s all on track and has been. I still don’t see this as a cave . Euro was not good 

We will have to see where we end up