As WAR expands, do our snow chances increase? First wave may produce a middling event-solid advisory and possible low end warning for MLK Weekend

[J Paul Gordon]

We're located at the north end of Wachusset reservoir on the Lancaster line about five miles west of 495 Bolton exit. Looking at the maps it seems that we do pretty well. It certainly looks like we might be on the higher end of 3-5. Does this storm go from rain to snow or snow to rain in my area?

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 minute ago, J Paul Gordon said:

We're located at the north end of Wachusset reservoir on the Lancaster line about five miles west of 495 Bolton exit. Looking at the maps it seems that we do pretty well. It certainly looks like we might be on the higher end of 3-5. Does this storm go from rain to snow or snow to rain in my area?

I’m thinking all snow there. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

31 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

Canadian only out to 36 but looking at H5 it looks going to be a messenger shuffle NW like what Reggie did 

Messenger shuffles are se.

[ORH_wxman]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Wouldn't go that far yet.

Yeah this could easily be rain early but flip to several hours of mod/heavy snow near the end for SE areas. I want to see the euro come on board for a much further NW track before making that type of forecast. I’m still favoring compromise until we have clear evidence we shouldn’t. Euro just finished disemboweling a lot of guidance in the 1/11 event. 

[Prismshine Productions]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Messenger shuffles are se.

then what is NW, the Cupid Shuffle? XD

[radarman]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Messenger shuffles are se.

Also late... like almost nowcast time

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, radarman said:

Also late... like almost nowcast time

Yes, That's where Scott would use the RUC model.

[JC-CT]

don't worry yall, JMA is still good

[ineedsnow]

4 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

I’m thinking all snow there. 

I think me and you are going to do good with this

[weatherwiz]

Just now, radarman said:

Also late... like almost nowcast time

Something to watch over the next 24-36 hours I think is the progression of the front south and east across the country. This is going to be huge in establishing the baroclinic zone and where that resides. I guess maybe we can compare real time and see which model may be handling this the best. Just an idea

[cut]

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

1-6? Lol

nothing like a 600% forecast range!!!

[mreaves]

13 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

then what is NW, the Cupid Shuffle? XD

The Powderfreak Pull

[ORH_wxman]

Ukie went east a bit. I don’t think it’s going to be correct verbatim but still clearly some pretty decent spread on guidance. 

[JC-CT]

[Prismshine Productions]

one thing I noticed about the Ukie is it looks the most moisture starved out the main models and furthest SE

[DJln491]

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, DJln491 said:

That snow hole from New Haven to Norwich doesn’t really make any sense on that map given what’s going on east and west of them. 

[DJln491]

it's ok everyone the day is saved...the drunk uncle stumbled east a bit

[JC-CT]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

That snow hole from New Haven to Norwich doesn’t really make any sense on that map given what’s going on east and west of them. 

I think it has to be a BOX/OKX data integration issue

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

That snow hole from New Haven to Norwich doesn’t really make any sense on that map given what’s going on east and west of them. 

Okx no map

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, JC-CT said:

I think it has to be a BOX/OKX data integration issue

Ninjad

[Damage In Tolland]

6 minutes ago, DJln491 said:

NWS maps are just brutal . Always start low lol

[Ginx snewx]

37 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

what site is that?

Technical Bufkit

[DJln491]

I guess it's better than 1-6" 

[Ginx snewx]

37 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

I'm seeing 20 -ubar/s, so if that is right in the middle of the a saturated DGZ that's a good warning signature.

Yea where that sets up crush job

[HoarfrostHubb]

Might need to cancel dinner plans in ORH for Sunday evening...

[dendrite]

3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Might need to cancel dinner plans in ORH for Sunday evening...

Don’t do that. I’ll just pin the thread. 

[dryslot]

Euro late again

[moneypitmike]

Feeling good about both pits.  Pit 1 looks best, but my gut tells me Maine will do okay when all is said and done.

[weatherwiz]

OHHH MY LORD. GFS Bufkit for ORH.....holy moly. BDL sucked but ORH....oh God this is gold.