Tracking either the biggest storm to affect at a regional scale since perhaps 2013 ... or, a complete whiff. Pick-em'

[MJO812]

New England does well with the storm around the 20th. The rest of us is raining.

[Snowcrazed71]

  On 1/10/2025 at 5:56 PM, MJO812 said:

New England does well with the storm around the 20th. The rest of us is raining.

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As of now. The storm tomorrow a week before him was a blizzard for all of us. What is it now, nothing Burger. So don't go by what it says right now.... 

[FlashFreeze]

so I left Pawleys Island yesterday at midnight and got to East Hartland about 6 PM and here’s the radar back in South Carolina now Lol!

[SJonesWX]

  On 1/10/2025 at 5:51 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Shouldn’t beer be in the forecast?

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shouldn't it always?

[Go Kart Mozart]

That looks like a juicy storm coming from the Tennessee Valley, but it looks like it wants to cut....

[ma blizzard]

18z 3km NAM is probably the best case scenario locally .. solid 1"-3" for metro west 

[CoastalWx]

  On 1/10/2025 at 8:16 PM, ma blizzard said:

18z 3km NAM is probably the best case scenario locally .. solid 1"-3" for metro west 

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Almost a quarter inch of QPF. Not sure I buy that, but I'll take it.

[SouthCoastMA]

  On 1/10/2025 at 8:16 PM, ma blizzard said:

18z 3km NAM is probably the best case scenario locally .. solid 1"-3" for metro west 

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It definitely amped it up a bit for eastern mass. .2"-.3 qpf

[ma blizzard]

  On 1/10/2025 at 8:17 PM, CoastalWx said:

Almost a quarter inch of QPF. Not sure I buy that, but I'll take it.

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Yeah not buying it yet either, but we'll see 

18z HRRR a little less robust but has the QPF max more oriented towards S NH .. another plausible solution 

[Typhoon Tip]

part of my issue with this synoptically in this new form/paradigm with this thread... that's a fairly cold parcel aloft with some vorticity shrapnel rattling around inside as in/stream trundles through.  

i could see some sneaking meso clumping going on with that.   

[dendrite]

  On 1/10/2025 at 8:20 PM, ma blizzard said:

Yeah not buying it yet either, but we'll see 

18z HRRR a little less robust but has the QPF max more oriented towards S NH .. another plausible solution 

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HRRR tries to tickle the pope with the norlun. 

[mahk_webstah]

GYX seems optimistic for two or maybe 3 inches here. That would be actually fantastic just to have snow over again.  As we await a very snowy period that starts maybe next weekend

[78Blizzard]

  On 1/10/2025 at 8:16 PM, ma blizzard said:

18z 3km NAM is probably the best case scenario locally .. solid 1"-3" for metro west 

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Perhaps we will even bust a bit higher. At least in metro west this may be the season that we see our totals increasing from busts of smaller systems rather than from blockbusters.  Hopefully we get that 2-3" to bring the season total to double digits here. 

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 1/10/2025 at 8:16 PM, ma blizzard said:

18z 3km NAM is probably the best case scenario locally .. solid 1"-3" for metro west 

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We take 

[mahk_webstah]

  On 1/10/2025 at 8:45 PM, dendrite said:

HRRR tries to tickle the pope with the norlun. 

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I don’t think the pope likes being tickled
https://makeagif.com/gif/indignant-pope-francis-slaps-womans-hand-to-free-himself-at-new-years-eve-gathering-GoHUUg

[Kitz Craver]

18z NAM trying to whiten up the landscape 

[metagraphica]

Point and click up from 40% earlier today.  Looking forward to another 0.5"

[Damage In Tolland]

Hammers got D-2”

[SJonesWX]

  On 1/10/2025 at 10:59 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Hammers got D-2”

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Enjoy the D

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 1/11/2025 at 12:14 AM, SJonesWX said:

Enjoy the D

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Looks like 1-1.5 here 

[WinterWolf]

Monday, it wasn’t suppose to snow at all…and it did. So it wouldn’t be a surprise if we whiten it up…everything has busted positive here so far since the first snow on 12/5.  Can we do it again? 

[WinterWolf]

  On 1/11/2025 at 12:36 AM, WinterWolf said:

Monday, it wasn’t suppose to snow at all…and it did. So it wouldn’t be a surprise if we whiten it up…everything has busted positive here so far since the first snow on 12/5.  Can we do it again? 

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What are you confused about H2O?  

[ineedsnow]

Just give me enough to cover up the damn ground.

[CoastalWx]

  On 1/11/2025 at 12:36 AM, WinterWolf said:

Monday, it wasn’t suppose to snow at all…and it did. So it wouldn’t be a surprise if we whiten it up…everything has busted positive here so far since the first snow on 12/5.  Can we do it again? 

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Beer?

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 1/11/2025 at 1:02 AM, ineedsnow said:

Just give me enough to cover up the damn ground.

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Whatever we get mostly melts Sunday and Monday . Even in hills. Higher sun angle, fluffy snow and temps above freezing 

[WinterWolf]

  On 1/11/2025 at 1:03 AM, CoastalWx said:

Beer?

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Really? I’m talking about here..not where you are. 

[CoastalWx]

  On 1/11/2025 at 1:07 AM, Damage In Tolland said:

Whatever we get mostly melts Sunday and Monday . Even in hills. Higher sun angle, fluffy snow and temps above freezing 

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You aren’t getting sun angle issues. But warmer temps and sun and fluff will melt some especially in the sun.

[CoastalWx]

  On 1/11/2025 at 1:08 AM, WinterWolf said:

Really? I’m talking about here..not where you are. 

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It’s been a shit winter everywhere. 

[CoastalWx]

If you get an unexpected dusting that’s a positive bust. lol.

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 1/11/2025 at 1:09 AM, CoastalWx said:

You aren’t getting sun angle issues. But warmer temps and sun and fluff will melt some especially in the sun.

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Dude . It’s pretty noticeable the shadows are higher now . Not like Feb.. but any sunny areas are torched Sunday afternoon . And I’m planning on 1-2” here