As WAR expands, do our snow chances increase? First wave may produce a middling event-solid advisory and possible low end warning for MLK Weekend

[OceanStWx]

19 minutes ago, tunafish said:

Annual reminder:  nobody knows where the fook "here" is for 90% of the posters that reference it as their location.  

 

6.4" total, 0.49" liquid for Portland, ME.

Not often I get beat that bad by the “Jetport”

[wokeupthisam]

5.5", 11.1/7.2F breezy bluebird skies 

[CoastalWx]

Where’s the widespread 6-9”?

[CoastalWx]

Greatest snowfall since Feb 2022 lol.

[JC-CT]

If anyone wants more snow, you can come take it from my driveway

[Typhoon Tip]

5.5" of champagne

[CoastalWx]

[weatherwiz]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Where’s the widespread 6-9”?

I'm pissed at myself for going 5-8" for such a large area but I was unsure how to really translate all the concerns into map form lol. The swaths of highest totals ended up being where I was thinking and there was pretty good support for that. This is why sometimes QPF is one of the last things I'll really look at. You start looking at QPF output right away and the beer goggles go on. I mean you can get a general sense of what QPF will be like anyways assessing everything. I am glad though I didn't go bonkers with those amped solutions starting arising in the typical 72ish hour time frame. 

[ineedsnow]

Looks great out!!! We fluff

[LSC97wxnut]

Roughly 4" in Newtonville.  Everything is snow-caked and very pretty this morning. 

Nice to look at snow rather than bare ground with how cold this week will be.

[ineedsnow]

5.5 final not a big storm but atleast it will be around for awhile

[HIPPYVALLEY]

6.5” total.  Stunning morning with the sun and fresh snow. 
 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

[H2Otown_WX]

@The 4 Seasons I'll go with 3.2" as my storm total. It was only 2.6" on my car but I'm thinking it may not have stuck initially and or some blew off from the high winds. The depth in my grass was around 3.5"

[dendrite]

9.6°

Never had over a half foot be so easily broomable. 

[Lava Rock]

5.5". Will snowblow tonight

[40/70 Benchmark]

5" Final...that decaying deform band coming through added 1.5" after 2am, so I limped to the low end of my forecast range.

[dryslot]

25 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

Final total of 4.6” on 0.36” liquid. As we expected.

12.7:1 not bad.

[40/70 Benchmark]

14 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I'm pissed at myself for going 5-8" for such a large area but I was unsure how to really translate all the concerns into map form lol. The swaths of highest totals ended up being where I was thinking and there was pretty good support for that. This is why sometimes QPF is one of the last things I'll really look at. You start looking at QPF output right away and the beer goggles go on. I mean you can get a general sense of what QPF will be like anyways assessing everything. I am glad though I didn't go bonkers with those amped solutions starting arising in the typical 72ish hour time frame. 

The 5-8 range incorporates that...I'm satisfied with it.

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

11.1°, 5.4" total here! Feels properly winter-like this morning.

[Great Snow 1717]

4.2 in Methuen....another busted for TV ratings forecast...closing in on 8 inches for the season!!!!!!!!

[weatherwiz]

6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

The 5-8 range incorporates that...I'm satisfied with it.

I gotta stop getting so heavily influenced by the cute SLP/QPF maps...that's what tends to get me, especially when you'll have say like the GFS which isn't going to resolve some of the finer nuisances like the mesos would so it has that beautiful looking QPF shield. Gotta get these questions embedded into the noggin:

1) Does the QPF on that widespread of a scale make sense?

2) If that QPF makes sense, what is happening with that QPF (which this question could have a subset of several additional questions)?

3) What is going on with llvl and mlvl storm evolution and how is that impacting overall lift? Is there going to be a heavy reliance for narrow bands of frontogenesis or are we looking at a larger scale source for greater and more intense banding? 

How this precipitation shield evolved...IMO the NAM and Euro really nailed it but I can remember that 12z NAM run from Friday...seemed like so many were quick to discount it because the precip shield didn't make sense...well it did make sense and the reasons why it made sense, verified nicely. Heavier stuff northwest, kind of crap in the middle unless you got lucky with some narrow bands, and then heavier stuff northeast.  

[EastonSN+]

3.25 in Easton CT

6.5 on the year.

[mreaves]

8 hours ago, dendrite said:

Yup

@dasshould be able to confirm. I think he lives in Charlotte. 

[WinterWolf]

@The 4 Seasons 3” in Southington, CT.  10.75” on the season. 

[FXWX]

5.5 Burlington CT

[mreaves]

2 hours ago, TheMainer said:

Around an inch here, storm definitely shit the bed, last NWS update here was still 4-6. Oh well, guess another week of not opening trails, local businesses are hurting after 4 straight crappy winters up here, might as well sell the sleds and move to somewhere we can golf year round. 

Where are you in Maine?

[mreaves]

1 hour ago, klw said:

2.2 new here in W. Norwich Vt at an elevation of 1240 feet.

Yeah, but what are your exact coordinates?

[dendrite]

12 minutes ago, mreaves said:

@dasshould be able to confirm. I think he lives in Charlotte. 

The wind was due north…perfect trajectory for Champlain LES.

[Prismshine Productions]

Feels weird that me and @HIPPYVALLEYhave comparable (or slightly more) than some others who had the better climo-favored locations considering the set up... guess a deformation band would do that XD