As WAR expands, do our snow chances increase? First wave may produce a middling event-solid advisory and possible low end warning for MLK Weekend

[H2Otown_WX]

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Ukie bumped west and beefed up precip 

Full frontal nudity for our area?

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, H2Otown_WX said:

Full frontal nudity for our area?

Like 6-8”

[ineedsnow]

5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

18-24"..weenies always focusing on the high end.

not until the Euro comes west.. this could go to crap real fast if the Euro is right

[78Blizzard]

We'll see if the Euro wants to be out on an island. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

14 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Like 6-8”

I’m seeing like 2-5”. Advisory level amounts…

[George001]

3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I’m seeing like 2-5”. Advisory level amounts…

For areas that mix sure, but I’m taking the over on that for places that stay all snow. 

[ineedsnow]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I’m seeing like 2-5”. Advisory level amounts…

kuchie

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, George001 said:

For areas that mix sure, but I’m taking the over on that for places that stay all snow. 

Talking about the UK specifically.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Talking about the UK specifically.

.5 to .8 qpf across the area 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

kuchie

I always do 10:1. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Imag

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Anyway. Maybe is a tick better than I originally thought. Still not seeing how the high end solutions verify. Advisory maybe low end warning in some spots is probably the way to go.

 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Imag

Looks great

[MJO812]

Euro

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Anyway. Maybe is a tick better than I originally thought. Still not seeing how the high end solutions verify. Advisory maybe low end warning in some spots is probably the way to go.

 

 

By blending euro and gfs.  We will find out if euro is playing nice any second 

 

[MJO812]

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

 

By blending euro and gfs.  We will find out if euro is playing nice any second 

 

See above

[MJO812]

[ineedsnow]

Euro starting to cave

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Looks exactly the same .. noise NW bump and a tic beefier meh .: it’s actually SE of the 12z surface low placement .. better NW banding signal that’s about it.. 70% euro 30% gfs with ratios in NW band is still my gut.. would yield 4-8”+ for many. Goodnight 

[H2Otown_WX]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

Euro starting to cave

You gotta get some sleep dude. Gonna be a long weekend.

[weathafella]

3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Euro starting to cave

Nope.  Steady as a rock and hopefully wrong.

[Spanks45]

3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Euro starting to cave

Meh, looks like a drier NAM....

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, H2Otown_WX said:

You gotta get some sleep dude. Gonna be a long weekend.

off to bed now.. 

[MJO812]

Just now, ineedsnow said:

off to bed now.. 

Same here 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Euro starting to cave

Put down everything and go to bed.

[40/70 Benchmark]

15 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Put down everything and go to bed.

Hallucinations are a sure fire sign of sleep deprivation.

 

[H2Otown_WX]

My NWS P&C is 8-14"

[The 4 Seasons]

Just now, H2Otown_WX said:

My NWS P&C is 8-14"

No surprise aly going 8-12 in Litchfield cty 

[The 4 Seasons]

Weird ranges again but the color range is 8-12

[dmcginvt]

26 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I always do 10:1. 

It seems like it changes every year.  oh do 10:1. no do kuchie.  I think it depends on temps (obviously).  If temps are marginal or really cold kuchie is better, as it will show 7:1 or 20:1 better than 10:1.    Am I wrong in this thinking?