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As WAR expands, do our snow chances increase? First wave may produce a middling event-solid advisory and possible low end warning for MLK Weekend


weathafella
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  On 1/18/2025 at 4:32 PM, HoarfrostHubb said:

Thoughts on MQE?   They are in an interesting place. 

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They will do well imho. Their only risk was if these super zonked solutions like rgem prior to 12z were going to verify and make them too warm at 925 but that seems like a non-starter now. 
 

  On 1/18/2025 at 4:34 PM, weathafella said:

Yeah we’re just far enough inland sometimes to stack the snow.  But to me the biggest limitation is the speed of the system.  People thinking a foot will probably be disappointed.

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You typically want an intense mesoband with big ratios to get double digits in a storm moving this fast. We’ve seen in some before but it’s hard to forecast it. There is a cross hair sig showing up on a lot of guidance so it’s something to watch. 

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  On 1/18/2025 at 5:08 PM, JC-CT said:

It's 2025, we shouldn't still be using offensive terms like IJD

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I like your location for a time in a death band with high ratio fluff. Peeps discounting high ratios in that arctic boundary beware.  Lots of Peeps taking the under because of past screwing. Got to know when to hold um and when to fold um. 12 z says hold um.

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  On 1/18/2025 at 4:58 PM, ROOSTA said:

Snow IMBY. I'll believe only when I see it.
This winter so far has been a huge disappointment for many.
Remember it's always darkest before the "Don"
Getting one or two several inch storms at this point would be a winner. 

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2015 started on January 26th so there's still time to pull off a good year, I wouldn't mind a lot of nickel and dime events either but would always welcome a 20+ incher.

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