As WAR expands, do our snow chances increase? First wave may produce a middling event-solid advisory and possible low end warning for MLK Weekend

[ineedsnow]

[ineedsnow]

  On 1/19/2025 at 1:17 PM, JC-CT said:

It looks fine, if you have reasonable expectations

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Slight increase but still meh might be hard to get warning amounts with that

[JC-CT]

  On 1/17/2025 at 7:09 PM, JC-CT said:

3-7, ez

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Ez

[dendrite]

Looks like a solid 3-6”/4-7” event for many. Accept and enjoy the deep winter feel this week.

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 1/19/2025 at 1:18 PM, ineedsnow said:

Slight increase but still meh might be hard to get warning amounts with that

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I think you got too caught up on the snow maps showing 10+

[JC-CT]

  On 1/19/2025 at 1:18 PM, ineedsnow said:

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This is not completely done up north btw

[ineedsnow]

  On 1/19/2025 at 1:21 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

I think you got too caught up on the snow maps showing 10+

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Not really it was nice to see and I was hopeful.. but knew the whole time it was out of reach when every model wasn't on board.. seems lately we decrease closer in

[JC-CT]

  On 1/19/2025 at 1:23 PM, ineedsnow said:

Not really it was nice to see and I was hopeful.. but knew the whole time it was out of reach when every model wasn't on board.. seems lately we decrease closer in

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This is an open wave, not a ku setup. We missed our ku last week.

[Kitz Craver]

Box surprisingly going pretty aggressive w/ 6-8” across most of the state besides the immediate shoreline 

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/19/2025 at 11:54 AM, Damage In Tolland said:

There should be a lot of 6-9” amounts fairly widespread. A few that band an extra few hours will see 10”+

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Agree.

[ineedsnow]

  On 1/19/2025 at 1:26 PM, Kitz Craver said:

Box surprisingly going pretty aggressive w/ 6-8” across most of the state besides the immediate shoreline 

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I think ratios will have to be really good to reach that.. Hopefully we get some good banding later on

[CoastalWx]

Hrrr persistence in lower totals is concerning.

[HoarfrostHubb]

  On 1/19/2025 at 1:02 PM, The 4 Seasons said:

The black ice is crazy out there this morning. Even main roads had ice, i saw cars sliding everywhere, it was bad

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It was really bad here last night. Despite temps being 35 all through town, I felt like I was slipping a ton.  Plus fog.  Wheeeee

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

  On 1/19/2025 at 1:29 PM, CoastalWx said:

Hrrr persistence in lower totals is concerning.

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Looks good for your hood lol, but yeah, lots os 3s which even with low expectations, would kind of stink

[JC-CT]

  On 1/19/2025 at 1:28 PM, ineedsnow said:

I think ratios will have to be really good to reach that.. Hopefully we get some good banding later on

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Even then, someone has to actually be awake to measure it before it compacts. I don't know about you, but I'm not waking up at 3am to measure for this one.

[dendrite]

  On 1/19/2025 at 1:31 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Looks good for your hood lol, but yeah, lots os 3s which even with low expectations, would kind of stink

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Models looked better for you when you were locked out of your account.

[CoastalWx]

  On 1/19/2025 at 1:31 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Looks good for your hood lol, but yeah, lots os 3s which even with low expectations, would kind of stink

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Ignore the 10:1. Some of that is showing non accumulating snow. 

[CoastalWx]

  On 1/19/2025 at 1:32 PM, dendrite said:

Models looked better for you when you were locked out of your account.

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He needs to be less depressing in order to let him back in.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/19/2025 at 1:32 PM, JC-CT said:

Even then, someone has to actually be awake to measure it before it compacts. I don't know about you, but I'm not waking up at 3am to measure for this one.

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Oh he will. He’ll be up all night refreshing hrrr and radar.

[dendrite]

  On 1/19/2025 at 1:19 PM, JC-CT said:

Ez

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[Damage In Tolland]

  On 1/19/2025 at 1:33 PM, CoastalWx said:

He needs to be less depressing in order to let him back in.

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I always wonder if he’s like this in real life or if it’s just this teenaged girl melodramatic persona he plays on here. I suspect at least some of it translates to real life 

[scoob40]

EZ on Sunday morning.

[CoastalWx]

6z euro is pretty warm even at 00z. Kevin above freezing still. Would be like 2-4” here. 

[CoastalWx]

Amazing how it takes miracles of god to get something decent this winter. Well for the last 3 winters really.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Our 2-5” call for CT and frankly for most of sne away from the ocean looks on track. Some lolis to 6 or 7 but nothing widespread.

[JC-CT]

NAM precip field looking much healthier so far than 6z. I will say, the current radar looks better than 6z had right now too. Especially up in PA.

[kdxken]

  On 1/19/2025 at 1:42 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Our 2-5” call for CT and frankly for most of sne away from the ocean looks on track. Some lolis to 6 or 7 but nothing widespread.

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AI for the win. Although Google AI model bumped up my snowfall to 5 - 8

[CoastalWx]

6z euro looked like a good band over NW NJ into the Berks and toward Dendrite. Just judging by H7

[dendrite]

  On 1/19/2025 at 1:34 PM, dendrite said:

 

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Speaking of some real mofos. 6z MAV for Gerald.

6 LCI CON EEN ORE PSF
4 MHT ASH DAW PWM AUG ORH BOS BED CEF BDL BDR DXR IJD HVN MPV
2 PVD TAN PYM GON BTV

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 1/19/2025 at 1:42 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Our 2-5” call for CT and frankly for most of sne away from the ocean looks on track. Some lolis to 6 or 7 but nothing widespread.

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Who is getting 2-3”? 
Most common numbers will be 6-8” over a wide swath