As WAR expands, do our snow chances increase? First wave may produce a middling event-solid advisory and possible low end warning for MLK Weekend

[OceanStWx]

24 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Standing hard and firm 

That has to be some kind of HR violation.

[Damage In Tolland]

10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

It's like a coating for you.

I wasn’t saying it like I liked it. I liked 6z and yesterday’s runs. 00z and this would bring rains to Maines 

[Prismshine Productions]

H5 at 42 looks similar to Reggie

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

well, GFS definitely made some big adjustments with the early shortwave over Quebec and the overall trough orientation. sheeeeit

From what i see i don't think there will be much if any of a correction east, May hold serve.

[ineedsnow]

Just now, dryslot said:

From what i see i don't think there will be much if any of a correction east, May hold serve.

looks a little west at hr51

[OceanStWx]

19 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Centah Hahbah

Scooter and his friends hanging at the lake.

[JC-CT]

Just now, dryslot said:

From what i see i don't think there will be much if any of a correction east, May hold serve.

definitely not east. if anything, it's moving west

[Damage In Tolland]

Gonna be some tail pipe exhaust sucking , bridge and cliff diving shortly in this thread I think 

[dryslot]

Just now, ineedsnow said:

looks a little west at hr51

That would equate to noise.

[UnitedWx]

18 minutes ago, SJonesWX said:

that's pretty much perfect for up here

Here as well, but lets get everyone involved

[ORH_wxman]

Looks a tick east at 57 but very close to 06z

[MJO812]

[ineedsnow]

wow crushed here

[CoastalWx]

Paste job here. 

[Sn0waddict]

Pretty identical to 6z as far as track.

[JC-CT]

Just now, dryslot said:

That would equate to noise.

pretty big changes up north, early in the run

[dryslot]

Don't see much here at the surface, Looks like it held serve pretty much.

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Looks a tick east at 57 but very close to 06z

Then maybe just a tick west again at 60h…essentially the same track. Wobbling every 3h. 

[UnitedWx]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Take!

[Sn0waddict]

Just now, Sn0waddict said:

Pretty identical to 6z as far as track.

Living on the edge. Any further west and we get into trouble 

[ineedsnow]

jackpot that run I take!

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Then maybe just a tick west again at 60h…essentially the same track. Wobbling every 3h. 

Weebles?

[Ginx snewx]

Total paste hit on GFS then freeze that up.

[ineedsnow]

we kuchie with 17 here 

[OceanStWx]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Then maybe just a tick west again at 60h…essentially the same track. Wobbling every 3h. 

I really like the mid levels closing and deepening overhead. 850 mb track is near perfect for a 128 to coastal Maine stripe.

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

pretty big changes up north, early in the run

Pretty big?

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Don't see much here at the surface.

 

When looping it vs 06z the track is very similar but the QPF field might be slightly more compact on the 12z run. Prob mostly noise. 

[weatherwiz]

That's a hefty banding signature on the GFS. Actually almost looks like there could be some dry slot concerns for southeastern CT/RI/far SE MA but those drier H7 RH values are probably coming in as the heaviest QPF is moving out anyways so probably not much of a big deal. But that is also quite an unstable look...pretty good MAUL signal looking at some soundings. Big crushing 

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, OceanStWx said:

I really like the mid levels closing and deepening overhead. 850 mb track is near perfect for a 128 to coastal Maine stripe.

Yeah you might almost get a pseudo-pivot on that. It’s moving quickly but as this thing tries to scoot a bit ENE late in the game with the deepening mid-levels, someone could get hammered for 2-4 hours. 

[ineedsnow]