As WAR expands, do our snow chances increase? First wave may produce a middling event-solid advisory and possible low end warning for MLK Weekend

[ORH_wxman]

  On 1/17/2025 at 12:16 PM, CoastalWx said:

Yeah, I’m hoping we see a little compromise. GFS got a little close from my liking.

Expand  

Even a 70/30 or 80/20 compromise in favor of the 06z GFS with the 06z euro would be really good for most. I’d love to lock in the GFS here but I’m still leery of these further SE solutions on the Euro suite. 

[CoastalWx]

Kind of funny that GFS and euro has switched places lately. Usually it’s the euro that’s jacked and west.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

  On 1/17/2025 at 12:19 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

You want it to start later there for max accumulation. It’s gonna be near 40 Sunday coast and valley 

Expand  

Earlier the start the better , clouds move in before max heating keeping temps in 20s and low 30s valley. 

[Damage In Tolland]

The only worry I have is you typically don’t see Reggie make huge jumps so it had better start moving SE each run.. if not, it’s going to be correct 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

  On 1/17/2025 at 12:21 PM, Snowcrazed71 said:

But, what was mentioned is as soon as the precipitation starts the temperatures are going to be dropping, so accumulation is not going to be an issue except maybe the far Southeastern part of Connecticut.

Just listening to Bob maxon and he had mentioned the same thing about the temps falling as soon as the precipitation starts in the afternoon. 

Expand  

Ya gfs is near freezing in these parts for snow onset then teens during peak 

[mahk_webstah]

Fast movers start earlier

[CoastalWx]

It’s January folks and the ground still cold. I wouldn’t sweat accumulations right now. This isn’t March.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

  On 1/17/2025 at 12:24 PM, CoastalWx said:

It’s January folks and the ground still cold. I wouldn’t sweat accumulations right now. This isn’t March.

Expand  

wonder if some do get some slush to start then a flash freeze SE of 84 and 91 and def 95 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

this could end up kind of a sloppy mess here unfortunately. West trends can halt or we are going to kiss this goodbye here 

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 1/17/2025 at 12:21 PM, CoastalWx said:

Man Snow

Expand  

I hope so here. Not sure. We really don’t know. One thing could happen, but so could the other 

[CoastalWx]

  On 1/17/2025 at 12:25 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said:

wonder if some do get some slush to start then a flash freeze SE of 84 and 91 and def 95 

Expand  

Yeah I’m betting slop here to start. Some rain maybe if gfs is right. 

[CoastalWx]

  On 1/17/2025 at 12:29 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

I hope so here. Not sure. We really don’t know. One thing could happen, but so could the other 

Expand  

Powder for you 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

[mahk_webstah]

The likelihood is an east trend not west.  I know how this goes and I hope for the western band

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 1/17/2025 at 12:33 PM, CoastalWx said:

Powder for you 

Expand  

Not if Reggie right 

[ineedsnow]

  On 1/17/2025 at 12:24 PM, CoastalWx said:

It’s January folks and the ground still cold. I wouldn’t sweat accumulations right now. This isn’t March.

Expand  

I still got snow otg  

 

[ORH_wxman]

  On 1/17/2025 at 12:43 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Not if Reggie right 

Expand  

It won’t be imho. It’ll slide east. I don’t think EPS has a single member like reggie. I could def see a compromise though  

 

 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

  On 1/17/2025 at 12:46 PM, ORH_wxman said:

It won’t be imho. It’ll slide east. I don’t think EPS has a single member like reggie. I could def see a compromise though  

 

 

Expand  

Eps bumped SE lol 

[Spanks45]

  On 1/17/2025 at 12:00 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Still timing differences too.. the amped west are faster.  Euro speeding up timing now.  This is becoming strictly a Sunday event here.. would be cool for eagles game at 1 too.. 

Expand  

Wonderful..I have 2 kids with travel practice at Zone Nation. Should be a fun drive

[JC-CT]

  On 1/17/2025 at 12:28 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

this could end up kind of a sloppy mess here unfortunately. West trends can halt or we are going to kiss this goodbye here 

Expand  

It's over

[#NoPoles]

The P&C on my weather bug app for my area says snow and rain Sat and Sat night. It's a fun app.

[Damage In Tolland]

Euro A1 FTW?

[Damage In Tolland]

6z Euro

[JC-CT]

  On 1/17/2025 at 12:53 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

6z Euro

Expand  

Can you post 24 hour qpf

[Kitz Craver]

  On 1/17/2025 at 12:53 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

6z Euro

Expand  

We locking.

[ORH_wxman]

  On 1/17/2025 at 12:55 PM, JC-CT said:

Can you post 24 hour qpf

Expand  

That kuchera map is def taking advantage of ratios on 06z euro. 

[CoastalWx]

Oh that Koochie

[JC-CT]

  On 1/17/2025 at 12:52 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Euro A1 FTW?

Expand  

I wonder if the lower resolution gives the appearance of greater consistency. OP euro hasn't changed much aloft either, relatively speaking, but has jumped around a bit with slp placement and qpf

[CoastalWx]

  On 1/17/2025 at 12:53 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

6z Euro

Expand  

Oochie coochie la la la 

 

 

[dryslot]

  On 1/17/2025 at 12:24 PM, CoastalWx said:

It’s January folks and the ground still cold. I wouldn’t sweat accumulations right now. This isn’t March.

Expand  

Yeah, But that sun angle.