As WAR expands, do our snow chances increase? First wave may produce a middling event-solid advisory and possible low end warning for MLK Weekend

[H2Otown_WX]

  On 1/18/2025 at 4:51 AM, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Ukie bumped west and beefed up precip 

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Full frontal nudity for our area?

[Sey-Mour Snow]

  On 1/18/2025 at 4:54 AM, H2Otown_WX said:

Full frontal nudity for our area?

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Like 6-8”

[ineedsnow]

  On 1/18/2025 at 4:50 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

18-24"..weenies always focusing on the high end.

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not until the Euro comes west.. this could go to crap real fast if the Euro is right

[78Blizzard]

We'll see if the Euro wants to be out on an island. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/18/2025 at 4:55 AM, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Like 6-8”

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I’m seeing like 2-5”. Advisory level amounts…

[George001]

  On 1/18/2025 at 5:10 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I’m seeing like 2-5”. Advisory level amounts…

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For areas that mix sure, but I’m taking the over on that for places that stay all snow. 

[ineedsnow]

  On 1/18/2025 at 5:10 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I’m seeing like 2-5”. Advisory level amounts…

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kuchie

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/18/2025 at 5:13 AM, George001 said:

For areas that mix sure, but I’m taking the over on that for places that stay all snow. 

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Talking about the UK specifically.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

  On 1/18/2025 at 5:14 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Talking about the UK specifically.

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.5 to .8 qpf across the area 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/18/2025 at 5:13 AM, ineedsnow said:

kuchie

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I always do 10:1. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Imag

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Anyway. Maybe is a tick better than I originally thought. Still not seeing how the high end solutions verify. Advisory maybe low end warning in some spots is probably the way to go.

 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

  On 1/18/2025 at 5:18 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Imag

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Looks great

[MJO812]

Euro

[Sey-Mour Snow]

  On 1/18/2025 at 5:20 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Anyway. Maybe is a tick better than I originally thought. Still not seeing how the high end solutions verify. Advisory maybe low end warning in some spots is probably the way to go.

 

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By blending euro and gfs.  We will find out if euro is playing nice any second 

 

[MJO812]

  On 1/18/2025 at 5:23 AM, Sey-Mour Snow said:

 

By blending euro and gfs.  We will find out if euro is playing nice any second 

 

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See above

[MJO812]

[ineedsnow]

Euro starting to cave

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Looks exactly the same .. noise NW bump and a tic beefier meh .: it’s actually SE of the 12z surface low placement .. better NW banding signal that’s about it.. 70% euro 30% gfs with ratios in NW band is still my gut.. would yield 4-8”+ for many. Goodnight 

[H2Otown_WX]

  On 1/18/2025 at 5:26 AM, ineedsnow said:

Euro starting to cave

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You gotta get some sleep dude. Gonna be a long weekend.

[weathafella]

  On 1/18/2025 at 5:26 AM, ineedsnow said:

Euro starting to cave

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Nope.  Steady as a rock and hopefully wrong.

[Spanks45]

  On 1/18/2025 at 5:26 AM, ineedsnow said:

Euro starting to cave

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Meh, looks like a drier NAM....

[ineedsnow]

  On 1/18/2025 at 5:29 AM, H2Otown_WX said:

You gotta get some sleep dude. Gonna be a long weekend.

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off to bed now.. 

[MJO812]

  On 1/18/2025 at 5:31 AM, ineedsnow said:

off to bed now.. 

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Same here 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/18/2025 at 5:26 AM, ineedsnow said:

Euro starting to cave

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Put down everything and go to bed.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/18/2025 at 5:32 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Put down everything and go to bed.

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Hallucinations are a sure fire sign of sleep deprivation.

 

[H2Otown_WX]

My NWS P&C is 8-14"

[The 4 Seasons]

  On 1/18/2025 at 5:39 AM, H2Otown_WX said:

My NWS P&C is 8-14"

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No surprise aly going 8-12 in Litchfield cty 

[The 4 Seasons]

Weird ranges again but the color range is 8-12

[dmcginvt]

  On 1/18/2025 at 5:15 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I always do 10:1. 

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It seems like it changes every year.  oh do 10:1. no do kuchie.  I think it depends on temps (obviously).  If temps are marginal or really cold kuchie is better, as it will show 7:1 or 20:1 better than 10:1.    Am I wrong in this thinking?