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1/11/25: The little weekend thing.


dailylurker
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5 minutes ago, paulythegun said:

Checking 18z GFS. Much stronger. 972MB low off the SC coast with 0.4" in QPF already falling in D---

just kidding, another nothing to see here, more of the same, an inch or two regionwide, maybe. It WAS a bit wetter than 12z for Richmond/Tidewater though.

Why are we acting like 1-2 area wide is nothing? That's snow on snow on snow for me. LFG!!

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1 hour ago, StormyClearweather said:

Well decent is a relative term for this system. I'll be pleased to get a fresh dusting on top of my snowpack. 

ref1km_ptype.us_ma.png

Hmmm…TT did not have the 3K looking quite like that at hour 60 so that’s why I said what I said haha 

IMG_2169.jpeg

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11 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

This is close enough to over perform for us.  Radar hallucination warning will be  issued. Let’s will this one further west .  

Yeah, I could see things trend well last minute like last year's MLK storm did.

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7 minutes ago, bncho said:

Yeah, I could see things trend well last minute like last year's MLK storm did.

We need weather will…it’s in his name for Christ sake…cmon weather will do your thing

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1 hour ago, soadforecasterx said:

Honestly 18z GFS is what you want to see if you want a chance of 1-3". Sadly this model has been horrible this year. 

 

In what way has it been horrible? It did very well on the last event.

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18z euro is a win imo 

IMG_6813.thumb.png.6d3c24488690f89a5657fd555ec2e4d5.png

it holds back the NS SW a little more which allows a little bit more moisture to ride the trough and it also seems to direct a bit more mid level vorticity across the area to help wring it out.  It’s the difference between some flurries and 1-2” across the area. 

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9 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

18z euro is a win imo 

IMG_6813.thumb.png.6d3c24488690f89a5657fd555ec2e4d5.png

it holds back the NS SW a little more which allows a little bit more moisture to ride the trough and it also seems to direct a bit more mid level vorticity across the area to help wring it out.  It’s the difference between some flurries and 1-2” across the area. 

I’d take that. 

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1 minute ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

You’re nuts.  We just got dumped on and it’s cold.  Our snow isn’t melting and we’re about to freshen up the pack.  And we have a decent pattern rolling forward. 

He must be new around here

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22 minutes ago, ers-wxman1 said:

In what way has it been horrible? It did very well on the last event.

Someone posted a line graph of the models and their verification scores a week or so back and the GFS was on a horrible streak in the last month where it went to last place.

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1 minute ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

You’re nuts.  We just got dumped on and it’s cold.  Our snow isn’t melting and we’re about to freshen up the pack.  And we have a decent pattern rolling forward. 

I all rdy see grass here lol

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21 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

18z euro is a win imo 

IMG_6813.thumb.png.6d3c24488690f89a5657fd555ec2e4d5.png

it holds back the NS SW a little more which allows a little bit more moisture to ride the trough and it also seems to direct a bit more mid level vorticity across the area to help wring it out.  It’s the difference between some flurries and 1-2” across the area. 

Sold...I like being in the darker shade of gray

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