As WAR expands, do our snow chances increase? First wave may produce a middling event-solid advisory and possible low end warning for MLK Weekend

[wokeupthisam]

7 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

Same here, spring like 40F

Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk
 

Yup beautiful morning, cloudless bluebird sky, no wind, 39.4°

Getting final storm prep done for this WSW - just checked the electric leaf blower & it's good to go...

[Damage In Tolland]

Gfs has solid 6-9” over much of the region 

[Kitz Craver]

Hit 39F about an hour ago, down to 37F currently. Has the cool off begun?

[WinterWolf]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Gfs has solid 6-9” over much of the region 

Time to just see how things develop and play out this afternoon and evening. Decent snow storm for most folks in SNE. 

[BombsAway1288]

Sitting at 42 with full sunshine. This cool off better come fast later today otherwise BOS will bust way too high. Not sure whether it was modeled to get this warm or not 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, BombsAway1288 said:

Sitting at 42 with full sunshine. This cool off better come fast later today otherwise BOS will bust way too high. Not sure whether it was modeled to get this warm or not 

It was. Low 40s.

[dendrite]

HREF

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Gfs has solid 6-9” over much of the region 

It’s 3-4” for most and a bit more up towards Ray. Certainly hot widespread 6-9

[wkd]

5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Time to just see how things develop and play out this afternoon and evening. Decent snow storm for most folks in SNE. 

And the mld-atlantic, Philly, NJ, and the NYC area. Finally a I95 event. It's been a long time.

[BombsAway1288]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

It was. Low 40s.

Fair enough. May be just a bit snake bitten from the last few winters of white rain. This year has been much colder than previous few winters 

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

It’s 3-4” for most and a bit more up towards Ray. Certainly hot widespread 6-9

Maybe actually look?

[Damage In Tolland]

Loconto from BOX

https://x.com/andrewloconto/status/1881011093444960594?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, BombsAway1288 said:

Fair enough. May be just a bit snake bitten from the last few winters of white rain. This year has been much colder than previous few winters 

I’m thinking 3-5 for BOS. Could be 6 if it flips a little sooner. 1 hr difference in timing will make a 2” difference. It will be ripping precip between 7-10pm.

[dryslot]

Most models spitting out 0.25-0.35" qpf here so 3-5" at best, This is tracking just a bit to far SE, It looked better a few days ago.

[Prismshine Productions]

radar is definately NW of what had be guidencced

[DavisStraight]

42 minutes ago, SJonesWX said:

HVAC guy at my house last week was trying to tell me that it was going to be -20 up here this week. he was looking at a map one of the clown Mets posted on twatter. It was an upper air map of 850 temps. talk about misleading

How did you respond to that?

[ROOSTA]

Thinking it wise to keep expectations low, the disappointment "stings" a little less.
Then when all is said and done getting more is an attitude change. No foot from this baby except maybe down-east ME. 
Based on (meso's) a slight drop in QPF and present temps.

[weathafella]

Thanks for the muthufukkas Brian.  I didn’t have to look.  I’m good with a modest low end warning snow event ahead of deep cold for a few days.  I’m expecting 4-6 here.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

28 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Maybe actually look?

I did, and as usual, you added about 50% to the actual output 

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I did, and as usual, you added about 50% to the actual output 

The map shows it . Look 

[bwt3650]

Time to just see how things develop and play out this afternoon and evening. Decent snow storm for most folks in SNE. 

Agree…It will be the most winter like week in a while. Legit snow cover, frigid temps, some blowing snow. Not everything has to be historic to enjoy a good, winter like stretch.


.

[Patrick-02540]

In ten minutes sky went from totally clear blue to overcast with that snow look/feel.  Neighbor just texted me to join an impromptu snow party in his barn.  Hope I'm not too crocked when it starts cranking.   

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

I had glazing in my driveway yesterday despite 36° RASN. 

Yup.  Lots of icing/glaze here last night/this morning despite temps

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Nice cutback on the 12z CMC. 
 

2-4 for most 

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 hour ago, weatherwiz said:

Unfortunately I have a busy day ahead so my window to do that closed. Wal Mart is probably a disaster (and the Wal Mart here is always a disaster on a normal day...it's actually ranked as like one of the top 5 or 10 most violent in the country lol) and I'm sure everyone is at Big Y grabbing bread and milk.

2 things-

1) Just went to Walmart for something quick.  Not busy at all (Gardner MA)

2) Where do you get violence rankings for Walmart?

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

2 things-

1) Just went to Walmart for something quick.  Not busy at all (Gardner MA)

2) Where do you get violence rankings for Walmart?

My girlfriend had mentioned it to me a while back but I thought she was exaggerating a bit...but then recently (like a few months ago) there was a news story (may have been local Springfield station) on it and the Wal Mart here was like somewhere between #5-10 in the country...I want to say it was 5th lol. 

[wkd]

5 minutes ago, Patrick-02540 said:

In ten minutes sky went from totally clear blue to overcast with that snow look/feel.  Neighbor just texted me to join an impromptu snow party in his barn.  Hope I'm not too crocked when it starts cranking.   

I come into your forum just hoping I will see your avatar. Oh, and enjoy the snow.

[dendrite]

5 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Yup.  Lots of icing/glaze here last night/this morning despite temps

Yeah, but there was radiational cooling overnight as skies cleared…common black ice recipe. I’m talking FZRA on the driveway despite a 2m temp decently above 32°. That’s how deeply cold the ground surface was. 

[Patrick-02540]

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

My girlfriend had mentioned it to me a while back but I thought she was exaggerating a bit...but then recently (like a few months ago) there was a news story (may have been local Springfield station) on it and the Wal Mart here was like somewhere between #5-10 in the country...I want to say it was 5th lol. 

The two most violent retail stores in this area that I know of are a Walmart in Long Island and the one in Springfield.  This was info from a guy who evaluates real estate for commercial use for firms like Home Depot, Walmart, Target etc.  This was Black Friday only, so not sure how they hold up in general.  

[Patrick-02540]

4 minutes ago, wkd said:

I come into your forum just hoping I will see your avatar. Oh, and enjoy the snow.

I log in here a lot just to see it, too.