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As WAR expands, do our snow chances increase? First wave may produce a middling event-solid advisory and possible low end warning for MLK Weekend


weathafella
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Have to give some kudos to the NAM here. I don’t understand why everyone is always so hot and heavy to just toss it, especially when it doesn’t show a solution that is unwanted. It did a phenomenal job hitting at that northwestern band, kind of crap in between and then heavier banding for northeast areas. 
 

The whole process leading up to this storm and then the nowcasting period shows exactly there is more to just forecasting snow based off of QPF and figuring out snow ratio and it goes to show that QPF can’t just be taken at face value. A lot of wheels should be spinning in one’s head when assessing QPF. 
 

From a forecasting perspective though, a lot of how this storm played out went exactly how several mentioned. There were concerns about snow growth, rates, and ratios outside of the banding and that would heavily influence totals. The challenge is, how the heck do you portray that on a snow map? You really can’t…probably best to just be as cautious as possible with the totals and mention localized higher amounts. 

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1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

This fronto is gloroius.

beauriful to watch

Really perfect snow growth right now here. Prob similar near you as you are in similar banding. Perfect night to have the spotlights on. 

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