As WAR expands, do our snow chances increase? First wave may produce a middling event-solid advisory and possible low end warning for MLK Weekend

[mahk_webstah]

2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

I started forecasting with the Eta and the AVN, which was the style at the time.

LAF?

[dryslot]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Definitely a red flag for the big amped solutions. I’m still hedging compromise at this point. 

Yeah, Not liking this, Hopefully its the east goalpost and the RGEM is the west one, Then send the GFS thru the uprights.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Pretty insane this close in. Some models spitting out close to a foot and amped west while the euro remains way East and weak.

 

Gfs is double digits for places like ORH while the euro is a couple inches across the board for most 

[weathafella]

1 minute ago, Prismshine Productions said:

so we got:

Euro/nam/Ukie

vs, literally everything else

Not exactly.  Euro/nam/uncle/gfs/shitcon vs cmc/reggie

[Go Kart Mozart]

2 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

so we got:

Euro/nam/Ukie

vs, literally everything else

Gun to my head....I choose euro et al

[HoarfrostHubb]

Just now, weathafella said:

Not exactly.  Euro/nam/uncle/gfs/shitcon vs cmc/reggie

GFS and Euro are pretty different

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, OceanStWx said:

I started forecasting with the Eta and the AVN, which was the style at the time.

Don’t forget the FWC MOS….I think that’s what everyone called the NGM MOS back then. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

You'd have to think EPS amps up, but then again ???

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

18z should be interesting for both. Hard to believe all of the other guidance would be so off, but you never know. Are there certain models that work better with storms on Arctic fronts?

I would think the hi res ones would, Euro should fall in that category though, Its in the high 990mb range whereas some of the other models have it in the 980's as it moves up here and off to the NE.

[George001]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Pretty insane this close in. Some models spitting out close to a foot and amped west while the euro remains way East and weak.

 

Gfs is double digits for places like ORH while the euro is a couple inches across the board for most 

Realistically I could get anything from rain to a couple inches of fluff to 12-18 inches of snow. Not too common to see that wide a range of possible outcomes this close in. 

[Damage In Tolland]

The Euro solution would be as boring as possible. Even though it did throw back more precip nw . Hopefully it’s wrong 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

4 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

so we got:

Euro/nam/Ukie

vs, literally everything else

I mean, caution warranted in that matchup. 
We will know tomorrow.  

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

The Euro solution would be as boring as possible. Even it did throw back more precip nw . Hopefully it’s wrong 

It’s got me nervous.  I’m slightly shook. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said:

It’s got me nervous.  I’m slightly shook. 

I think most here are expecting it to move NW to some degree. Certainly with the op having been SE of its ensembles 

[Snowcrazed71]

At this point, the good news is there's a storm that's going to happen. It's now a matter of are we going to get six plus inches? Are we going to get 3-6 in? 

[SouthCoastMA]

13 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

whomp.

looks good, thanks 

[dendrite]

10 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

LAF?

LFM

[UnitedWx]

16 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

I started forecasting with the Eta and the AVN, which was the style at the time.

 

Still waiting on the DiFax (or whatever it was called) to finish printing?

[mahk_webstah]

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

LFM

Caught 78

[Prismshine Productions]

EPS shifted SE

[ineedsnow]

Just now, Prismshine Productions said:

EPS shifted SE

ya something has got to give soon

[ineedsnow]

[CoastalWx]

Here we go again with a jacked GFS and a flaccid euro.

[40/70 Benchmark]

22 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

whomp.

There's my 2-5".

[weathafella]

Could be a burp by the euro family.  We’ve seen that close in a few times.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Here we go again with a jacked GFS and a flaccid euro.

ya but we are 48 hours out this time.. GFS fully caved by like 96-108 last time .. This is weird 

[HoarfrostHubb]

Maybe the Euro AI can save us

[MJO812]

6 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

EPS shifted SE

 

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Maybe the Euro AI can save us

Skynet?

[dendrite]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Skynet?

What is skynet?