Jump to content

  • Member Statistics

    17,720
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Mike Rosen
    Newest Member
    Mike Rosen
    Joined

As WAR expands, do our snow chances increase? First wave may produce a middling event-solid advisory and possible low end warning for MLK Weekend

weathafella

By weathafella,
in New England

 Share

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 138
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Days

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Days

Popular Posts

40/70 Benchmark
40/70 Benchmark

The title sure has the appeal of a Tippy thread...as long as the post itself.

The 4 Seasons
The 4 Seasons

Chill out, dickwad.

weathafella
weathafella

When I think of overrunning, I imagine a WSW-ENE boundary that if I'm lucky, I'm north of with a big gradient between truly warm air and frigid conditions.  Those setups can produce pretty big snows s

Posted Images

Spanks45

Spanks45

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

UK east like gfs. This looks more meh for the WOR crowd.

Lol and the GFS will be right this time around....wrong when it shows snow and right when it doesn't. Just follows the theme, pick the least snowiest model and role with it for your forecast. Sure there have been a few positive busts this year so far, but what is a positive bust of 1 inch really? Can we just get a few inches on the ground before we transform into the arctic for the week? Is that really too much to ask for living in New England?

  • Like 1
  • Weenie 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
The 4 Seasons

The 4 Seasons

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Spanks45 said:

Lol and the GFS will be right this time around....wrong when it shows snow and right when it doesn't. Just follows the theme, pick the least snowiest model and role with it for your forecast. Sure there have been a few positive busts this year so far, but what is a positive bust of 1 inch really? Can we just get a few inches on the ground before we transform into the arctic for the week? Is that really too much to ask for living in New England?

Have you seen my snowfall to date map? The answer is, yes. 

And after the last 3 seasons the answer is definitely yes.

Took a look at the GEFS and its not much of a help, similar to the OP. Gotta feeling EC will follow the UK/GFS for 12Z. GEM seems really out there.

 

gfs-ensemble-all-avg-east-mslp_with_low_locs-7342000.png

  • Confused 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
ORH_wxman

ORH_wxman

Posted
Posted
12 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

I think this moves around a lot the next couple days

It will oscillate but I don’t think the goal posts are that wide. I expect the canadian to come east. It has no support from other guidance. I’m more worried about a whiff but the 12z GFS moving west to at least getting SE areas is a nice trend. 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Spanks45

Spanks45

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Have you seen my snowfall to date map? The answer is, yes. 

And after the last 3 seasons the answer is definitely yes.

Took a look at the GEFS and its not much of a help, similar to the OP. Gotta feeling EC will follow the UK/GFS for 12Z. GEM seems really out there.

 

gfs-ensemble-all-avg-east-mslp_with_low_locs-7342000.png

I guess I can't complain, too much....I am close to my seasonal total from 2 years ago. This cold windy garbage is relentless though and is causing a lot more angst towards winter than ever before....my kids are going to destroy the house and I will end up with a nervous breakdown if they can't get out and get rid of some daily energy!

  • Like 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites
RUNNAWAYICEBERG

RUNNAWAYICEBERG

Posted
Posted
28 minutes ago, Spanks45 said:

Lol and the GFS will be right this time around....wrong when it shows snow and right when it doesn't. Just follows the theme, pick the least snowiest model and role with it for your forecast. Sure there have been a few positive busts this year so far, but what is a positive bust of 1 inch really? Can we just get a few inches on the ground before we transform into the arctic for the week? Is that really too much to ask for living in New England?

Agree.1-2” is my hedge for Sunday. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Snowcrazed71

Snowcrazed71

Posted
Posted
16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

All systems on board. Snowy Sunday night/ Monday . Nice 

Well... Nothing says 3-6. Maybe 1-3. But at least we'll have snow on the ground.

Edit..... I will say, there's always a chance for it to come back a bit Northwest, so I wouldn't be surprised if the totals could go up a smidge. It's happened with the last few storms. We still have 4 days to go for this to be adjusted.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share
Go to topic listing
×
×
  • Create New...