As WAR expands, do our snow chances increase? First wave may produce a middling event-solid advisory and possible low end warning for MLK Weekend

[JC-CT]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Lmao at the RGEM. Please don’t ever mention that model again. We knew.

Oh Canada!

[CoastalWx]

Just now, JC-CT said:

Oh Canada!

How about Mark Moregarbage. What a suck bag of a clown he is. 

[DomNH]

Man this thing does not look all that impressive this morning. Whoever gets the ML fronto band might squeak out 6-7'' at higher SLR but I think there's going to be a lot of 3-5'' around SNE. I don't like that the high-res guidance has a disorganized mess of a precip shield. 

[SouthCoastMA]

What's the 12z Mark Model saying

[CoastalWx]

Just now, SouthCoastMA said:

What's the 12z Mark Model saying

You wonder why I get triggered by all these clown maps and clown Mets for that matter. We’re honestly moving backwards as a field. There is so much bad info being broadcasted and people who don’t know any better just gobbling it up. It’s so bad and frankly it’s frustrating. 

[fz583]

I've wasted 4 days of reading this BS for a BS storm, and much like this winter, I'm BS! 

[dendrite]

4 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

What's the 12z Mark Model saying

DIT’s on the back up
Weenies free, so put the clowns up

 

[Torch Tiger]

regionwide 8-12" still on the table? 

[WalpoleJoe]

20 minutes ago, UnitedWx said:

I was up to 36° here, but down to 33 now that the clouds have started moving in. Time to make sure the snowblower starts

Just completed that....along with some new 4:1 fuel added. Ready to go, hopefully I get to use it. 

[dryslot]

This is the perfect candidate for the radar looks likes shit comments.

[OceanStWx]

1 hour ago, jbenedet said:

yes atmosphere is cold above the surface
 

But - it’s a fast mover, ground will be warm and surface temps warm at onset. I’m concerned overall ratios and white rain, before the flip to good rates. 
 

I’m expecting 4” imby. And more confidence it ends up lower than higher. 3-4” highest confidence.

 

The ground is warm? We’re actually making some real frost depth up here right now with the lack of snow cover and cold temps. Ground temps aren’t going to limit anything.

[SouthCoastMA]

3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

This is the perfect candidate for the radar looks likes shit comments.

"back edge already approaching Hartford" while some are still struggling with non-accumulating snow

[dryslot]

Just now, OceanStWx said:

The ground is warm? We’re actually making some real frost depth up here right now with the lack of snow cover and cold temps. Ground temps aren’t going to limit anything.

Yeah, Frost is going deep, Broken water mains on deck.

[Patrick-02540]

Was clouding up here, now i'm in a cloudless sun hole, probably a screw hole for later on.  

[mahk_webstah]

9 minutes ago, dendrite said:

DIT’s on the back up
Weenies free, so put the clowns up

 

I don’t think Marky’s weenie was free

[dendrite]

3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

The ground is warm? We’re actually making some real frost depth up here right now with the lack of snow cover and cold temps. Ground temps aren’t going to limit anything.

I had glazing in my driveway yesterday despite 36° RASN. 

[dendrite]

Just now, mahk_webstah said:

I don’t think Marky’s weenie was free

My hunch is that it’s probably funky

[weatherwiz]

Just now, dendrite said:

I had glazing in my driveway yesterday despite 36° RASN. 

Driveway here is still glazed and roads have a glazed look. I wanted to hit up Wal Mart/Big Y but I don't want to deal with any ice potential...not just myself but people drive like idiots. I'll just stay put. 

[dendrite]

Just now, weatherwiz said:

Driveway here is still glazed and roads have a glazed look. I wanted to hit up Wal Mart/Big Y but I don't want to deal with any ice potential...not just myself but people drive like idiots. I'll just stay put. 

It’s 1030. I think you’re fine now. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

9 minutes ago, dryslot said:

This is the perfect candidate for the radar looks likes shit comments.

Ineedsleep will provide the screenshots every 5 minutes. 

[mahk_webstah]

I don’t know, but the radar doesn’t look too bad to me. It looks like it’s just starting to get its act together.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Driveway here is still glazed and roads have a glazed look. I wanted to hit up Wal Mart/Big Y but I don't want to deal with any ice potential...not just myself but people drive like idiots. I'll just stay put. 

Close the shades and hunker down. It’s a dangerous world out there.

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

It’s 1030. I think you’re fine now. 

Unfortunately I have a busy day ahead so my window to do that closed. Wal Mart is probably a disaster (and the Wal Mart here is always a disaster on a normal day...it's actually ranked as like one of the top 5 or 10 most violent in the country lol) and I'm sure everyone is at Big Y grabbing bread and milk.

[OceanStWx]

36 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Lmao at the RGEM. Please don’t ever mention that model again. We knew.

It’s because it’s not an arctic front anymore, otherwise it would’ve nailed it.

[weatherwiz]

This is pretty interesting, however, I think it shows the significance of a band materializing and being under the band today. I'm becoming more and more convinced that outside of the banding...spots may struggle to get much past 3-4"...and this could end up being generous. 

Anyways, when I was looking at 12z NAM bufkit I was a little shocked. Based on 12z NAM bufkit, it looked like the heaviest banding would impact BOS-BDL and probably just west of ORH. But when assessing the model I would have thought the banding signal was better northwest of this line...unfortunately not much for bufkit profiles (CAN in northwest CT but it didn't look as impressive there). 

Here is a snip it of BOS/BDL. The window for accumulation is small and heavily tied into the banding. 

[ROOSTA]

Regionwide 2-4" W to E with a jack or two around 6"
Better than nothing.

Meanwhile here

Severe Thunderstorm Warning.
T 74F  
D 70F
WSW wind gusting over 30mph.

[SJonesWX]

26 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

You wonder why I get triggered by all these clown maps and clown Mets for that matter. We’re honestly moving backwards as a field. There is so much bad info being broadcasted and people who don’t know any better just gobbling it up. It’s so bad and frankly it’s frustrating. 

HVAC guy at my house last week was trying to tell me that it was going to be -20 up here this week. he was looking at a map one of the clown Mets posted on twatter. It was an upper air map of 850 temps. talk about misleading

[Johnno]

Shopping at stew Lenard’s in newington, beautiful sunny morning, feels like March 

[Lava Rock]

Shopping at stew Lenard’s in newington, beautiful sunny morning, feels like March 

Same here, spring like 40F

Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

[Bryan63]

8 minutes ago, Johnno said:

Shopping at stew Lenard’s in newington, beautiful sunny morning, feels like March 

Same here, just opened a few windows to get some fresh air in the house before the cold comes through this week.