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Tracking either the biggest storm to affect at a regional scale since perhaps 2013 ... or, a complete whiff. Pick-em'


Typhoon Tip
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Fingers are crossed for the next 2 on hour runs and some southern stream progression.  Seems even if the northern stream is stronger, the whole thing is hauling azz so it gives us a mood flake vibe as it flies overhead and detonates too far east.  So I'm pretty much down to hoping Flutie can scramble in the backfield avoiding tacklers, and find Phelan 60yards downfield in the endzone.  Hey, it could happen...  

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18 minutes ago, NoCORH4L said:

Might as well not even look at anything until the radar returns start coming in, according to Wolfie logic. 

That’s not what I said or meant..we’ve had model failures at go time a few times now in the last year. So with that being said I don’t trust remote sensing all that much way up in the Arctic for something that hasn’t come on shore yet. 

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13 minutes ago, wokeupthisam said:

Fingers are crossed for the next 2 on hour runs and some southern stream progression.  Seems even if the northern stream is stronger, the whole thing is hauling azz so it gives us a mood flake vibe as it flies overhead and detonates too far east.  So I'm pretty much down to hoping Flutie can scramble in the backfield avoiding tacklers, and find Phelan 60yards downfield in the endzone.  Hey, it could happen...  

lol I met Phalen once.  He lives in VT.

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3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

That’s not what I said or meant..we’ve had model failures at go time a few times now in the last year. So with that being said I don’t trust remote sensing all that much way up in the Arctic for something that hasn’t come on shore yet. 

With all the uncertainty on this, I still don't know why NOAA didn't schedule some recon flights in the Pac region.  Unless they don't think this one was worth it.

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Just now, 78Blizzard said:

With all the uncertainty on this, I still don't know why NOAA didn't schedule some recon flights in the Pac region.  Unless they don't think this one was worth it.

There honestly isn't much uncertainty here. 

All the hype was for 2 GFS runs essentially while other models showed very little. 

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