1/11/25: The little weekend thing.

[clskinsfan]

ICON has to be right. Winchester snow hole in full effect.

[psuhoffman]

I would be thrilled to eek out an inch from .07 qpf here...thats my goal.  

[soadforecasterx]

Its a shame things break up as soon as it gets to our area. would be so nice to see a region wide 2-4" so everyone can win. 

[GATECH]

We can still Jan 25, 2000this for us!  Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor….

2 for one on your winter 2024-2025 bingo card!

[paulythegun]

Checking 18z GFS. Much stronger. 972MB low off the SC coast with 0.4" in QPF already falling in D---

just kidding, another nothing to see here, more of the same, an inch or two regionwide, maybe. It WAS a bit wetter than 12z for Richmond/Tidewater though.

[dailylurker]

5 minutes ago, paulythegun said:

Checking 18z GFS. Much stronger. 972MB low off the SC coast with 0.4" in QPF already falling in D---

just kidding, another nothing to see here, more of the same, an inch or two regionwide, maybe. It WAS a bit wetter than 12z for Richmond/Tidewater though.

Why are we acting like 1-2 area wide is nothing? That's snow on snow on snow for me. LFG!!

[soadforecasterx]

Honestly 18z GFS is what you want to see if you want a chance of 1-3". Sadly this model has been horrible this year. 

 

[CAPE]

Mount Holly's current thinking is 1-2 for my area with southern DE a bit more. An inch to freshen up the snowpack would be pretty nice.

[TowsonTownT]

1 hour ago, clskinsfan said:

ICON has to be right. Winchester snow hole in full effect.

This look like a big fish eating a little fish to anyone else or have I just not had a cocktail yet?

[Baltimorewx]

1 hour ago, StormyClearweather said:

Well decent is a relative term for this system. I'll be pleased to get a fresh dusting on top of my snowpack. 

Hmmm…TT did not have the 3K looking quite like that at hour 60 so that’s why I said what I said haha 

[peribonca]

I live in the Northern Neck now.... Looks like i may jackpot twice in a row

[BristowWx]

This is close enough to over perform for us.  Radar hallucination warning will be  issued. Let’s will this one further west .  

[bncho]

11 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

This is close enough to over perform for us.  Radar hallucination warning will be  issued. Let’s will this one further west .  

Yeah, I could see things trend well last minute like last year's MLK storm did.

[BristowWx]

7 minutes ago, bncho said:

Yeah, I could see things trend well last minute like last year's MLK storm did.

We need weather will…it’s in his name for Christ sake…cmon weather will do your thing

[clskinsfan]

RGEM jacks me. Ill take it

[psuhoffman]

Gfs gave me 1.3”. If buy that lol  

[JenkinsJinkies]

1 hour ago, dailylurker said:

Why are we acting like 1-2 area wide is nothing? That's snow on snow on snow for me. LFG!!

A lot of people took the blizzard readings from a few days ago and ran with it. Anything less than a 2016 redux is disregarded in weenieland.

[WxUSAF]

44 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

RGEM jacks me. Ill take it

Nice 18z suite until I saw this turd floating in the punch bowl 

[ers-wxman1]

1 hour ago, soadforecasterx said:

Honestly 18z GFS is what you want to see if you want a chance of 1-3". Sadly this model has been horrible this year. 

 

In what way has it been horrible? It did very well on the last event.

[psuhoffman]

18z euro is a win imo 

it holds back the NS SW a little more which allows a little bit more moisture to ride the trough and it also seems to direct a bit more mid level vorticity across the area to help wring it out.  It’s the difference between some flurries and 1-2” across the area. 

[mitchnick]

18z Eps

[soadforecasterx]

8 minutes ago, ers-wxman1 said:

In what way has it been horrible? It did very well on the last event.

I mean it was one of the last models to move south. For a while it had the jackpot up around the M/D line. 

[Terpeast]

9 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

18z euro is a win imo 

it holds back the NS SW a little more which allows a little bit more moisture to ride the trough and it also seems to direct a bit more mid level vorticity across the area to help wring it out.  It’s the difference between some flurries and 1-2” across the area. 

I’d take that. 

[Ruin]

Damn sad storm 

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

3 minutes ago, Ruin said:

Damn sad storm 

You’re nuts.  We just got dumped on and it’s cold.  Our snow isn’t melting and we’re about to freshen up the pack.  And we have a decent pattern rolling forward. 

[Solution Man]

10 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

I’d take that. 

Yep

[Solution Man]

1 minute ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

You’re nuts.  We just got dumped on and it’s cold.  Our snow isn’t melting and we’re about to freshen up the pack.  And we have a decent pattern rolling forward. 

He must be new around here

[WesternFringe]

22 minutes ago, ers-wxman1 said:

In what way has it been horrible? It did very well on the last event.

Someone posted a line graph of the models and their verification scores a week or so back and the GFS was on a horrible streak in the last month where it went to last place.

[Ruin]

1 minute ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

You’re nuts.  We just got dumped on and it’s cold.  Our snow isn’t melting and we’re about to freshen up the pack.  And we have a decent pattern rolling forward. 

I all rdy see grass here lol

[aldie 22]

21 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

18z euro is a win imo 

it holds back the NS SW a little more which allows a little bit more moisture to ride the trough and it also seems to direct a bit more mid level vorticity across the area to help wring it out.  It’s the difference between some flurries and 1-2” across the area. 

Sold...I like being in the darker shade of gray